Murray is continuing his post-Federer ass whooping form. Kohlschreiber leads 4-1 in the 1st. Need the dipshit to get his head on for a set so I can snag this damn over.
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yeah i almost argued with cs rep because my wager did not go through i was about to put 2 units
on the head case ml in hopes since he got back with his girlfriend. but not the case hopefully he will get it together in the second set so you can get your over
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Yeah I can't see backing him at big favorite prices considering his form and state of mind. That's why I didn't include him in anything but this today. Nalbandian-Youzhny getting ready to start soon.Comment -
Murray can't get a 1st serve in for shit today. Kohlschreiber is going to have to fold pretty hard here to even get this to a 3rd set. Murray probably about to get broken again.Comment -
yeah Nalbandian-Youzhny looks like a good match leaning towards a over 22 your thoughtsComment -
Not sure on the total. Would probably lean Over, but Nalbandian could roll him if he's right. Just have Nalbandian to finish a parlay.Comment -
Wow. Murray was epicly bad today. I predicted after he lost that he might wind up in Juan Martin Del Potro land from 2009 after DelPo got killed by Federer in Australia. Murray needs to be faded at this point.Comment -
I THINK my one dumb WTA play today is Bacsinszky at -110. Don't quite understand the price for the more accomplished player on this surface. I THINK it's a decent shot, but it is WTA so who knows.Comment -
WTA style 3rd set with Nalbandian-Youzhny. Going to a tie break. Have little confidence that fat ass pulls this off.Comment -
Well Fat Boy somehow made it through, 7-5 in the tie break which was also WTA style. Dipshit was up 5-2 and serving, gave two points back and then Youzhny served, gave one back and Nalbandian actually closed the door on his serve. I beg the books to make Robredo a dog against Nalbandian because I will POUND that shit. Nalbandian just spent 3 hours on court while Robredo has been cruising on easy street.Comment -
I had the mad russian,but glad you won your parlay!!Comment -
Hey and my WTA play came in too. Bacsinskzy in 3.Comment -
Things I THINK I Know ... Thursday, April 15th
I THINK there is little doubt in my mind that I will be backing Robredo at +125 or better against Nalbandian. Fat Dave labored against Youzhny and probably would have been beaten by anyone worth their mettle on clay. Robredo, I THINK is that guy.
Wawrinka is currently the in-form player on this surface. I THINK I want to see the O/U for his match with Djokovic. If they give it at anything 22 or less, I THINK the OVER is solidly in order. If it's 22.5 or better, than I THINK I'd have to THINK about it again.
I THINK the Berdych-Verdasco match is going to be fun to watch. Berdy got the best of him on hard court last month in what has been a competitive head-2-head series. The three clay court meetings between the two have been a pair of three setters and a 23 game two set match. If the books give you 22-22.5 for the O/U, I'd THINK about the OVER. I THINK I like Berdych as his form has been steadier. I THINK the price is about right with not much to separate these two on this surface. Berdych at plus odds, I THINK.
JCF is -170 against Tsonga. Tsonga at +157 according to Pinnacle and that is with some support on Tsonga already. I said before that Tsonga would need to be at least a +150 dog in this one. Tsonga saved a lot of break points against Almagro on a bad serving day. JCF has only offered one break point in two rounds and has a chance to avenge the beating Tsonga gave him on the hard court in Miami. I THINK Ferrero is the play here, but would only THINK about using it in a parlay ... perhaps with David Ferrer who has a good edge over Ljubicic on this surface. Parlaying the Ferrer-O would pay out about +120.
Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 04-14-10, 03:57 PM.Comment -
"Ivo" Jankovic over again? Playing Rodina who my guess is just about the same quality as Gallovits,should be around 18.5 to 19.5...well within our range of AUTO PLAY..Comment -
Not sure where that O/U is gonna be. Hard to get a feel for Rodina, but her numbers in the 1st two rounds were not great. She really hasn't played anyone worth a damn on clay comparable to Janks to get a gauge on. I think Jankovic could actually maybe win an easy one here. I would be surprised if it was over 18.5, might even be 18. Probably gonna pass unless it is actually set too high and then might hit the under. Just a gut feeling on this one.Comment -
Djokovic-Wawrinka at 22, OVER I THINK is the play there. Berdych-Verdasco set at 23, no play I THINK on that. Sticking with the Ferrer-O parlay. Berdych. Robredo. Djoko-WaWa OVER. I THINK that is all.Comment -
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Like the Robredo pick a lot. Been down on my luck on tennis these last several days after a nice run, so I'm treading carefully. Going to go relatively small and hope it hits.
