Rushing Props, Odds Week 10: Picks & Predictions
There are several favorable matchups for running backs to take advantage of in Week 10, and here are our best NFL rushing prop predictions based on the top NFL odds from our best NFL prop betting sites.
New England Patriots running back Rhamondre Stevenson went for more than 60 rushing yards for the first time this season in Week 9. He totaled 87 on just nine carries. We're analyzing whether he can have a second consecutive solid performance with a good matchup against the Indianapolis Colts this week.
In the absence of starting quarterback Daniel Jones due to a knee injury, the New York Giants are expected to heavily lean on running back Saquon Barkley, who's anticipated to shoulder a substantial workload. With backup QB Tommy DeVito likely to be conservative in the passing game, Barkley is poised to play a pivotal role as the primary offensive weapon for the Giants in the upcoming week. The team's game plan is likely to revolve around Barkley's capabilities, emphasizing his role as a workhorse in the absence of Jones, reinforcing his significance in the offensive strategy for the week.
Finally, Tampa Bay Buccaneers rusher Rachaad White is aiming to plod for over 50 yards on the ground in back-to-back games for the first time in 2023.
To accompany our NFL Week 10 predictions and NFL best bets, here are our best NFL rushing player prop predictions for Week 10 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
NFL rushing prop predictions for Week 10
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 46.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Saquon Barkley Over 16.5 rushing attempts (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Rachaad White Under 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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Rushing player props
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 46.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Stevenson’s main problem this season has been that he’s on a bad football team. The game script very rarely favors giving him the ball, which has resulted in him getting 10 or fewer carries in each of his last five games.
However, this week, we expect Stevenson to get more opportunities against a defense allowing 125.6 rushing yards per game. Last week was the first time that the Indianapolis Colts won a game by more than one score since Week 2.
In a contest that should be close, the Patriots’ game plan should be to get Stevenson the ball and keep Mac Jones from having to do too much.
All of our NFL prop betting sites have Stevenson’s total set at 47.5, except for FanDuel. Because of what Stevenson has done this season, every yard matters. So, we will take the lower number at FanDuel even if it means a worse price.
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Saquon Barkley Over 16.5 rushing attempts (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Barkley has carried the ball at least 16 times in five of his six games this season. Two weeks ago, when Tommy DeVito was forced into action for a majority of the game, Barkley finished the game with 36 rushing attempts.
DeVito is starting again on Sunday, and against the Dallas Cowboys, he’s doomed from the start. With a bad offensive line in front of him, he’s not going to be able to do much of anything through the air. Therefore, the Giants are going to have to run Barkley a lot. That doesn’t mean he’s going to accumulate yards. We firmly expect the Cowboys to load the box. But he’s still going to end with more than 16 carries.
Only three of our five best sports betting sites are offering this prop at the moment. DraftKings is offering the best price, as both BetMGM and bet365 have Barkley’s Over listed at -110.
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Rachaad White Under 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
White carried the ball 20 times for 73 yards last week, marking the second consecutive game in which his average yards per carry was better than 3.5. However, we’re not sold on White’s chances of recording back-to-back 50-yard games for the first time this season.
White has gone Over 50 yards only three times all year. In two of those games, the Buccaneers won by double digits. The Titans are allowing 114.8 rushing yards per game and 4.1 yards per carry. But we don’t expect the Bucs to dominate this game like they have when White has had most of his success.
Right now, four of our best sportsbooks have White’s total set at 50.5. DraftKings, bet365, and BetMGM all have the price listed at -110 for the Under, while Caesars has the price at -119. Meanwhile, FanDuel has the total set at 46.5. That’s more in line with where we think it should be, but we’d stay away from wagering on that number unless you take the Over and try to middle.
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Rushing prop picks made 11/10/2023 at 8:51 a.m. ET.
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