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Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles as we offer our Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction and Super Bowl picks for Super Bowl 2025.
Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) throws a pass against the Philadelphia Eagles. Photo by Jay Biggerstaff / Imagn Images.

For the second time in three seasons, the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles will face off in the Big Game as we offer our Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction and Super Bowl picks.

The Chiefs are 1.5-point favorites by the Super Bowl opening odds to beat the Eagles when they meet Sunday, Feb. 9, at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. Kansas City also won the previous matchup, 38-35, before winning a second straight title last year.

Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction: Jan. 26

Here are our NFL picks for the Super Bowl with confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Who will win the Super Bowl?

Chiefs ML (-125 via BetMGM)

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The Chiefs opened as the favorites by the preseason Super Bowl odds, and I fully expect them to finish the job and win their third straight Lombardi Trophy.

If Kansas City can take care of business as the moneyline favorite, its -125 odds would turn a $10 bet into an $8 profit at BetMGM.

Chiefs vs. Eagles spread prediction

Here are our best Super Bowl prediction with odds from our best NFL betting sites.

Chiefs to cover the spread (-1.5)

Best odds: -110 via Caesars | Implied probability: 52.38%

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All season long, we've been waiting ... and waiting ... and waiting for that version of the Chiefs to show up - the one that looked invincible over the last two postseasons. And even after 15 wins in the regular season, the wait continued into the AFC Championship.

Then, like clockwork, Patrick Mahomes turned into Robo QB in the biggest game of the season with nary a mistake through the air and two touchdowns on the ground, to boot. And Steve Spagnuolo's defense did enough against the closing NFL MVP odds favorite in Josh Allen to beat the Buffalo Bills and set up this star-studded rematch with the Eagles.

We all know what to expect from Philly, which rushed for 229 yards and seven touchdowns in the NFC Championship. But I have serious doubts about Jalen Hurts' ability to navigate the blitzes coming his way in the Super Bowl - especially at less than full health - and the Eagles' ability to contend with Kansas City's short passing attack.

This should be a compelling game, as seemingly every Chiefs game has been this season. And, like all of those, this one should end with Kansas City doing just enough before the clock hits zeroes to celebrate a third straight Super Bowl victory.

Sunday's best Super Bowl pick

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes reacts after scoring a touchdown as we offer our Chiefs vs. Eagles prediction and Super Bowl picks.
Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) reacts after scoring a touchdown. Photo by Denny Medley / Imagn Images.

Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP

Best odds: +110 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 47.62%

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While the Chiefs are on a quest to make history with a third straight Super Bowl victory, Mahomes could also rewrite the record books if he wins the MVP award once again.

Mahomes is the early Super Bowl MVP odds favorite after combining for 288 total yards and three touchdowns - including two on the ground - in the AFC Championship. Now he gets to face an Eagles defense that, while statistically impressive, is willing to cede the type of short-yardage plays that Mahomes thrives on.

He should post the requisite box-score numbers to earn the credit if the Chiefs win a third straight championship, and the potential history that awaits him with another MVP trophy should be enough to break any sort of tie with Travis Kelce or other fan favorites.

With DraftKings offering +110 odds on another Super Bowl MVP for Mahomes, this might even be the best way to bet the Chiefs to win the game if you can tolerate a little extra risk.

Today's Super Bowl odds

Here are the latest Super Bowl odds from our best Super Bowl betting sites.

Who is favored to win the Super Bowl?

The Chiefs were priced as 1.5-point favorites by the Super Bowl look-ahead odds before the conference championships, and they remain the favorites with -125 moneyline odds to win a third straight Super Bowl after outlasting the Bills in the AFC Championship.

The Eagles are underdogs even after beating the Washington Commanders by 32 points and dropping 55 points offensively. These two teams combined for 73 points when they met in Super Bowl LVII two years ago, though the total sits at 48.5 for the rematch.

Super Bowl game info

  • Date: Sunday, Feb. 9
  • Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
  • Favorite: Chiefs (-125 via BetMGM)
  • TV: FOX, Fubo (streaming)
  • Halftime show: Kendrick Lamar
  • Anthem: Jon Batiste

Super Bowl betting odds pages

Don't miss our all of our other NFL futures.

Here are our best Super Bowl betting sites:

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