KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report

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  • BeatTheJerk
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-19-07
    • 31794

    #176
    Originally posted by jjgold
    Do you trade stocks?
    Do you suck dicks?
    Comment
    • KVB
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 05-29-14
      • 74817

      #177
      Originally posted by jjgold
      Do you trade stocks?
      You know the answer to that but right now my office is focused on sports. I was complaining how it's very difficult to switch modes from stock to sports in my office in the Stock thread, and what's worse, is now we have crypto that never stops.

      There's so much to do, it's crazy.

      Here's the latest summary. I went LIVE with the Angels and heavy on Zona and got berried, lol.

      But here's the Fund with links and some analysis...

      Originally posted by KVB
      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund with links...

      960 31-May ARI +164 -1
      975 LAA +140 -1
      Mon -2
      Week 1-4 5.03
      Week 5-8 -3.32
      Week 9 3.75
      Total 3.46
      I had some extra Funds on those plays, including live action and got berried, lol.

      Here's the chart. We fell through the SMA's again with a potential bounce her at SMA 50 but remain rangebound. I has hoping we were developing a bit of a flag pattern here after that last jump but we are losing our flagpole...



      Here's what I mean...




      If we can adjust our range to the flag, given the distance from our Head and Shoulder's mountain, it would be a bullish sing for sure, a new place from which to breakout to the positive side...
      We remain rangebound and continue with familiar patterns. We will sting the market again on the next turn. There is some volatility here but we are essentially sitting at the SMA 50, a potential bounce point and we have lost 3 straight. I like the next play, whatever it is. My outlook for the MLB Contrarian markets remains postive but the broader Fund may be even more volatile than the back bone.

      HAWT!!!!!...

      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388189

        #178
        Astros
        SD

        2 Team Reverse

        Astros parlay wheel with every home team MLB
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #179
          The tracking is the same, the Fund is +3.46 units on the season.

          I added an extra loss on the two year tracking on May 21st. It was discovered when the patterns on the season chart didn't seem the same as the two year chart...

          Originally posted by KVB
          There is an error, not in my tracking, but in the charts.

          On May 21st there was one play, a Yankee win. My tracking is accurate but the 2 year and further charts also show a loss that day, as if there were two plays.

          This changes the moving averages, more than anything else, but takes a loss away from the two chart. Instead of beign +10.33 units as the chart shows, it's +11.33 units.

          Again, the season units are not affected, the Fund remains +3.46 Units.

          Here are the revised 2 charts and zoomed shot...





          Notice we are right at the SMA 50 here.

          That's a good sign...
          I apologizew but this would have changed my decisions about the extra bets yesterday.

          Mistakes cost money, they always have and they always will.

          This time it also cost me time...

          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/NarrowMellowDormouse' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='405'></iframe>
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #180
            Today's action...

            914 1-Jun BAL +151
            916 NYY +121
            920 SEA +140
            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #181
              Here's the most recent summary with links to all the plays.

              Originally posted by KVB
              Alright, let me dispense with the business.

              Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone with links to the plays...

              914 1-Jun BAL +151 1.51
              916 NYY +121 1.21
              920 SEA +140 -1
              Tue 1.72
              Week 1-4 5.03
              Week 5-8 -3.32
              Week 9 3.75
              Mon -2
              Total 5.18
              The chart looks great. We do have a bit of a Flag pattern still. There was a perfect Balty bounce of the thin green line, SMA 50. We are now, once again, testing.

              Always testing in this range. This time it's the SMA 10 and SMA 20.

              Outlook is positive...






              The chart saga conitnues...
              I wanted to add some more technicals and the season to date chart.






              A loss or a win of no more than exactly +120 will put us in a SELL signal with the SMA 10 dropping below the SMA 20.

              Once again we are testing some levels, bouncing around the consolidating SMA's as we remain rangebound. My outlook remains positive and we remain fully funded as we move forward. I am starting to see more and more the situation where we are going to break out to the upside before the downside. I may have fully funded with that second purple dot at the right time.

