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Joe Burrow NFL Player Props, Odds Thursday Night Football: Predictions for Bengals vs. Ravens

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 16, 2023 5:43 PM EST • 3 min 20 sec read.

The Baltimore Ravens play host to the Cincinnati Bengals, as we make our best Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

On Sunday, the Houston Texans handed the Cincinnati Bengals a shocking defeat, ending their four-game winning streak and causing them to fall to a 5-4 record. In that game, Burrow recorded 347 passing yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions.

Over his last five games, Burrow has thrown for 300-plus yards in three instances and has delivered multiple touchdown passes in five consecutive contests. In his earlier encounter with the Baltimore Ravens this year, he concluded with 222 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.

In conjunction with our Bengals vs. Ravens prediction, Bengals-Ravens props, Bengals-Ravens SGP, Ja'Marr Chase props, and Lamar Jackson props, here are our best Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Joe Burrow NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

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Joe Burrow player props

Joe Burrow Over 256.5 passing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

At the time of writing, FanDuel has Burrow’s total listed at 252.5, and they’re asking -114 for the Over. Yet we believe that there is more value in playing this prop at Caesars. The total is higher, but taking an extra four yards to get nearly +100 odds is worth it.

Burrow has thrown for 347 and 348 yards in his last two games. In the Bengals 31-17 win over the San Francisco 49ers three weeks ago, Burrow threw for 283 yards. Even without Tee Higgins again this week, we like him to have another really good yardage performance.

The Ravens are allowing just 173.1 passing yards per game. But they struggled with Burrow in Week 2, despite him being far from his healthiest self. The Bengals aren’t going to stop throwing if the passing game doesn’t work early. Therefore, Burrow will end up with nearly 300 yards again, whether his team wins or loses this game.

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Joe Burrow Over 24.5 passing completions (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Burrow has completed at least 24 passes in five consecutive games. He’s completed at least 27 passes in each of his last three games. While he has attempted 40 or more passes in back-to-back games, we’re more comfortable taking his completions to go Over than his attempts because of how accurate he’s been.

Burrow has completed at least 66.7% of his passes in six consecutive games. In his last five performances, he’s completed more than 70% of his passes three times. The Bengals are averaging the second-fewest rushing attempts per game in the NFL. That means Burrow will be throwing plenty tonight. If he passes the ball at least 36 times and completes two-thirds of his passes, then he’ll end the game with 24 completions.

Based on recent performances, that’s his worst-case scenario.

Joe Burrow Over 1.5 touchdown passes (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The price for this prop is shockingly strong. All of the other best sports betting apps are offering Over 1.5 touchdown passes for -113 or -115, but FanDuel has the price listed at +102. It’s always a plus when you’re getting a bet at +100 or better, but it’s an even more valuable bet when you’re backing something that has happened five times in a row.

The Bengals’ offense is all about the passing game. That’s why Burrow’s numbers have been so incredible over the past few weeks. But the Bengals are also a team that will continue to throw the football when they get into the red zone. The Bengals are averaging less than 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game while averaging 1.6 passing touchdowns.

The Ravens have a very good pass defense, but Burrow was able to throw for two touchdowns when he faced them back in Week 2, despite dealing with his calf injury. Healthy this week, we expect Burrow to continue his streak of two or more touchdown passes.

Joe Burrow player prop picks made 11/16/2023 at 9:15 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.