2023 NFL Mock Draft 2.0: Picks, Prop Bets for Every 1st-Round Selection

A number of key developments have led to changes in our 2023 NFL Mock Draft. There's a new team picking No. 1 overall and several marquee free agents have found new homes. As a result, here's the latest version of our mock draft, where we try to find the best available prop bet for each first-round pick, based on current NFL odds from our best NFL betting sites.

As expected, a quarterback-needy team traded for the No. 1 pick and now the Carolina Panthers are on the clock. And with a new team picking first overall, there's a new prospect expected to be taken with that pick.

We're also through the first wave of free agency and the biggest available names have been scooped up. Now we have a better idea of which holes teams will try to fill via the draft.

Here are our 2023 NFL Mock Draft picks and prop bet suggestions, based on the NFL draft odds and prop markets from the best sports betting sites.

2023 NFL Mock Draft predictions

1. Carolina Panthers: C.J. Stroud, QB, Ohio State

When the No. 1 overall pick changed hands from the Chicago Bears to the Panthers, the odds on who would be selected changed with it. Alabama's Bryce Young had been the consensus favorite, carrying odds as low as -200 after the combine. But league insiders believe Stroud is the Panthers' preferred choice. The Ohio State star now sits at -225 to go first overall at some books.

Prop Bet: First Overall Pick - C.J. Stroud (-200 via Caesars)

The prop selections are still limited across sports betting sites and the only one currently available for Stroud is the No. 1 pick prop. Caesars currently has the best odds for Stroud to go first overall. However, our recommendation would be to wait for more markets to open, such as a quarterback exacta on Stroud to go first and Young to go second overall. More markets will become widely available in the days leading up to the draft.

2. Houston Texans: Bryce Young, QB, Alabama

Oh, Houston. All the Texans had to do was lose their regular-season finale and they would have had the first pick in the draft sewn up. Instead, they beat the Indianapolis Colts 32-31 in Week 18, earned the second pick, and watched as the Panthers vaulted them for the first choice.

However, if their preference all along has been Young, there's a good chance they'll still net him at pick No. 2.

Young's odds to be the first selection have ballooned and he's the third choice behind Stroud and Florida's Anthony Richardson at BetMGM and PointsBet. Our recommendation is to wait to bet the Stroud-Young exacta which will likely carry plus-money odds.

3. Indianapolis Colts: Will Levis, QB, Kentucky

The Arizona Cardinals own the third pick and it will be a coveted one. With two quarterbacks off the board and many QB-needy teams still out there, the Cards should command a grand return for this pick.

The Las Vegas Raiders should come calling, but rather than get leapfrogged for one of the final two quarterbacks with a first-round grade, expect the Colts to trade up the one spot to secure their choice between Richardson and Kentucky's Will Levis.

Prop bet: Team to Draft Will Levis - Colts (+250 via FanDuel)

FanDuel and bet365 are currently the only two books offering a "Team to Draft" prop for Levis. The Colts are the favorite to take the prototypical, 6-foot-4 passer with the big arm.

4. Las Vegas Raiders: Anthony Richardson, QB, Florida

We envision quarterbacks going with the first four picks of this year's draft. In order to ensure Richardson doesn't fall to the Seattle Seahawks at No. 5, the Raiders trade with the Cardinals to net their quarterback of the future.

Las Vegas signed veteran passer Jimmy Garoppolo to be the quarterback of the present and help mentor his eventual successor.

Prop bet: Team to Draft Anthony Richardson - Raiders (+1600 via FanDuel)

More books have the "Team to Draft" special for Richardson, and the odds vary greatly. The best value is at FanDuel, which offers double the odds provided by bet365.

5. Seattle Seahawks: Will Anderson, EDGE, Alabama

What an enviable position the Seahawks find themselves in. Should quarterbacks go off the board with the first four picks, Seattle will have its choice of the best overall player in the draft outside of the quarterback position.

In that scenario, a team in desperate need of pass-rushing help would also land the top defensive player prospect in Alabama's Will Anderson Jr.

Prop bet: First Defensive Player Selected - Will Anderson Jr. (-240 via BetRivers)

Thanks to the precipitous fall of Georgia defensive tackle Jalen Carter, Anderson is the favorite to be the first defensive player off the board. This prop carries little value, but bet365, BetRivers, and Unibet are still hanging something better than -300 odds.

6. Detroit Lions: Christian Gonzalez, CB, Oregon

The top quarterbacks in this draft are now too rich for the Lions. Though they're still in the market for their quarterback of the future, the Lions can use this pick to address their 32nd-ranked defense and 30th-ranked pass defense.

Detroit needs a star to match up with the likes of Minnesota Vikings wideout Justin Jefferson. The Lions can take the first cornerback off the board and the consensus top pick is Oregon's Christian Gonzalez.