              If all goes well we don't test that level again this season.

              We continue to have a tremendous example being set here and I once again ask posters, how is this possible. I am showing something here, real time, by example.

              <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/CheapDrearyAntipodesgreenparakeet' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='839'></iframe>
              Comment
              • KiDBaZkiT
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-20-09
                • 14962

                #182
                I want to get down with the contrarian fund but I am way too Fukkin stupid. I look at those charts and am like “The fukk is goin on there?” Then I read the jargon and man, I feel like Gilbert Grape.
                Comment
                • KVB
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 05-29-14
                  • 74817

                  #183
                  Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT
                  I want to get down with the contrarian fund but I am way too Fukkin stupid. I look at those charts and am like “The fukk is goin on there?” Then I read the jargon and man, I feel like Gilbert Grape.
                  We're up +5.18 units this season with 106 plays with an ROI of +4.887%

                  Our highest point this season was +10.28 units and the lowest was just -.66 units.

                  I think we are going to win moving forward even if we lose the next couple of plays.

                  But I think we could also do well again next set of plays, even the very next play in the rotation.

                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #184
                    Here we go!!!!!!!!!!!

                    Originally posted by KVB
                    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                    954 2-Jun CHI -120
                    BackBone play.

                    And with the other games ppd, this is the earliest and lowest rotation number today.

                    Let's get that bounce...
                    <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/ShadowyFamousKoalabear' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='1179'></iframe>
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388189

                      #185
                      KVB almost disqualified POTM

                      Weed clause
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #186
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        KVB almost disqualified POTM

                        Weed clause


                        Going to need someone to step up this month Gold, becaue I will likely have a stronger month this month than last.



                        Get some Cubs Gold, this thread has made you money in a way no other sports analyist in the world ever has.

                        You know that's true.

                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388189

                          #187
                          Bet SD
                          QUIETLY
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #188
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            Bet SD
                            QUIETLY
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15442

                              #189
                              Originally posted by KVB
                              Idk wth is going on here but I just visit to see the incredible GIFs that KVBer throws up every day.
                              Comment
                              • KVB
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-29-14
                                • 74817

                                #190
                                We're on the Cubs at yet another key juncture.

                                Leading 3-1 but SD is pressing in the 7th.



                                This muddafukka JJGold is quietly betting SD out the back door.

                                Hey JJGold...

                                Comment
                                • KVB
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 05-29-14
                                  • 74817

                                  #191
                                  Not just sides ^^^^ Gold, the same policy goes towards moneylines, Totals and, yes, parlays.

                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388189

                                    #192
                                    KVB what is your monthly weed bill??
                                    Comment
                                    • KVB
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-29-14
                                      • 74817

                                      #193
                                      Gold we got the Cubs bounce of the SMA's.

                                      Now we're on Seattle.

                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                      The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added..
                                      970 2-Jun SEA +140
                                      ...

                                      Seattle failed us last night, could they hit tonight? Are we breaking out?

                                      Here's the zoom shot with the Cubs win included...



                                      Comment
                                      • KVB
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 05-29-14
                                        • 74817

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        KVB what is your monthly weed bill??
                                        Very little anymore, I have involvement in the process.

                                        Will cost time more than anything for nearly all products.

                                        Let's go Seattle, let's break out and test the season high next!

                                        Comment
                                        • KiDBaZkiT
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-20-09
                                          • 14962

                                          #195
                                          DJ:“Any requests?”
                                          Andy Bernard: “Dave Mathews Band, no singles, B sides only”
                                          DJ: Cues DMB hot single “Ants Marching”
                                          Comment
                                          • KVB
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 05-29-14
                                            • 74817

                                            #196
                                            Here's the latest summary and some analysis...

                                            Originally posted by KVB
                                            Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund with links...

