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Georgia vs. Ole Miss Early Picks, Predictions & Odds Week 11

Mike Spector

Last Updated: November 4, 2024 8:31 AM EST • 3 min 12 sec read.

Florida Gators edge George Gumbs Jr. pressures Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck as we offer our Georgia vs. Ole Miss early picks.
Florida Gators edge George Gumbs Jr. pressures Georgia Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck. Photo by Doug Engle/Gainesville Sun via Imagn

This SEC showdown with College Football Playoff odds implications is arguably the game of the week in college football for Week 11, as the Ole Miss Rebels host the Georgia Bulldogs.

  • Georgia is coming off a 34-20 win over Florida, its 39th straight against teams not ranked in the AP Poll
  • Ole Miss’ 63 points against Arkansas last week ties its record for the most against an SEC opponent
  • The Bulldogs still have some of the best college football championship odds despite already having only one loss

While our Georgia vs. Ole Miss predictions and odds recognize that oddsmakers are giving the Rebels their best chance to knock off the Bulldogs in recent memory, we're leaning toward the Under.

Kickoff is set for 3:30 p.m. ET from Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

My early Georgia vs. Ole Miss prediction

College football picks made Monday; odds subject to change. Our NEW college football player prop odds tool can help you find the best odds on any market across legal sportsbooks in your area!

Prediction: Under 54.5 

Best odds: -110 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 52.38%

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It may seem blasphemous to back the Under in a game involving an Ole Miss team that set a bunch of offensive records last week. Still, the weather forecast in Oxford is calling for a high probability of rain, which should compromise Ole Miss’ high-powered passing attack led by Jaxson Dart.

Furthermore, Georgia’s offense has looked shaky in recent weeks despite coming off a 34-point performance against Florida. Carson Beck has thrown 11 interceptions, all in the last five games, and his three games with three-plus interceptions this season are the most among FBS quarterbacks.

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Georgia vs. Ole Miss live odds

See the college football odds from our best college football betting sites for every Week 11 game.

Moneyline

This game has the makings of a “Pros vs. Joes” betting split. The public is likely to back the Bulldogs given the program’s recent success winning national titles, not to mention their big road win at Texas.

Sharps will recognize that Ole Miss has beaten Georgia just once in 12 meetings since 1997, yet the Rebels will still get plenty of support on the moneyline given the Bulldogs’ recent struggles.

Spread

  • Georgia best odds: -2.5 (-110) via BetMGM
  • Ole Miss best odds: +3 (-115) via DraftKings

Though there is just a half-point difference in the point spread among our best college betting sites, it represents a significant difference, given that DraftKings’ spread lands on the key number of three.

DraftKings is the only shop offering Ole Miss +3, and I expect it to align with the rest of its competitors at +2.5 (or lower) throughout the week given how dominant Ole Miss looked last week.

Meanwhile, Georgia trailed Florida 13-6 at halftime, and the perception of point-spread bettors may be that the Bulldogs were fortunate the Gators lost their quarterback to a hamstring injury in the first half.

Over/Under

  • Over best odds: 54.5 (-105) via FanDuel
  • Under best odds: 54.5 (-110) via BetMGM

Both teams are profitable to the Under this season. Georgia’s O/U record is 3-5 entering the week, while Ole Miss has seen the Under cash in seven of its nine games.

The initial line movement could shade to the Over as a response to Jaxson Dart’s school record of 515 passing yards and six passing touchdowns last week.

But if the forecast remains with a 100% chance of rain, Under backers will want to place their wagers early before the total ticks down as a response to the inclement conditions.

How to watch Georgia vs. Ole Miss

  • When: Saturday, Nov. 9
  • Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium (Oxford, Miss.)
  • How to watch: ABC/ESPN+
  • Weather: 72 degrees, 100% chance of precipitation, wind 7 mph SE
  • Favorite: Georgia -2.5 (-110 via BetMGM)

College football betting odds pages

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Heisman Trophy OddsFCS Championship oddsBig 12 championship oddsMAC championship odds
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Written By:
Mike Spector
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he's especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike's a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He's tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”