Good luck, let's get some winners today!Comment -
Jankovic total is 18. Ish. That cries out for an OVER shot, but I just don't know about this Rodina chick. Plenty of time to churn on it as it's an afternoon match. Is Jankovic really gonna win 6-2, 6-3 or better? I dunno. Something a little off on the Kohlschreiber-Petz handicap. Should be at least 4.5, instead of 4. Books trying to say something there? Kohly certainly being over priced in my book based on one match against a hapless Andy Murray.Comment -
Im done with tennis betting it literally gives me a heart attack. Hockey is where its at these days not every second seems so critical. But best of luck to you hopefully ill see the prop shop appear again for the NBA playoffs
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Well Robredo pretty much is a non-factor today. Disappointing there as I figured Nalbandian would struggle after a long match yesterday. Fat Boy may be back close to 100%.Comment -
I THINK my morning WTA tussle with the bookies is going to be the UNDER in the Bondarenko-Zvonareva match. Vera looked fantastic [meow] in her 1st rounder here and usually when she's rolling early in these clay tourneys, she wins handily. Bondarenko can spring that surprise once in awhile on this surface, but her form suggests she's not up to par with Vera at 100%. Bondarenko's serving #s have been pretty sloth-like so far in Charleston, but she's been able to survive. I THINK I'll take my shot that Zvonareva can win a 6-4, 6-3 type of match.Comment -
Ferrer-O parlay finally cashes. JCF puts away Tsonga 7-5 in the 3rd.Comment -
Good call on the parlay. Haven't had time/determination to do my own capping. Tailed you on that one.Comment -
EZ peezy on the Zvonareva UNDER. Looks like the Djokovic OVER is gonna lose though. Wawrinka wasn't awful, just didn't hold his serve as deep into each set as was needed.Comment -
That Jankovic total is still dangling there like a twinkie waiting to be devoured. Juice on the handicap of 6.5 indicates people are backing Rodina not to lose worse than the six games that a 6-3, 6-3 would deliver and a push on the total of 18. F*ck it. Jankovic is so wishy-washy from match to match and this girl Rodina did get to play on the big stage against Sharapova last summer, so the name won't rattle here. I'll take a shot that the girl can win at least six games and earn a push or maybe more appropriately, I THINK Jankovic can give her chances to win at least six. Let's try to make the books pay for this low total at a solid -105.Comment -
Should have stuck with my original plan on the Jankovic match. That's usually how it goes.Comment -
I THINK I like the OVER at 20.5 between Wozniacki & Petrova today. Petrova's serve is the X factor and she has earned some cheap points with it. Against Wozniacki, that is needed. Woz may be showing fatigue from playing a lot of tennis in the last couple weeks. I THINK if Petrova can use her serve correctly, this one goes 3 - but still has a shot at the OVER in 2.Comment -
I also THINK on the Challenger Level, Nishikori at -145 seems solid. Might THINK about riding the young Aussie Lindahl again at +155 against Sweeting. Dunno, just some thoughts.Comment -
Things I THINK I Know ... Saturday, April 17th
I THINK the O/U for Nadal-Ferrer at 19 is low risk/potentially decent reward if you look at the numbers. It's set at 19. In their clay encounters outside of the French Open, Ferrer has generally played at least one tough set against Nadal. In some cases, he's pushed him to 3 sets. While I don't THINK 3 sets is a high probability today unless Nadal comes out with no serve, I THINK if Ferrer doesn't serve like a chimp, he keeps one set at 6-4 or 7-5. That leaves him needing to win 3 games in the other set maximum for a push. Ferrer is probably the 2nd best player on this surface form-wise at least in 2010 with a 15-1 mark on dirt. Of course, the best player on this surface will be on the other side of the net ... still, I THINK Ferrer if he doesn't try to over play can get an OVER done .... at -105, I THINK that's play #1 this morning. The key will be the 2nd set, I THINK as hopefully Ferrer comes out with a little fire in set #1 to keep it close. Set #2 is usually where Nadal separates himself from those just a notch below him on the totem pole.
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Ferrero is easily better than Ferrer at the Monte Carlo, and Nadal destroyed him. Nadal is way to consistent on the baseline and Ferrer will get sucked into long ralleys until he eventually tries to hit a winner and will make an error. Throw out everything about past matchups between these two guys.
The Nadal from 2 years ago is back. He's hardly broken a sweat this whole tourney. I would be very careful with that over. Nadal is going to jump on Ferrer early and we all know Ferrer plays angry when he's losing, and he usually folds. Good luck with your play.Cause Sleep is the Cousin of DeathComment -
Looks like you were spot on there for the 1st set. Expected Ferrer to at least be competitive in his service games. That first Nadal service game was really a precursor for the set. Nadal wasn't solid to start, but found a way to fend off a break point and won the game then rolled after that. Ferrer had two opportunities to break, but Nadal saved.
We'll see what happens in the 2nd set, not like it'll be the first time I was wrong.
Frickin 5Dimes is taking their sweet ass time putting the WTA Charleston lines up. Wanted to parlay Djokovic & Stosur, but doesn't look like that's gonna happen.Comment -
thought you had it there..Comment -
Finally broke Nadal. Bet the chump gives it right back.Comment -
And there it is, broken right back. Wish they offered that as a prop in live betting.Comment