                                            954 2-Jun CHI -120 0.83
                                            970 SEA +140 -1
                                            Wed -0.17
                                            Week 1-4 5.03
                                            Week 5-8 -3.32
                                            Week 9 3.75
                                            Mon -2
                                            Tue 1.72
                                            Total 5.01
                                            We got our bounce with the Cubs and stayed within range with a second consecutive Seattle failure. Is Seattle a name we should remember? Should we be looking for settlement in this give and take or did we just get settlement?

                                            In the never ending rotation that is sports it can sometimes be difficult to tell and it can sometimes be both. On may 25th, Seattle capped that big day, that bounce of our lowest support...

                                            25-May CIN +188 1.88
                                            KC +175 1.75
                                            SEA +159 1.59
                                            Tue 5.22
                                            We will keep an eye on the position of Seattle in the market in the near future. Notice Arizona managed to get a win, after qualifying for the Fund and failing twice in 3 days, the win comes when they aren't a part of the contrarian market, both backbone and the broader Fund.

                                            When it comes to the even broader market as a whole, that's another level of analysis.

                                            Here's the chart...



                                            We are maintaining a bullish Flag pattern here and as we get further from that mountain of market turn we increase our chances of breaking out to the positive. I often put other analyisis in the Report thread, something to look for.

                                            Here's the zoomshot and it's possible we have fallen through the SMA 10 and SMA 20.



                                            With the Cubs result we are now in a SELL signal. I'm not too concerned here as we are seeing that SMA 100 flatten a bit as the SMA 50 heads upwards. This style of consolidation is a postive and as long as we find support at the very least with the SMA's we are in good shape. Notice since I fully funded, then the flag pole, then our "new" range as narrow but at the top of the broader range...the Flag pattern.

                                            It's been such a great example this season of my tracking Fund, and each day we have one test after the next, and new patterns to show as well. Support, resistance, you name it. How is this possible. Anyone?

                                            <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/MediumPlaintiveBackswimmer' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='373'></iframe>


                                            Despite what looks to be a daily close falling below the SMA 10 and 20, our outlook remains positive and bullish. We are fully funded and I may add even more to the Fund as we look to break out here.

                                            Nothing is guaranteed and there is a broader view of all markets when I talk about diversifying and moving money between the markets and Funds. I really do think that is the stuff for vidoes.




                                            Comment
                                            • jjgold
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 07-20-05
                                              • 388189

                                              #197
                                              Do pro gamblers every sleep?

                                              KVB post your schedule
                                              Comment
                                              • carolinakid
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-12-11
                                                • 19106

                                                #198
                                                JJ i can say very little, i go to bed at night with numbers in my head on the next day games and wake up to check where the numbers are for today games in the hrs that i slept...........
                                                Comment
                                                • KVB
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 05-29-14
                                                  • 74817

                                                  #199
                                                  Big play here today with Detroit...

                                                  917 3-Jun DET +184
                                                  We can see that +184 would help make that case for an impending breakout but we can also see that, having apparently dropped just below those SMA's we have room to fall another unit before testing perhaps the SMA 100 again. We can make scenarios, like before, but in the end it highlights the extra risk with tonight's play.



                                                  They call this on a boat...

                                                  <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/ColdHonoredAfricangroundhornbill' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='412'></iframe>
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #200
                                                    Yesterday' Detroit play lost here are today's plays...

                                                    Originally posted by KVB
                                                    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

                                                    959 3-Jun CIN +127
                                                    975 DET +134
                                                    The latest charts...





                                                    Comment
                                                    • jjgold
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 07-20-05
                                                      • 388189

                                                      #201
                                                      Kvb will you be getting action tonight
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KVB
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 05-29-14
                                                        • 74817

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                                        Kvb will you be getting action tonight
                                                        Yes.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KVB
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 05-29-14
                                                          • 74817

                                                          #203
                                                          Added two more plays to the Fund.

