R.J. Barrett and Jalen Brunson will attempt to lead the New York Knicks to a home victory over the visiting Miami Heat, and we have our Heat vs. Knicks NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The New York Knicks showcased their prowess by securing back-to-back victories against the struggling Washington Wizards and Charlotte Hornets, both teams lower in the standings. Their winning streak encountered a setback when they clashed with the first-place Minnesota Timberwolves, suffering a significant defeat that halted their momentum.
The Miami Heat are one of the hottest teams in the Association, with nine wins in their last 10 games, including two straight victories by at least 18 points over the Chicago Bulls and Cleveland Cavaliers. The Heat are 6-4 on the road, while the Knicks are 3-2 at home.
Miami beat New York 4-2 in the 2023 Eastern Conference semifinals, but this is the first time these teams have met since that series concluded. Who will win, and which player props are most valuable?
Heat vs. Knicks NBA player props
Jalen Brunson Over 24.5 points (+115 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Brunson’s points prop is set at 23.5 across our best sports betting apps with odds between -105 and -110, but we can get it at plus money for just one more point. FanDuel offers the longest odds at +115, so that’s where we’ll turn our attention.
Brunson is averaging a career-best 24.2 points per game in his second season with the Knicks, and that prolific scoring is mainly due to his three-point shooting. After hitting a career-high 2.0 threes per game in 2022-23, Brunson’s knocking down 3.2 per contest at a blistering 47.9% clip. The Heat allow the ninth-most threes to opponents and the seventh-highest three-point percentage.
In seven games since posting a seven-point dud against the Clippers, Brunson has averaged 26.3 points. He’s scored at least 25 points in three straight and five of his last seven. He should have no problem leading the Knicks in scoring thanks to his long-range prowess, and he’ll look to pick up where he left off in the 2023 playoffs. In six games against Miami, he averaged 31 points and 2.8 triples, scoring at least 25 points five times.
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Bam Adebayo Under 10.5 rebounds (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Adebayo is averaging a career-best 10.2 rebounds per game this season, and he’s pulled down at least 11 rebounds in seven of 13 games. He’s hit this mark in six of his last eight, so why are we taking the Under?
The Knicks comfortably lead the Association in fewest rebounds allowed to opponents with a paltry 47.4 overall and 47.6 at home. New York has not allowed a starting center to pull down 10 rebounds in any of its last five outings, including seven rebounds allowed to Rudy Gobery, eight to Mark Williams, and just three to Clint Capela.
Over the last two seasons, Adebayo has faced the Knicks seven times. He’s accumulated at least 11 rebounds only twice and averaged 9.1 rebounds against them. Bam is currently dealing with a hip injury, meaning he’s unlikely to be at his best tonight, further adding to the appeal of this prop.
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R.J. Barrett Over 16.5 points (-105 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This season, Barrett is averaging career-highs in points (20.8) and three-pointers (2.7). He’s posting those numbers with career-best efficiency, shooting 45.4% from the floor, 83.3% from the charity stripe, and 49% from beyond the arc. After two lackluster showings, his points prop is depressed and mispriced for Friday’s matchup with the Heat.
Barrett missed three games due to migraines and scored 14 and 15 points in two games since returning. Before the trio of absences, he scored at least 17 points in six of seven games. Over the last two seasons, he’s faced the Heat seven times and scored at least 17 points in six contests. Like Brunson, Barrett should have no problem taking advantage of Miami’s generous perimeter defense.
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Heat-Knicks NBA player props made 11/24/2023 at 8:55 a.m. ET.
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