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Giants vs. Eagles NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Christmas Day

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 25, 2023 4:10 PM EST • 3 min 22 sec read.

A.J. Brown #11 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates in the second half
A.J. Brown #11 of the Philadelphia Eagles celebrates in the second half at Lumen Field on December 18, 2023 in Seattle, Washington. Photo by Jane Gershovich via AFP

The New York Giants and Philadelphia Eagles play the second of three Christmas Day matchups, and we offer our top Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props for Week 16 based on the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks.

Prior to their 24-6 loss on the road against the New Orleans Saints, the New York Giants, holding a 5-9 record, displayed promise with a three-game winning streak. However, that defeat marked their seventh double-digit loss of the season, highlighting a worrisome trend as the Giants secured their ninth losing record in the last 11 seasons.

Philadelphia (10-4) doesn't arrive in much better form, having suffered three consecutive losses, marking its longest losing streak since Jalen Hurts took over as the starting quarterback.

These teams are scheduled to face each other twice in the upcoming three weeks. The Giants face a daunting task as the Eagles have claimed victory in their last 10 consecutive home games against them. Moreover, Hurts boasts a 17-1 record in his career as a home favorite.

Here are our best Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props for Week 16. Also check out our NFL Christmas Day predictions and Giants-Eagles prediction (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Giants vs. Eagles NFL player props: Week 16

Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+110 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Whatever MVP odds hopes Jalen Hurts is still clinging to is tied to his unique rushing volume, as he has gone consecutive games without a passing touchdown but has had multiple rushing touchdowns in three of the last five weeks.

However, Hurts’ schedule has been murderous with six consecutive games against teams currently .500 or better (a stretch that has seen him rank in the bottom four in passer rating), and I expect the Eagles offense to get right in a big way against the Giants defense.

New York ranks in the bottom eight in passing yards per game and adjusted completion rate since Week 10.

The Giants are coming off allowing Derek Carr to throw for a season-high three touchdowns, so I'm buying low on Hurts after he had season-lows in passing yards (143), yards per attempt (4.6), completion percentage (55%), and touchdown-to-interception ratio (0-2) last week.

We are getting great value for Hurts to throw for multiple touchdowns at BetRivers, especially since the Over is juiced as high as -114 at FanDuel.

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A.J. Brown anytime touchdown scorer (+105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

If we expect Hurts to throw for multiple touchdowns, then the +105 odds offered at FanDuel for Brown to find the end zone is great value, especially compared to the -105 odds at BetMGM.

Brown has just one touchdown in the last five games, but faces a Giants defense that has allowed 18 different players to catch a touchdown.

From a fantasy perspective, that ranks in the bottom five of points per reception (PPR) points allowed per game to wide receivers.

While New York allows the third-most rushing touchdowns to opponents this season, Brown has the second-most yards against man coverage, a 45% target share and 52.8% of the team’s air yards when facing a blitz (per Sharp Football Analysis). This is something the Giants do at the second-highest rate in the league.

This is a three-star play at the best sportsbooks as Brown continues to be a target hog (10 or more targets in three straight games) and has seen 33 more targets than teammate DeVonta Smith when Hurts is blitzed.

Darren Waller Over 3.5 receptions (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

New York tight end Darren Waller has not been the red-zone threat many imagined he would be, with just one receiving touchdown in nine games.

However, he is still the team’s second-leading receiver despite limited playing time and he ran routes on nearly 48% of New York’s pass plays in his first game back from injury last week.

I expect Waller’s target share to increase from the 27.3% he saw on his routes last week with another game under his belt, especially when facing an Eagles defense that ranks in the bottom half of the league in receiving yards per game allowed to tight ends.

This is a four-star play, as per Sharp Football Analysis, the Eagles rank in the bottom eight of the league in catch rate allowed to tight ends (25th) while Philadelphia overall ranks 28th against the pass.

FanDuel provides the best value for this wager, as BetMGM is juiced as high as -130 for Waller to haul in four-plus passes.

Giants vs. Eagles player props made 12/22/2023 at 1:02 p.m. ET

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.