Prop bet: First Cornerback Drafted - Christian Gonzalez (-150 via FanDuel)

Once more props open, the recommendation here will be to bet the Lions to take a defensive player or choose cornerback as Detroit's first drafted player position.

7. Arizona Cardinals: Tyree Wilson, EDGE, Texas Tech

The Cardinals could make out as the winners of this draft if - like in our mock draft - they trade down twice and still come away with a pick in the top 10.

In that scenario, they'd be in the position to reload on defense, a unit that recently parted ways with pass-rusher Markus Golden.

The Cardinals hired former Philadelphia Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon as their new head coach. We'll be looking for the odds on the Cardinals to use their first-round pick on a defensive player.

8. Atlanta Falcons: Nolan Smith, EDGE, Georgia

Out of range for a quarterback, the Falcons could opt for a top offensive line prospect, but they're in desperate need of edge help. Atlanta finished second-last in sacks last year with 21.

Nolan Smith is not only an incredible athlete, but he's a local product, hailing out of Savannah, Georgia and starring for the national champion Bulldogs.

With limited defensive props currently out, we're waiting to bet Smith to be a top-15 pick.

9. Chicago Bears: Paris Johnson Jr., Ohio State, OL

The Bears declared Justin Fields as their quarterback of the future when they traded out of the No. 1 pick, and they got the wide receiver help they sorely needed when they received D.J. Moore in the package.

Now, Chicago can use the No. 9 pick to address an offensive line that gave up 58 sacks in 2022, the fourth-most in the league. Northwestern's Peter Skoronski is the favorite to be the first offensive lineman drafted, but most NFL mock drafts have the Bears landing Ohio State's Paris Johnson Jr., who would net a bigger payout.

Prop bet: 1st Offensive Lineman Drafted - Paris Johnson Jr. (+160 via DraftKings, Betway)

Shop around for the best number. BetRivers has Johnson as the favorite for this prop. He's at +160 at DraftKings and Betway.

10. Philadelphia Eagles: Jalen Carter, DT, Georgia

The NFC champion Eagles no longer have a need at corner after re-signing James Bradberry, extending Darius Slay, and adding Greedy Williams. Now, they can take the best player available to them at No. 10, and that happens to be Carter. He comes with red flags and off-field issues, but the Eagles' veteran locker room is the perfect place for the embattled player.

Philly lost defensive tackle Javon Hargrave via free agency. Carter would be an ideal eventual replacement.

Once the favorite to be the top pick in the draft, Carter isn't even the best bet to be the first defensive player off the board. He had a terrible pro day in which he came in nine pounds heavier than at the combine and couldn't finish drills due to cramps. We're waiting to bet the Eagles to select the troubled prospect.

Check out our 2023 NFL Draft odds

11. Tennessee Titans: Peter Skoronski, OL, Northwestern

There are few draft matches as obvious as the Titans and offensive tackle. They jettisoned longtime left tackle Taylor Lewan and though they added Andre Dillard in free agency, he should be little more than a temporary solution.

Skoronski to Tennessee is an easy match.

Both Johnson and Skoronski carry plus odds to be the first OL off the board. That won't last. The time to bet the prop is now before a clear favorite emerges among the two.

12. Texans: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, WR, Ohio State

Ohio State's Jaxon Smith-Njigba has emerged as the top wideout of the class after he impressed in drills at the combine and USC's Jordan Addison ran slow in the 40.

Smith-Njigba to the Texans was at +1000 odds at FanDuel when we suggested the pairing in our first mock. He's still the favorite to be the first receiver drafted and the player-to-team odds are dropping.

Prop bet: Team to Draft Jaxon Smith-Njigba - Texans (+800 via bet365)

The Texans are the favorite to land the former Buckeyes star at DraftKings and Betway. Value remains at bet365 where this draft special carries +800 odds.

13. New York Jets: Broderick Jones, T, Georgia

The priorities for the New York Jets have changed now that they're on the verge of landing quarterback Aaron Rodgers. They've shifted from plucky contender to a team with a short, win-now window.

If they still have this pick after trading for Rodgers, the Jets will need an immediate impact player. They'll also need to strengthen the line in front of the 39-year-old quarterback. Former first-round pick Mekhi Becton has played in one game since his 2020 rookie year, veteran tackle Duane Brown is 37 years old, and George Fant is a free agent.

Since Broderick Jones isn't our pick to be the first offensive lineman drafted, we'll wait to bet the Jets to draft an offensive player.

14. New England Patriots: Quentin Johnston, WR, TCU

The Patriots are making a concerted effort to field an offense worthy of the year 2023. They've hired Bill O'Brien as offensive coordinator and signed wideout JuJu Smith-Schuster and tight end Mike Gesicki in free agency.

