KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

[KVB]

Here's the latest NBA Contrarian Fund Playoff summary...

Here's the KVB NBA Contrian Fund playoffs...

				1 Unit
	Record	Date	NBA Contrarian Fund Playoffs	per bet
567		19-May	SA +4 (-101)	0
579		21-May	MEM +5 (-108)	0.93
501		23-May	ATL +1.5 (-110)	0.91
543		26-May	ATL +2 (-103)	-1
872		29-May	MIA +5 (-110)	-1
578			MEM +5.5 (-110)	-1
506		30-May	BOS +8.5 (+100)	-1
512		31-May	WAS +9 (-108)	0.93
514			MEM +5.5 (-103)	-1
574		6-Jun	LAC -6.5 (-105)	0.95
554		13-Jun	DEN +3.5 (-110)	-1
			Total	-2.28

...

It's a grind, as expected.

[homie1975]

KVer keep grinding. these GIFS especially this one ^ are making me hard !!

[KVB]

Here's the latest MLB Contrarain Fund Backbone summary...

...Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone after 132 plays.

902	13-Jun	WAS -104	0.96
904		NYM +114	-1
907		COL +146	-1
		Sun	-1.04
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9	3.75
		Week 10	-0.9
		Mon	-1
		Tue	-4
		Wed	-2
		Thu	-1
		Fri	-3
		Sat	1.49
		Total	-5.99

Here's the chart.

After covering the gap we immediately build a higher high and slightly higher low, just off the low of the season, using the SMA 10 as apparent resisitance...


...

We remain in the SELL signal and it remains to be seen whether or not we are in a tradeable sideways and up market or if this is a small dead cat bounce.
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[KVB]

Here are the MLB BAckbone plays so far...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

951	14-Jun	PIT +116
965		BAL +147

These are backbone plays...

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[jjgold]

small bounce but line chart has zero strength

[KVB]

small bounce but line chart has zero strength

You could be right, we could be headed for bear territory, we can not discount that Head and Shoulders and now how we've covered the gap from the end of last year.



Here's something I posted in one thread but added some commentary in FlyME...

On Zona and Mets in the broader contrarian fund.

Contrarian plays aren't always underdog, like the mets in the broader Fund, but here's what happened this year so far risking the same unit on every favorite of the season.

Notice the last rise coinciding with our market shakeout in the backbone...

[KVB]

Added two more with Miami and Colo to the Fund...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

957	14-Jun	MIA +181
960		COL +142

Backbone plays...

[KVB]

The Fund backbone picked up the Angels...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

973

14-Jun

LAA +131

...

That's 5 plays...

951	14-Jun	PIT +116
957		MIA +181
960		COL +142
965		BAL +147
973		LAA +131

[jjgold]

Very nice

[homie1975]

KVer I've fallen in love like 8x in this thread. Good Lord have mercy on me. This last chick two posts above is otherworldly

[KVB]

Here's the latest summary and analysis...

Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone after Monday...

951	14-Jun	PIT +116	-1
957		MIA +181	-1
960		COL +142	1.42
965		BAL +147	-1
973		LAA +131	-1
		Mon	-2.58
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9	3.75
		Week 10	-0.9
		Week 11	-10.55
		Total	-8.57

The market is stepping down and not much to report except to say the new support line is now resistance as the SMA 10 acts as about the same as it flattens into a curve. There is a lot of season left so I'm keeping the outlook the same and neither trying catch a falling knife here nor overacting to the shakeout and reducing out units. The SMA situation is dismal and the SELL signal is strong.


...

Here's a little further back for context...



One thing the markets always do is recover, often with a bounce...

[KVB]

Here we go, Cubs, Phillies and Rangers in action...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

903	15-Jun	CHI +120
913		PHI +140
921		TEX +164

Backbone plays....

[jjgold]

This is called the market crash what’s going to happen now, could be a time to sell your assets

[KVB]

This is called the market crash what’s going to happen now, could be a time to sell your assets

This is one Fund Gold, and just the backbone of it.

It's ok Gold, it's very dangerous to overreact. There has been a shift in win percentage in the form of a shakeout. It doesn't represent a loss of edge or anything fundamentally wrong here. We are still generating plays and the market still offers value all over the place.

This is where the patience part of patience and discipline shows it's need. Be patient Gold.

Don't ever fear a market drop, embrace the drop.

Just make sure you have all the right equipment to be able to land and move on, to fly again...

