Rangers and Cubs on the +1.5 look like gold
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Here's the recent summary, we are sitting on the SMA 10 and Aggressive Trader Fund lags a little since decreasing the units there, but made some back wtih a couple of losses...
...Here's the KVB MLB Contrarain Fund with links to the plays...
Here's the season chart...953 6-Aug PIT +170 -1 -0.5 977 KC +155 -1 -0.5 Fri -2 -1 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Mon -1 -0.5 Tue 4.28 2.14 Wed -1 -0.5 Thu 1.97 0.985 Total 31.14 27.41
I feel like we've got a little shoulder and and a head brewing, but that's what I said a few days ago. The Agressive Trader Fund has left a couple of units on the table and I almost Faded the Fund and bought the other way yesterday...at least with Pitt. I did fade Pitt with points...fora f ull disclosure. But I did that last week and lost 741 points, when Pit won...lol, I just wanted some back...lmao.
Regardless, the market just keeps running hot for all the units in both Funds...
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You always bet more when you’re winning not less
One of the Gamblers biggest mistakesComment -
No, keep you risk flat.
That said, remember I rotated Funds to the Totals Fund so the money didn't just sit and remember that The Aggressive Trader Fund is designed to trade around the Contrarian Fund.
A small losing streak and you will see that the Aggressive can be more profitable.
Like I said, I almost called for the Fade against Pitt last night, that means we would have bet the near -180 or so on Cinci. I didn't do it, but I was very close.
Also remember that much of this bull run, all the way to the purple circle has been mulitple units in the Aggressive Trader Fund.
I think I know where the market is headed so I am keeping my allocations the same for now.
Let's not react to much to losses, and the same can be said for wins.
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Here's the recent summay, after yesterday...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone after Saturday, with links to each play, and an extra column for the Aggressive Trader Fund.
That's 4 straight losses and the chart shows we are now testing the SMA 20 with today's pending plays...909 7-Aug MIA +150 -1 -0.5 929 KC +140 -1 -0.5 Sat -2 -1 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Mon -1 -0.5 Tue 4.28 2.14 Wed -1 -0.5 Thu 1.97 0.985 Fri -2 -1 Total 29.14 26.41
It's possible I may have jumped the gun on the start of our head and shoulders pattern for the Aggressive Trader Fund, it may starting now with a bounce off the SMA 20. Either way, from that same post, I mentioned I felt we still had a gap. That is denitiely still in play, but it may not need to be covered until next season. I'll go into that later, as there have been full seasons where the Backbone just staggers upward, with win percentages at higher levels than now.
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Wow, O's really fuked you late.Comment -
Not gonna lie I was suprised Balty was even winning. Not surprised they're losing. It's time to give some back in this thread.
I'll be suprised if Minny wins, but not as suprised.
Here's one of the reasons, and it's a little weird. When line shopping I've noticed some games have a wider range of lines across books, they just differ a little more. Of those games, it seems like more of them lose.
But when the line is just a few pennies off across the books, it's more stable, those plays seem to win a little more.
I don't really have a lot of hard data on that though, just seems like it this season.Comment -
Can’t win them all let’s get a model to track New York City daily temperature and capitalizeComment -
Here's the recent summary. We are starting to see what I was anticipating when we removed 50% of the unit size from the Aggressive Trader Fund, noted at the purple circle on the season chart...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after Sunday with links to each play and a column showing the Aggressive Trading Fund as well...
Here are the charts. We failed support at the SMA 20 but Minnesota gave us a rebound. Anyone see a little head and shoulders pattern developing? Have we hit a high for this run? Further drops could see support at those levels of our purple circle.964 8-Aug BAL +166 -1 -0.5 971 MIN +161 1.61 0.805 Sun 0.61 0.305 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Mon -1 -0.5 Tue 4.28 2.14 Wed -1 -0.5 Thu 1.97 0.985 Fri -2 -1 Sat -2 -1 Total 29.75 26.715
It hardly feels like we just had a 5 game losing streak.
Here's the two year chart...
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<div><iframe width="300" height="60" src="https://vocaroo.com/embed/1iv9Q1GgDdP4?autoplay=0" frameborder="0" allow="autoplay"></iframe><br><a href="https://voca.ro/1iv9Q1GgDdP4"Comment -
Faded the Fund for points...
WagerType: Date: Team: Risking / To Win Ticket#: STRAIGHT BET Aug 09 MLB [901] MIL -197 [Action] 227.58 SBR / 115.52 SBR 4804103 Comment -
Cubs a terrible team manComment -
Reds a trendy team right now
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Simien to hit HR +474
Doubt this fits the bill, just felt rightComment -
There was a postponed play Mon, and no plays Wednesday.
Today I have picked up Colorado in the Fund.
Here is the play and the most recent summary...
Not bad, suriving what should have been a market downturn. Had no plays on Mon or Wed this week (monday's Cubs was ppd'd).
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after the only plays this week so far, on Tuesday, with links to each play and the extra column representing the Aggressive Trader Fund units...
Here's the chart...965 10-Aug LAA +159 1.59 0.795 984 CHI +171 -1 -0.5 Tue 0.59 0.295 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Week 19 0.86 0.43 Mon - - Total 30.34 27.01
Our SMA 10 and SMA 20 are approaching each other, here's a zoom shot...
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The Fund is in action with MIA and Cubs.
Here are the two plays and the recent summary and chart. Note we are now on the other side of the mountain I predicted, with the Aggressive Trader Fund being ahead of the the market tracking Fund itself...
You won't analysis like this anywhere in the world. Only here at SBR.The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...
Back bone play.952 16-Aug MIA +148 953 CHC +185
Here's the recent results through the weekend. All of the sudden being at 50% in the Aggressive Trading Fund looks to be paying off...
The season chart, we are right at the level were I removed assets...906 13-Aug WAS +156 -1 -0.5 920 TEX +151 1.51 0.755 924 LAA +118 -1 -0.5 928 KC +131 -1 -0.5 954 14-Aug WAS +157 -1 -0.5 955 CHC +144 -1 -0.5 960 NYM +180 -1 -0.5 904 15-Aug WAS +140 -1 -0.5 906 PIT +181 -1 -0.5 912 ARI +151 -1 -0.5 920 MIN +148 1.48 0.74 Fri-Sun -6.01 -3.005 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9-12 -7.34 Week 13-16 18.07 Week 17 12.37 24.81 Week 18 4.08 1.475 Week 19 0.86 0.43 Mon - - Tue 0.59 0.295 Wed - - Thu -1 -0.5 Total 23.33 23.505
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Yeah, gave up the 20 and that little support level just under the 20 and whamo just like we all know it would, the slide started. Right past the 50 without a hint of stopping until it got down to spike through that level with the purple circle. Hopefully it can recapture that level where the purple circle is or even bounce and try for the 50. If not the 200 SMA is the place to break out the goal line defense for da Bulls.Comment
