🏀 Storm vs. Fever Prediction: WNBA Picks for Sunday, May 17
Coming off an overtime loss on Friday night, the Indiana Fever (1-2) hope to get back on track when they host the Seattle Storm (1-2) at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis on Peacock.
Indiana is an 11.5-point favorite as a WNBA championship odds contender, but my Storm vs. Fever predictions are counting on a track meet right out of the gate. Both teams have been showing the ability to score in the first quarter this year.
🏀 Storm vs. Fever prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Storm +11.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 0.5u → 0.45u | If Aliyah Boston can't go, this line will drop before tipoff. |
| First-quarter Over 44.5 (-108 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.93u | Seattle has gone Over this mark in all three games, while Indiana is 2-1. |
| Caitlin Clark Over 4.5 first-quarter points (-120 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.83u | Caitlin Clark has cleared this line in all three games this season, averaging 6.3 first-quarter points. |
| Flau'jae Johnson Over 2.5 first-quarter points (-130 via FanDuel) | 1u → 0.77u | Flau'jae Johnson has cleared this line in two of her three outings. |
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 2.98 units
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🏆 Who will win Storm vs. Fever?
I predict a 10-point win for the Fever in a game that's unlikely to feature much defense. Indiana's offensive firepower should prevail in the end.
Score prediction: Indiana 94, Seattle 84
💰 Storm vs. Fever prediction & best bet
First-quarter Over 44.5 (-108)
Both the Fever and Storm rank in the top five in first-quarter scoring, averaging 25-plus points. Seattle has gone Over this first-quarter total in all three games to start the season, while Indiana is 2-1 at clearing 44.5 points.
As if that weren't enough, the Fever could be without their defensive anchor if they decide to rest center Aliyah Boston. That could make them even more vulnerable defensively, especially with tired legs.
This total is only at FanDuel, but it's worth a play at 45.5 or better.
🔥 Best Storm vs. Fever player prop bet
Caitlin Clark Over 4.5 first-quarter points (-120)
Sticking with the first-quarter theme, I'm backing Caitlin Clark to score at least five points in the opening period. This prop is only available at FanDuel, but it's worth playing as long as the line is trading at 4.5.
Clark has scored at least six points in the first quarter of all three games to start the season. She's averaging 6.3 first-quarter points on five field-goal attempts in 7.3 minutes per contest. The Storm, meanwhile, just surrendered seven first-quarter points to Toronto Tempo guard Marina Mabrey last time out.
With Clark's scoring line being lower than Kelsey Mitchell's prop (6.5), I'll back the better player.
🚀 Storm vs. Fever same-game parlay
It's clear that I'm banking on a fast start from both teams, so targeting any first-quarter markets is my preferred approach. I've added Flau'Jae Johnson's first-quarter total to this parlay, as she's in line for a bigger role with Dominique Malonga ruled out on Sunday.
💵 Storm vs. Fever SGP picks
- First-quarter Over 44.5 (-108)
- Caitlin Clark Over 4.5 first-quarter points (-120)
- Flau'jae Johnson Over 2.5 first-quarter points (-130)
Best odds: +346 via FanDuel (0.1u -> 0.35u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-4 | +1.53 units ✅ | 23.2% ✅ |
| Player props | 2-1 | +0.8 units ✅ | 24.2% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-2 | +0.08 units ✅ | 26.7% ✅ |
📊 Live Storm vs. Fever odds
📺 How to watch Storm vs. Fever
- Date: Sunday, May 17
- Tipoff: 6 p.m. ET
- Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse (Indianapolis)
- TV: NBC Sports Network
- Streaming: Peacock
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