                                                          Here they are in rotation order...
                                                          959 3-Jun CIN +127
                                                          963 NYM +164
                                                          968 BAL -105
                                                          975 DET +134
                                                          <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/VacantUnhealthyDingo' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388189

                                                            #204
                                                            interesting
                                                            Comment
                                                            • chico2663
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 09-02-10
                                                              • 36915

                                                              #205
                                                              Good luck
                                                              Comment
                                                              • KVB
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 05-29-14
                                                                • 74817

                                                                #206
                                                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                interesting
                                                                What, that I'll get action tonight or that we have 4 plays on a fade the public Friday.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • jjgold
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                                  • 388189

                                                                  #207
                                                                  I didn’t pull the trigger tonight on the Royals just didn’t feel it
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KVB
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                                    • 74817

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Originally posted by jjgold
                                                                    I didn’t pull the trigger tonight on the Royals just didn’t feel it
                                                                    Might do a whole write up about how being disciplined, which is essential in sports betting, can also cost you money.

                                                                    It's cost me a lot of money not betting more Montreal in the NHL playoffs, that's for sure. It's also cost me money not betting some NBA playoff games.

                                                                    The grind can be bitter sweet.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • KVB
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                                      • 74817

                                                                      #209
                                                                      Here's the latest summary.

                                                                      There's a lot to look for...

                                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                                      Gonna throw some results out here...

                                                                      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone with links to the plays...

                                                                      959 4-Jun CIN +127 1.27
                                                                      963 NYM +164 -1
                                                                      968 BAL -105 0.95
                                                                      975 DET +134 -1
                                                                      Fri 0.22
                                                                      Week 1-4 5.03
                                                                      Week 5-8 -3.32
                                                                      Week 9 3.75
                                                                      Mon -2
                                                                      Tue 1.72
                                                                      Wed -0.17
                                                                      Thu -1
                                                                      Total 4.23
                                                                      The charts are amazing...

                                                                      Not only are we testing the support I drew however long ago, but we are also rangebound between the SMA 100 as support and SMA 20 as resistance.

                                                                      There's always a saga in the charts, love it...



                                                                      Here's a zoom without the black lines I've drawn...




                                                                      Talk about a convergence of SMAs. So what does this mean?

                                                                      It's positive, especially if they are in ascending order. We have that thin green line SMA 50 creeping up over the SMA 100 thin black line. If it can get above, it is even more positive longer term.

                                                                      But even then, we are in a SELL signal with the SMA 10 just below the 20.

                                                                      For now we are testing that support line I drew and the SMA 100, we could get a bounce her for sure.

                                                                      The next plays, likely tomorrow, will be very interesting. If the next play wins we enter a BUY signal, no matter the amount. If it loses, we remain in the SELL signal. Right now, the difference is -.009.



                                                                      Things do look bullish with these technicals alone.

                                                                      We may be due for a decent day, maybe 2 units on the win. At the very least, we must keep an eye on the rotation numbers as the first play in this graph, if it's a bounce, could be worth quite a bit.

                                                                      I will x2 the play in the FlyMe competition, if it's clear it's the first play, and bet on the bounce.

                                                                      Tomorrow, we bet on the bounce, not the fail.

                                                                      Let's do something a little dangerous and amazing tomorrow.

                                                                      <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/CheeryBlissfulAfricanwildcat' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='684'></iframe>
                                                                      Some further technicals...



                                                                      Our outlook remains positive, we are fully funded and I anticipate some outside of the Fund bets on the play we think is the next in the rotation. It might be misleading, so we will be watching carefully and closely.

                                                                      There is a lot of support to bounce off of for the next play, not to mention sending us into a BUY signal.

                                                                      Let's see what develops tomorrow.

                                                                      Tomorrow we bet on the bounce.

                                                                      <iframe src='https://gfycat.com/ifr/IncomparableMerryBoa' frameborder='0' scrolling='no' allowfullscreen width='640' height='844'></iframe>
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jjgold
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 07-20-05
                                                                        • 388189

                                                                        #210
                                                                        From the charts I’m reading it looks like a good three days are coming
                                                                        Comment
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