While the Week 12 NFL Sunday slate is relatively sparse, featuring four games spread across Thanksgiving and Black Friday, there's still ample excitement in the first touchdown scorer markets this week, with excellent value available in a couple of long shots.
Check out our NFL Week 12 predictions and NFL Week 12 player props to accompany our best NFL first touchdown scorer predictions for Week 12 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
First touchdown scorer predictions: Week 12
Editor’s note: Please note the first touchdown scorer market is highly volatile for any matchup and all wagers should be made with a reduced investment.
Browns vs. Broncos first touchdown scorer prediction: Courtland Sutton, DEN, WR (+1000 via ESPN BET)
Broncos wideout Courtland Sutton has reached the end zone safely in five straight games. In three of those, he was the first player on his team to cross the goal line. He was the first person on either team to score a touchdown in two of those matchups. Overall, Sutton has eight touchdowns in 10 games this season.
The Cleveland Browns have surrendered the first touchdown of the game five times this season, including two of their last four contests. The Browns are allowing 1.5 passing touchdowns away from home this year. Six opposing wideouts have crossed the goal line against them on the road in 2023.
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Steelers vs. Bengals first touchdown scorer prediction: Joe Mixon, CIN, WR, (+550 via bet365)
The Cincinnati Bengals have scored the first touchdown in five of their 10 games this season. Each of those was scored by a different player but one of the most notable names missing from that list is star running back Joe Mixon.
The veteran running back crossed the goal line five times this season. Four have been via the ground game with the other through the passing game, and Mixon reached the end zone safely in each of his last four games.
The Pittsburgh Steelers allowed their opponents to score the first touchdown in seven of their ten games this season. The Steelers have surrendered eight total touchdowns to opposing running backs in 2023. Last week, Browns running back Jerome Ford accounted for the first six-point play of the day against Pittsburgh.
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Chiefs vs. Raiders first touchdown scorer prediction: Justin Watson, Chiefs, WR (+1800 via DraftKings)
Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Justin Watson has begun to climb the ranks in the receiving corps and is the third-most targeted player on the team entering Week 12. Last week, he enjoyed a breakout game in which he caught his first touchdown of the season against the Philadelphia Eagles. That score accounted for the first six points of the game and the Chiefs logged the first touchdown in all but one of their games this season.
The Las Vegas Raiders scored the first touchdown in eight of their 11 games this season. However, last week, they allowed Miami Dolphins wideout Tyreek Hill to strike first against them. Las Vegas has allowed the Chiefs to cross the goal line first in three of their last five meetings.
First touchdown scorer predictions for Week 12 made Thursday at 4 p.m. ET.
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