Caleb Williams NFL Player Props, Odds: Week 1

Caleb Williams makes his NFL debut as his Chicago Bears take on the Tennessee Titans on Sunday.

While researching Caleb Williams NFL player props this week you'll need to rely on preseason stats and a lot of hype.

Our best sportsbooks are putting his season passing total north of 3,500 yards, and many believe the Bears are contenders for the NFC North with him under center. They're among the best worst to first division winner candidates, and Chicago is receiving a -110 price in the NFL playoff odds.

So what should we expect from the former Heisman Trophy winner against the Titans? Will the promise he showed in the preseason pan out? Or is he due to struggle in his first real test against an NFL defense?

Caleb Williams prop predictions for Week 1

• Caleb Williams Under 240.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
• Caleb Williams Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
• Caleb Williams Over 33.5 pass attempts (-108 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

NFL odds as of Saturday and subject to change. Track the NFL scores for the latest line movement and matchup info.

Caleb Williams player props

NFL picks made Saturday; odds subject to change.

Caleb Williams Under 240.5 passing yards (-110) ⭐⭐⭐

This is one of the most-anticipated NFL debuts in recent memory, and most of the public money is going toward the Over on Williams' passing yards prop. But the number has dropped since opening at 245.5 through most of our best sports betting sites.

Williams looked good in preseason, but he wasn’t as effective as the hype suggests. He completed four passes for 95 yards against the Buffalo Bills. Williams also completed fewer than 50% of his pass attempts for 75 yards in his other appearance. The Titans allowed just 227.4 passing yards per game last season. Why assume that Williams is already better than an average NFL QB?

Before betting, shop around. This number ranges from 237.5 to 244.5. The price for Under 237.5 is -113 through FanDuel, so there’s no value. And while Under 244.5 would be nice, Caesars is asking -123.

That's why we're going with bet365 as part of our NFL predictions for Week 1.

However, when he is successful passing, Gary Pearson thinks Bears tight end Cole Kmet will be a frequent target for Williams in his Titans vs. Bears prediction.

Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%

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Caleb Williams Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-105) ⭐⭐⭐

Only one of the four best live betting sites favors Williams to throw fewer than two touchdown passes in this game, with FanDuel offering the under for -118. All of our other best sports betting apps favor the Over and are pricing the Under at -110 or cheaper.

Not only is there no value in taking Williams to throw more than 1.5 touchdown passes, there also isn’t much sense in that play. Williams didn’t throw a single touchdown pass in the preseason, and August football doesn’t mean much, that's all we can work with here. His time with the USC Trojans truly doesn’t matter when he steps on the field Sunday.

Even CJ Stroud during his incredible Offensive Rookie of the Year season last campaign didn’t throw a touchdown pass in his first game. He went against the Baltimore Ravens' defense, which allowed the fewest touchdown passes last year. The Titans allowed the eighth-fewest.

Best odds: -105 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 51.22%

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Caleb Williams Over 34.5 pass attempts (-108) ⭐⭐⭐

While I don’t hold the highest hopes for Williams during his debut, I do expect him to throw a lot in this game. New additions beyond Williams are energizing the Bears. And despite Chicago being favored in this game, the contest is a tossup.

Perhaps the Bears lean on D’Andre Swift and Khalil Herbert, but the Titans boast a quality run defense. They allowed just over 100 yards per game last season. But what really makes us like this Over is Williams’ completion percentage in preseason. He completed 10 of 20 passes. His inability to complete passes will lead to more attempts

FanDuel is offering the best price, but its total is also one higher than every other outlet posting the best sportsbook promos. The price is worth it though, as some others are asking as much as -133 for over 33.5.

Our Connor Cooper thinks Williams' passing will be part of a high-scoring affair, and he's included the Titans-Bears Over as part of his NFL parlay picks for Week 1.

Best odds: -108 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.92%

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Titans vs. Bears odds

Titans vs. Bears game info

• When: Sunday, Sept. 8
• Kickoff: 1:00 p.m. ET
• Where: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
• How to watch: FOX
• Weather: 71 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 9-mph winds
• Favorite: Bears (-180 via DraftKings)

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