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[jjgold]

I am
Panicking

[KVB]

I am
Panicking

If we get to the red support line I'll zoom the chart out for more reference. We had a good run last year, it's ok to get volatile and pull back a bit.

Patience.

[jjgold]

This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom

[KVB]

This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom

Not a bad look, deep sell signal, depressed market, but you may have waited too long and never forget things can move fast. We've only lost about -12 units during the crash.

Just -12 units over a week. Look at the beginning of 2020, 8 straight losses and it got worse before a +20 unit run.

Look at how deep we went in 2019, there's a -25 units drop there. That might be the broader Fund in the chart below, but even the Backbone dropped -16 units going from +15 units to -1 units during that time before recovering to +21 units.

Never forget just how volatile these markets are, Gold. Don't let a shakeout shake you from your edges, Gold, that's what the market wants. That's what separates the men from the boys. Be patient.

Never forget...

[jjgold]

You’re not using Bollinger Bands

Charts flawed with out it

[KVB]

You’re not using Bollinger Bands

Charts flawed with out it

Of course I am Gold. I made posts at SBR teaching about Bol Bands, what they are, and how to create them. A lot of that work was done in NCAAF too, where I showed the effects of BUY and SELL signals in football.

Of course we chart the Bands, Gold...

[jjgold]

Ok ✅ that is good then

Your very complex in and out of the bedroom

[KVB]

Just look at that SMA 20 creep over the upper band.

Yikes.

It's time turn sideways here, if not rise up a bit.

[KVB]

The first bacbone play today is St Louis.

Here's the play and the recent summary...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

952

16-Jun

STL -108

Backbone play.

Here are yesterday's results...

903	15-Jun	CHI +120	-1
913		PHI +140	-1
921		TEX +164	-1
		Thu	-3
		Week 1-4	5.03
		Week 5-8	-3.32
		Week 9	3.75
		Week 10	-0.9
		Week 11	-10.55
		Mon	-2.58
		Total	-11.57

[KVB]

If we get to the red support line I'll zoom the chart out for more reference. We had a good run last year, it's ok to get volatile and pull back a bit...

Here's the most recent chart.

Gold we may have to zoom out yet, let's see what the next few games bring...

Here's the recent chart.

I was hoping we wouldn't have to zoom out for context, but we just might have to yet...


...

[KVB]

Added COL to the Fund, great at +170 or better for sure...

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

956

16-Jun

COL +176

Backbone play.

[KVB]

This could be an outlier move which could be scary I bailed out of your fund, they called me and said get out right now and wait for a real bottom

the broader Contrarian Fund has triggered Pit and LAA today.

Given the deep market crash, I thought I’d share these broader Fund plays...

We could be seeing some very positive signs here Gold.

[KVB]

Add Philly to the list...

The broader Contrarian Fund picked up Philly a this +128/+130 or better level...

I'm posting these now because the market volatility is high, the drop has occurred, then a small dead cat bounce and a final shakeout ending with the SF Giants Grand slam last night and the Philly loss.

Remember, it's only after you can appreciate what they bring that you can truly appreciate how they bring it.



Going to be hot today, the swimming pool may be in my future once these markets stabilize.

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[jjgold]

KVB your thinking too
Much

Don’t over think

[KVB]

KVB your thinking too
Much

Don’t over think

Gold don't be a fool, this isn't about thinking or not, I am disciplined and srugical in the objective strikes here.

My office is on high alert and taking advantage of the current market.

I'm just sharing the conclusions we reach, when we reach them.

Pay attention Gold, decades of successful work at play here.

[flyingillini]

Kvster, please post asians in stockings please, I am waiting to release to your thread but I need asian stockings. Thanks!

[KVB]

Kvster, please post asians in stockings please, I am waiting to release to your thread but I need asian stockings. Thanks!

Natural or plastic?

[flyingillini]

Natural or plastic?

Natural , Vietnamese or Taiwanese please. I only can release to them. Hurry up. I’m waiting!

[KVB]

Natural , Vietnamese or Taiwanese please. I only can release to them. Hurry up. I’m waiting!

Did you want working professionals or working girls?

Or both?...

[jjgold]

KVB when you taking a week off?

[flyingillini]

Did you want working professionals or working girls?

Or both?...

Those are not Vietnamese girls. I want stockings from a viet housewife I’m waiting on you. Don’t let me down.