Dolgopolov flamed out in the 3rd. I didn't back him [Thank G-O-D-] but Chardy is f-ing worthless. How you lose to someone like Golubev is beyond me.
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I THINK I am a moron, but I am playing doubles today in Monte Carlo. Bellucci & Montanes are +175 against Djokovic-Troicki. Djokovic has played one doubles match in 2010 and lost it. He did team up with Troicki here last year and they made the semis. Books expecting a repeat performance I suppose. I'll take a shot that they don't and take the price.Comment -
Moron was not strong enough. Boys are getting schooled.
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HAHAHA. Oh well, I'm sure you didn't play it large. Your JCF/JM call looks strong. JM up a set and a break now. Nieminen looks defeat early in this second set.Comment -
Nah. Just f-ing around with that doubles one for some small cash. Actually though they had a shot to push it into the breaker, but they just blew it late in the 2nd. Monaco just needs to hold his serve two more times.Comment -
And of course Monaco gets broken. Still 4-4, on serve in the 2nd. Both have been WTA-style serving today. He needs to close it out in the 2nd.Comment -
Monaco gets it done, 7-5, 7-5. At least I won something today.Comment -
Nice call on Ferrero and Monaco, both got through in straight sets.Comment -
Things I THINK I Know ... Tuesday, April 13th ...
I THINK once the O/U is set for Serra/Robert, I will side with the OVER. Robert took Serra the distance at Casablanca last week although Serra won it easily in the last two sets. Robert at +185 might be worth it in the revenge spot, but the OVER seems more likely if it's around 21.5 or 22.
I THINK for the purposes of a parlay, you could do worse than pairing Melzer and Verdasco for around -130. Melzer takes on Mathieu who still doesn't look right. Verdasco gets Benneteau who isn't a real threat for the most part on clay, but the price for Verdasco is too much by himself - but should be okay for a parlay, I THINK.
I THINK the best shot for an upset on Tuesday resides with the Russian, Andreev. Nice price of at least +170 against an up & down Cilic. The OVER would also be a prudent wager I THINK in this one.
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Also, I THINK the common perception is Tsonga is hapless on clay. Not so. He's just not experienced on it. Almagro might be more experienced on clay, but Tsonga has more talent and Almagro I THINK might meet his match. Getting Tsonga at plus money is worth a small shot.Comment -
Both OVERs hit. Need Verdasco to finish the parlay.Comment -
By the way, the Jankovic-Gallovits O/U is set at 18.5 - back into the range of autoplay on the OVER to me. Gallovits played an ITF clay courter last week and won + she's got a match under her belt in Charleston. Not that she's going to win, but Gallovits should keep it competitive enough to get the OVER done today, I THINK if Jankovic takes a little bit to get acclimated to clay after last playing in Miami a few weeks ago.Comment -
Tsonga now at +115. Locked & loaded.Comment -
breaker breaker..come on joe willie..!!Comment -
The tie break has been an absolute mess for both of them, losing points on their own serve frequently. Tsonga gets it though. Gotta shot.Comment -
lets go tsonga french fans need you
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Youre right though that janko over looks good.Should be breaks of serve galore in that one as usual for her matches..Comment -
Avg number of games for first round janko matches this year are 25..
Gallovits has the best record on clay in her career.i like that ,will make for hopefully tight match which hopefully will get us over..Comment -
F-ing Tsonga could have closed this thing out up 5-3 and serving for the match. Got broke.Comment -
Fuc&er!!Comment -
I think he doesn't enjoy winning unless he has to get 7 games in a set to win.
I am really thinking about going fairly heavy on that Jankovic total if Tsonga can pull this out. Will have made a decent profit this morning and will look to ruin it on WTA.Comment -
YES!!!!
Janko here we go!!Comment -
Interesting match-up for Tsonga next round. Should be Ferrero after he wipes Becker out. The line will be interesting to see where it's set because I'm betting the books will probably set it high on JCF to garner some action on Tsonga. I'd say Tsonga needs to be at least +150 in that match.Comment -
Someone with a big bankroll must be reading, 5Dimes OVER juice on the Jankovic total went from -105 to -120.
Berdy up a break on Gasquet already. Good news for another parlay I have pending.Comment -
now they took it down 40 min from start.....Must be really getting hammered...Comment -
They had the start time set at 12:45pm ET. Schynder match has to finish first. It will be back up ... or someone can request it. 5Dimes is real good about that.Comment -
if only all books were like that.Comment -
Yeah. The worst one is BetPhoenix. Their start times are rarely right other than the 1st matches on-court for the day and they don't repost without asking and even when asked, they suck at it.Comment -
Took Jankovic a set to get dialed in, but for the OVER - it appears to be working out beautifully.Comment -
And we're home on the OVER. Boo & ya.Comment -
Things I THINK I Know ... Wednesday, April 14th
I THINK that the O/U with Murray-Kohlschreiber is one I want to see. Murray played well here in 2009, but he also wasn't in his post-Federer whooped my ass in Australia haze. Murray has no prep for this tournament and has been very protective of himself by playing very little tennis since Australia. Kohlschreiber might be just as lost on any given day in 2010 as Murray seems to be, but he does have a match on-court here. He wasn't particularly impressive against Bellucci, but he did win. Murray may struggle to acclimate early, so that could keep an OVER in order if the # is set at 21.5 or so. 22 or higher and I think it's in that gray area of who the F knows.
I THINK most of the prices for Wednesday are chalky and chalk actually looks like it could rule the day. Parlays therefore, I THINK are the order of the day. Favorites I THINK I can back in parlays: Nalbandian, Ferrer, Ferrero, Monaco & Melzer. Pairing Nalbandian & Melzer gives you the two lowest prices - they combine for a risk of about -104. Melzer has a good edge over Petzschner who generally struggles on dirt. Youzhny had a hot streak late Spring in 2009 on clay, but otherwise doesn't normally outlast the better clay courters. Nalbandian was deadly in Round 1 and if his health issues are continuing to improve, I THINK he can outlast the Russian who has yet to step on dirt this season.
I THINK Juan Carlos Ferrero and the UNDER could be prudent against Becker. Need a good number of 19 or more, but I THINK it would be the play.
Will wait to see the O/U numbers before adjusting these thoughts or adding more.
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hey dude... Can u say ur 2010 season record?Comment -
I have no idea. I haven't kept "official" track of my picks in months. I'm just using this thread to talk out loud and voice things I see with the hope that the information will help people. All I can say is I have won more than I have lost in April, maybe 55% or a tad better as a guesstimate.Comment -
Chalk parlays for me on Wednesday as well.Comment -
Murray-Kohlschreiber is 21.5, juice favoring the OVER. I THINK I do like it. JCF-Becker at 19.5, juice favoring the UNDER but very chalky.
Ferrer, Ferrero, Nalbandian parlay, I THINK it's got a chance. Nalbandian should be the final leg and the riskiest.Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 04-14-10, 12:11 AM.Comment
