Texans vs. Jets Parlay Picks & Predictions: Thursday Night Football SGP Odds
In one of the more shocking lines of the NFL season, the New York Jets (2-6) are favored over the Houston Texans (6-2) on Halloween night in East Rutherford, N.J.
Our Texans vs. Jets TNF parlay based on our best Thursday Night Football odds makes the leap to fade the public, giving the Jets one last chance to disappoint us before we quit the Aaron Rodgers-led unit once and for all.
In the first game of our Week 9 NFL predictions, the Texans and Jets face off at MetLife Stadium on Thursday night at 8:15 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
Texans vs. Jets parlay predictions: Thursday Night Football
NFL picks based on the odds from our best NFL betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Jets -2 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- CJ Stroud Under 221.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Breece Hall Over 66.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Combined odds: +380 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 20.83%
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SGP predictions for Texans vs. Jets
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Jets -2 (-108) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Six of Houston’s eight games have been decided by one possession, with the Texans winning five of those six. It’s fair to wonder whether such favorable variance is sustainable.
- 66% of spread wagers have been placed on Houston, making the Jets at home an interesting ‘fade the public’ play
- The bulk of the Jets' misery has come on the road, where they have gone 1-4 with an average point differential of -7.4; but in three home games, the Jets have a 21-point win and two losses by a combined four points
- New York has allowed 12.0 points per game at home
While the Jets sit at -2 across most of our best sportsbooks, FanDuel has the line pushed up to -2.5.
CJ Stroud Under 221.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Attrition to the Houston wide receiver room could make life difficult for CJ Stroud against a stout Jets secondary.
- An ACL injury for Stefon Diggs in Week 8 leaves Tank Dell as the last man standing in the Houston receiving corps until Nico Collins returns from injured reserve
- The New York secondary locks things down at home, allowing a league-best 110.3 passing yards per game on home turf
- Stroud has failed to clear this passing line in consecutive road games
The Stroud passing line sits between 220.5 and 222.5 passing yards across our best sportsbooks.
Breece Hall Over 66.5 rushing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It’s been an up-and-down season for the Jets run game, but after clearing 100 yards on the ground in his last home game, we like Breece Hall to find his rhythm in correlation with New York covering this spread.
- The Texans have permitted an opposing lead rusher to eclipse this rushing total in three of their past four games
- Hall has maintained a 55-22 advantage in rushing attempts over Braelon Allen the past four games
- Hall has cleared this rushing line in two of his past three contests
Plugging it into our SGP at various shops, we arrive at comparable overall parlay odds from DraftKings (+380) and FanDuel (+381). Though Hall’s rushing total is slightly lower at FanDuel, we’ll play the SGP at DraftKings to gain the Jets -2 spread over the -2.5 line offered by FanDuel.
A winning $10 wager on this parlay at DraftKings would profit $38.00 as part of your NFL Week 9 predictions.
Texans vs. Jets odds
See all of this week's NFL odds and NFL scores.
Thursday Night Football game info
- Matchup: Texans vs. Jets
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, N.J.)
- How to watch: Prime Video
- Weather: 71 degrees, 20% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph SW
- Favorite: Jets -2 (-108 via DraftKings)
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