Georgia vs. Ole Miss Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 11
Georgia and Ole Miss, a pair of Top 16 seeds in the first College Football Playoff rankings, go head-to-head in a Week 11 SEC showdown on Saturday.
As part of our Week 11 college football predictions, our Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction expects the No. 3 team to pick up a much-needed victory. Kickoff is slated for 3:30 p.m. ET (ABC) from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium in Oxford, Miss.
The Bulldogs haven’t been as consistently dominant as many expected this season. Still, a road win in Oxford would go a long way to proving their legitimacy and improving their College Football Playoff odds. Meanwhile, another loss would crush the Rebels’ hopes of making the inaugural 12-team College Football Playoff.
Best Georgia vs. Ole Miss picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Georgia -2.5 (-110 via FanDuel) vs. Ole Miss ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Jaxson Dart Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Georgia vs. Ole Miss against the spread prediction: Week 11
Georgia to cover the spread: -2.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Georgia vs. Ole Miss opening odds:
- Georgia: -2.5 (-120 via BetMGM)
- Ole Miss: +2.5 (+100 via BetMGM)
History suggests backing Kirby Smart
Trends are telling bettors to take Ole Miss as the home underdog. Georgia is the worst team in the SEC against the spread, with a stunning 2-6 record. The Bulldogs’ clip is one of the worst in the country, too, whereas the Rebels are 6-3 in the same category.
However, the latter has overperformed against a weak strength of schedule. Ole Miss is 0-1 ATS against ranked opponents to Georgia’s 2-1.
History suggests the Bulldogs are the right team to back in this spot. Georgia has won 11 of the last 12 meetings between the two foes and 33 of 46 all-time. Only five of the Bulldogs’ wins saw them win by a field goal or less, the last instance coming in 1999. Lastly, Georgia’s 14-9 win in 2006 was the lone game of the nine this century to be decided by one score. The Bulldogs have personified dominance over the last three decades of this series.
Kirby Smart will use the team’s No. 3 ranking as an opportunity to motivate his players. While Georgia hasn’t looked convincing most of the season, they show up when it matters most — ask the Texas Longhorns. I’m confident Carson Beck and Co. will clean up their act and get the job done on the road.
Best odds: -110 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 52.38%
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Georgia vs. Ole Miss best bet
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Jaxson Dart Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+120) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Dart began the year as a serious contender by the Heisman Trophy odds as Ole Miss looked poised for a title challenge. Even though Dart’s numbers look good, they’re heavily inflated by the Rebels running up the score on mediocre teams.
Fifteen of Dart’s 23 touchdown passes came against three opponents: Arkansas, Furman, and Georgia Southern. He’s thrown fewer than two touchdowns in more than half of his games this year. Now, he faces a top-30 pass defense that’s allowed just three opposing quarterbacks to post multi-touchdown games.
The Bulldogs have surrendered one passing touchdown per game through eight weeks. Factor in the 84% chance of rain at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (which ties into our Georgia vs. Ole Miss early picks), and it’s surprising to see FanDuel still offering this player prop at plus money.
Best odds: +120 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 45.45%
Georgia vs. Ole Miss odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Georgia vs. Ole Miss game info
- When: Saturday, Nov. 9
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford, Miss.)
- How to watch: ABC/ESPN+
- Weather: 74 degrees, 84% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph ESE
- Favorite: Georgia -2.5 (-120 via BetMGM)
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