The job's not done, though, and quarterback Mac Jones could benefit from a 6-foot-3 receiver like TCU's Quentin Johnston as he enters his third pro year.

Johnston's odds to be the first wideout taken were as short as +115, but they've since ballooned to +350 at DraftKings. Those hoping to hear Johnston's name called before Smith-Njigba should head there.

15. Green Bay Packers: Michael Mayer, TE, Notre Dame

It appears the Packers are finally Jordan Love's team. But the cupboard is bare when it comes to pass-catching weapons. The receiving group is led by 2022 draft picks Christian Watson, Romeo Doubs, and Samori Toure.

Notre Dame's Michael Mayer is the top tight end prospect and is a popular mock to the Packers.

Prop bet: First Tight End Selected - Michael Mayer (+120 via Caesars, BetRivers)

Mayer's odds continue to fluctuate, but he's the consensus top tight end across our best sportsbooks. There's a 10-cent difference between DraftKings and Caesars.

16. Washington Commanders: Devon Witherspoon, CB, Illinois

The Commanders have been busy this offseason, adding quarterback Jacoby Brissett, tackle Andrew Wylie, and re-signing defensive tackle Daron Payne and center Tyler Larsen.

Most mocks have Washington targeting a corner with the No. 16 pick and Witherspoon would represent excellent value if he's still available. He trails Gonzalez as the favorite to be the first corner drafted.

DraftKings and Betway are offering a head-to-head matchup on who will be drafted earlier between Gonzalez and Witherspoon

17. Pittsburgh Steelers: Joey Porter Jr., CB, Penn State

The Steelers signed veteran Patrick Peterson to a two-year contract, but relying on a 32-year-old corner in today's NFL isn't intelligent.

Penn State corner Joey Porter Jr. is still a popular pick to be drafted by his dad's former team.

Porter now carries +750 odds to be the first corner drafted and has +10000 odds to be the first defensive player to go.

We're still waiting to bet the team-player prop when it becomes available. Steelers to draft QB Kenny Pickett hit at +375 odds via DraftKings last April.

18. Lions: Keion White, EDGE, Georgia Tech

The Lions were thought to be a potential landing spot for Texas running back Bijan Robinson, but Detroit added David Montgomery in free agency to replace the departed Jamaal Williams.

Improving the defense has been a focus for Detroit. The team added defensive backs Emmanuel Moseley, Cameron Sutton, and C.J. Gardner-Johnson in free agency. With their second pick of the first round, they can target one of the top edge-rushers available.

Keion White broke out with 7.5 sacks in his final season at Georgia Tech. The 6-foot-5 pass-rusher would be an ideal complement to Detroit's Aidan Hutchinson. 

White's odds are too long for any prop currently on the board, so our approach will be to wait for a bet on the Lions to use the pick on a defensive player.

19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Darnell Wright, T, Tennessee

The Buccaneers are rebuilding on the fly. Since Tom Brady's retirement, they've added journeyman quarterback Baker Mayfield, cut long-time left tackle Donovan Smith, and traded veteran guard Shaq Mason. Offensive line is an obvious need for Tampa.

The top three tackles are off the board in this NFL mock draft, but an ideal fit remains in Tennessee's Darnell Wright. The 6-foot-5, 333-pounder has spent time on both the left and right side of the line, which would allow the Bucs to move second-team All-Pro right tackle Tristan Wirfs to the left side if they choose.

Nevertheless, our bet will be on the Bucs to draft an offensive lineman.

20. Seahawks: Dalton Kincaid, TE, Utah

The Seahawks addressed their void at pass rush with the No. 5 pick and can use their second pick of Night 1 on a luxury.

Tight end Noah Fant disappointed in his first season in Seattle and was surpassed on the depth chart by less athletic options. Utah's Dalton Kincaid would be an ideal fit in offensive coordinator Shane Waldron's offense.

Check out our Super Bowl Odds 2024

21. Los Angeles Chargers: Bijan Robinson, RB, Texas

Free agency opened with Chargers running back Austin Ekeler requesting a trade. The league leader in touchdowns in 2022 was granted permission to seek a deal and his departure would leave a gaping hole in L.A.'s offense.

Luckily there's a star running back available in this year's draft and he's projected to go in the area of the Chargers' pick.

Prop bet: Which Team Will Draft Bijan Robinson? - Chargers (+600 via bet365)

bet365 is offering the best value on this team-to-draft-player prop. The Dallas Cowboys are current betting favorites to take Robinson, but that could change if and when Ekeler is traded.

