Texans vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3

Expect the Lions to get off to a hot start in their final preseason game.
Texans vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3
Pictured: Detroit Lions quarterback Hendon Hooker (2) throws the ball as we break down our Texans vs. Lions prediction. Photo by Lon Horwedel via Imagn Images.

The Houston Texans and Detroit Lions are each in search of their second wins to end the preseason when they meet on Saturday afternoon at 1 p.m. ET (ABC) at Ford Field in Detroit. The Lions are 1.5-point favorites at our top sports betting sites in a game with an O/U of 34 to 34.5 points.

Our Texans vs. Lions prediction targets the first-half spread before each team completely empties the bench late. That wager and our best play on the total add to our slew of NFL preseason Week 3 predictions.

๐Ÿˆ Texans vs. Lions prediction & expert picks

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โœ… Against the spread pick: Lions -1.5 first-half spread (+106 via FanDuel) โญโญโญโญ
โœ… My best bet: Under 34.5 (-112 via DraftKings) โญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Texans vs. Lions odds

Live updated odds from our best live betting sites. Follow the latest NFL scores for line history and matchup info.

๐Ÿชง Texans vs. Lions opening odds:

  • Texans: +1.5 (-118)
  • Lions: -1.5 (-104)

๐Ÿ”ฎ Texans vs. Lions ATS prediction

Texans vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3
Pictured: Houston Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans celebrates with his players as we offer our Texans vs. Lions prediction. Photo by Thomas Shea via Imagn Images.

๐Ÿฆ Lions first-half spread โญโญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -1.5 (+106 via FanDuel ($10 to win $10.60)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 48.54%

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The Texans' defense was dominant against the Carolina Panthers last week, particularly when it was starters versus starters. Houston allowed zero first downs, zero completions, and outgained Carolina 68-2 through Bryce Youngโ€™s two series. 

But that also means Texans head coach DeMeco Ryans knows his starting unit is ready for the regular season and will likely defer to backups on both sides of the ball right out of the gate.

It should not be overlooked that Detroit is one of two teams playing a fourth preseason game due to its involvement in the Hall of Fame Game in late July. That extra game gave the Lions more time to acclimate to two new coordinators, and the cohesion should be evident early.

I would play this up to -2, which is higher than the full-game spread.

๐Ÿ“– Check out our 2025 NFL preseason betting guide for the best betting strategies and full NFL preseason schedule.

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๐Ÿ’ฐ Texans vs. Lions best bet

Texans vs. Lions Prediction, Odds & Expert Picks: NFL Preseason Week 3
Pictured: Quarterback Kyle Allen (8) is key to our Texans vs. Lions best bet. Photo by Lon Horwedel via Imagn Images.

โฌ‡๏ธ Under 34.5 โญโญโญ

๐Ÿ“Š Best odds: -112 via DraftKings ($10 to win $8.93)
๐Ÿ”ข Implied probability: 52.83%

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Few quarterbacks, excluding starters who have played in limited spurts, have performed as well as Detroitโ€™s No. 2, Kyle Allen. Allen has completed 84% of his passes with a 4-0 TD-INT ratio over the last two preseason games, and I expect him to move the Lions' offense whenever he is under center. 

With Allen having a stranglehold on backup quarterback duties, we are not likely to see him at all in the second half. His departure, and the fact that these teams combined for two total touchdowns in the second halves of their five combined preseason games, means the scoring should come to an abrupt halt after halftime.

That opens up great possibilities for in-game betting on the Under. But for now, I will back the Under that has even come down a full point from 34.5 earlier in the week.

DraftKings is the only top NFL betting site charging less than -115 to back the Under at 34.5, while other competing sportsbooks have dropped their total as low as 34.

๐Ÿš‘ Texans vs. Lions injuries

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