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Ja'Marr Chase NFL Player Props, Odds Thursday Night Football: Predictions for Bengals vs. Ravens

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 16, 2023 5:42 PM EST • 4 min 14 sec read.

Ja'Marr Chase will try to help the Cincinnati Bengals rebound in the AFC North race on Thursday Night Football as they clash with the division-leading Baltimore Ravens, and we have you covered with our Ja'Marr Chase player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

The Houston Texans handed the Cincinnati Bengals a 30-27 defeat last week, causing the Bengals to drop to a 5-4 record for the third consecutive season. The Bengals yielded 544 yards to the Texans, bringing their total yards allowed over the past two games to 1,040 — the most they've allowed in consecutive weeks since 2019.

This week, Cincinnati faces a crucial game, trailing the Baltimore Ravens (7-3) in the AFC North. The Bengals lost the first head-to-head matchup to Baltimore 27-24 in Week 2. Notably, the Bengals have a 15-5 ATS record in their last 20 games as underdogs (including playoffs) and have covered 10 of their last 11 games as underdogs of more than a field goal.

Baltimore, coming off a 33-31 loss to the Cleveland Browns in Week 10, has scored 30-plus points for a fourth consecutive game for the second time in team history. They previously achieved a five-game streak of such offensive output in 2019. According to ESPN Analytics, the Ravens hold a 65% chance of winning this matchup.

Make sure to check out our Bengals vs. Ravens prediction, Bengals-Ravens props, Bengals-Ravens SGP, Joe Burrow props, and Lamar Jackson props to go along with our best Ja’Marr Chase NFL player prop predictions for the Bengals vs. Ravens Week 11 TNF matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Ja’Marr Chase NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

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Ja’Marr Chase player props

Ja’Marr Chase Over 78.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Ja'Marr Chase was a game-time decision last week with a sore back, but he still was on the field for 91.5% of the team's passing plays. Bengals QB Joe Burrow has the fifth-highest Total QBR since Week 7 (72), and without wideout Tee Higgins to take away Chase's targets, we expect Cincinnati's top receiver to be targeted plenty.

Though the Ravens limited Chase to five catches and 31 yards in Week 2, he has still surpassed this projected total in three of the last five meetings between these teams. Chase lined up in the slot in a season-high 30.4% of the time in the first matchup, per Sharp Football Analysis, so he was likely getting used to a different role early in the season. However, remember that Burrow was still hampered by a calf injury he suffered in the preseason in that game, so a healthier Burrow raises Chase's ceiling exponentially. We are also getting a decent line compared to numberFire's projections, as it pegs Chase for 7.1 receptions and 85.9 yards. 

We are making this wager at bet365, as DraftKings has steeper -115 odds for the same line, while FanDuel's O/U of 83.5 receiving yards provides worse value for Over backers.

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Ja’Marr Chase anytime touchdown scorer (+137 via bet365) ⭐⭐

The Ravens have been stingy against opposing quarterbacks this season, allowing just five of 10 to throw for at least one touchdown, and none have thrown for three or more. In addition, just six players have caught a touchdown against Baltimore, and only one has caught multiple touchdowns. However, this play has some optimism as Chase has found the endzone in two of four games against Baltimore while Mike Macdonald has served as defensive coordinator. And without Higgins on the field, Chase will likely be utilized in the slot more, which maximizes his potential to find a mismatch in the secondary.

The next-closest odds is DraftKings' price of +115, so make sure to get the best value by using our bet365 bonus code: SBRBONUS.

Ja’Marr Chase longest reception Over 23.5 yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

In four games facing Macdonald's Ravens defense, Chase has seen 12-plus targets three times and turned those into seven or more receptions in each of those games. That is plenty of volume and presents multiple opportunities to cash this wager. While Baltimore's secondary has allowed just two 100-yard receivers this year, a lot of that damage has come from opposing No. 1 wideouts recently, as the Ravens have allowed 98 or more yards to Amari Cooper and Amon-Ra St. Brown. Cooper broke off a 28-yard reception, and while St. Brown's longest catch was 15 yards, the Ravens did allow a 22-yard play to Josh Reynolds in that game. 

This is a three-star play, as Chase has been targeted nearly 12 times per game over the last five games, and we expect him to convert at least one of those opportunities into a big gain. bet365 is our go-to shop for this wager, as our other best sports betting apps have this line higher. If bettors are interested in the potential for a huge payout, FanDuel gives Chase +430 odds to have the longest reception of any player in this game.

Ja’Marr Chase player prop picks made 11/16/2023 at 6:13 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”