22. Baltimore Ravens: Jordan Addison, WR, USC

The Ravens' future is still shrouded in uncertainty after the team placed the nonexclusive franchise tag on quarterback Lamar Jackson. We're operating under the impression that Jackson will play under the tag and, in that one-year scenario, Baltimore will have to maximize its chances with the QB.

Jackson will need a top-flight receiver to throw to and the team's general manager has made it clear that recent picks like Rashod Bateman and Devin Duvernay aren't getting the job done.

The Ravens keep swinging and take a wideout in the first round. We're anxiously awaiting the first-drafted-player-position prop.

23. Minnesota Vikings: Jalin Hyatt, WR, Tennessee

Cornerback is an obvious need for the Vikings, but now so is wide receiver after Minnesota native Adam Thielen was released and signed with the Panthers.

The Vikes have yet to fill that void via free agency, and it goes without saying that the team won't enter the season with K.J. Osborn as the only secondary receiving option to All-Pro Justin Jefferson.

Tennessee's Jalin Hyatt ran a 4.4 in the 40. The deep threat would open up space in the middle of the field for Jefferson.

Prop bet: Who Will Be Drafted Earlier? - Hyatt (+300 via Betway, DraftKings)

This head-to-head matchup is between Hyatt and Zay Flowers of Boston College. Both DraftKings and Betway have Hyatt at +300 odds.

24. Jacksonville Jaguars: Brian Branch, S, Alabama

The Jaguars have compiled an impressive roster of playmakers on the offensive side of the ball. It's the defense that needs work, particularly a pass defense that ranked 28th in the NFL last season.

The team parted ways with Shaquill Griffin and is likely to seek his replacement through the draft. We recommend making a bet on the Jaguars to use their first-round pick on a corner.

25. New York Giants: Zay Flowers, WR, Boston College

There are few teams more desperate for a difference-maker at receiver than the Giants. They made the playoffs with a collection of unheralded wideouts and released Kenny Golladay after the season. The only addition thus far has been former second-round pick Parris Campbell who's coming off a career-high 623 receiving yards.

This draft class is deep at receiver. When they become available, we recommend finding a prop that has the Giants taking a wideout with their first pick. We would also bet Over 4.5 receivers going in the first round.

26. Dallas Cowboys: Calijah Kancey, DT, Pittsburgh

The Cowboys would surely love to keep Bijan Robinson in state, particularly after cutting ties with longtime back Ezekiel Elliott, but they'd have to vault the Chargers for the Longhorn's services.

Instead, Dallas will have to address a need on the defensive line and find an inside presence to free up room for edge rushers Micah Parsons and Demarcus Lawrence.

Pittsburgh's Calijah Kancey evoked the name of Aaron Donald with his performance at the scouting combine. We'll be looking for a top-31 prop on Kancey when they're released.

27. Buffalo Bills: Josh Downs, WR, North Carolina

We got some answers from Buffalo with the team's moves in free agency. The Bills brought back safety Jordan Poyer, linebacker Matt Milano, and corner Dane Jackson, while also releasing wideout Isaiah McKenzie.

We can confidently assume that the team will address its need for a secondary receiving option by looking to the draft. Take the Bills to select a receiver with their first-round pick.

28. Cincinnati Bengals: Darnell Washington, TE, Georgia

Cincinnati made a splash in free agency, landing left tackle Orlando Brown to cement its offensive line. But the team lost tight end Hayden Hurst to Carolina.

If Mayer and Kincaid are off the board, Georgia's Darnell Washington is no consolation prize at the back end of the draft. We'll be making a top-31 pick bet on Washington.

29. New Orleans Saints: Lukas Van Ness, EDGE, Iowa

The Saints have been busy in free agency and are now the favorites to come out of the NFC South. They've addressed needs at quarterback, running back, and receiver. Next is an aging defensive line.

Thirty-three-year-old Cameron Jordan missed the Pro Bowl for the first time in five years and he could use some help getting to the quarterback. We're betting on Iowa's Lukas Van Ness to be a top-31 pick.

30. Eagles: Kelee Ringo, CB, Georgia

Corner may no longer be an immediate need for the Eagles, but their starters will both be in their 30s when the season begins. It's time to start working on a succession plan. 

Georgia's Kelee Ringo comes in at 6-foot-2 with 4.36 speed. Those are first-round measurements. Bank on Ringo being a top-31 pick.

Check out our 2023 NFL MVP odds

31. Kansas City Chiefs: Dawand Jones, T, Ohio State

The Chiefs watched Orlando Brown leave for their conference rival and pivoted to Jawaan Taylor as their new left tackle. 

But as the team found out during the postseason, protecting quarterback Patrick Mahomes is of the utmost importance. Ohio State's Dawand Jones could be the long-term answer at tackle for Kansas City.

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