KVB Post Your Contrarian Fund Report
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BeatTheJerkBARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 08-19-07
- 31794
#176Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#177You know the answer to that but right now my office is focused on sports. I was complaining how it's very difficult to switch modes from stock to sports in my office in the Stock thread, and what's worse, is now we have crypto that never stops.
There's so much to do, it's crazy.
Here's the latest summary. I went LIVE with the Angels and heavy on Zona and got berried, lol.
But here's the Fund with links and some analysis...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund with links...
I had some extra Funds on those plays, including live action and got berried, lol.
Here's the chart. We fell through the SMA's again with a potential bounce her at SMA 50 but remain rangebound. I has hoping we were developing a bit of a flag pattern here after that last jump but we are losing our flagpole...
Here's what I mean...
If we can adjust our range to the flag, given the distance from our Head and Shoulder's mountain, it would be a bullish sing for sure, a new place from which to breakout to the positive side...
HAWT!!!!!...
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#178Astros
SD
2 Team Reverse
Astros parlay wheel with every home team MLBComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#179The tracking is the same, the Fund is +3.46 units on the season.
I added an extra loss on the two year tracking on May 21st. It was discovered when the patterns on the season chart didn't seem the same as the two year chart...
There is an error, not in my tracking, but in the charts.
On May 21st there was one play, a Yankee win. My tracking is accurate but the 2 year and further charts also show a loss that day, as if there were two plays.
This changes the moving averages, more than anything else, but takes a loss away from the two chart. Instead of beign +10.33 units as the chart shows, it's +11.33 units.
Again, the season units are not affected, the Fund remains +3.46 Units.
Here are the revised 2 charts and zoomed shot...
Notice we are right at the SMA 50 here.
That's a good sign...
Mistakes cost money, they always have and they always will.
This time it also cost me time...
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#181Here's the most recent summary with links to all the plays.
Alright, let me dispense with the business.
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone with links to the plays...
The chart looks great. We do have a bit of a Flag pattern still. There was a perfect Balty bounce of the thin green line, SMA 50. We are now, once again, testing.914 1-Jun BAL +151 1.51 916 NYY +121 1.21 920 SEA +140 -1 Tue 1.72 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9 3.75 Mon -2 Total 5.18
Always testing in this range. This time it's the SMA 10 and SMA 20.
Outlook is positive...
The chart saga conitnues...
A loss or a win of no more than exactly +120 will put us in a SELL signal with the SMA 10 dropping below the SMA 20.
Once again we are testing some levels, bouncing around the consolidating SMA's as we remain rangebound. My outlook remains positive and we remain fully funded as we move forward. I am starting to see more and more the situation where we are going to break out to the upside before the downside. I may have fully funded with that second purple dot at the right time.
If all goes well we don't test that level again this season.
We continue to have a tremendous example being set here and I once again ask posters, how is this possible. I am showing something here, real time, by example.
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KiDBaZkiTSBR Posting Legend
- 10-20-09
- 14962
#182I want to get down with the contrarian fund but I am way too Fukkin stupid. I look at those charts and am like “The fukk is goin on there?” Then I read the jargon and man, I feel like Gilbert Grape.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#183
Our highest point this season was +10.28 units and the lowest was just -.66 units.
I think we are going to win moving forward even if we lose the next couple of plays.
But I think we could also do well again next set of plays, even the very next play in the rotation.
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KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#184Here we go!!!!!!!!!!!
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#185KVB almost disqualified POTM
Weed clauseComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#186
Going to need someone to step up this month Gold, becaue I will likely have a stronger month this month than last.
Get some Cubs Gold, this thread has made you money in a way no other sports analyist in the world ever has.
You know that's true.
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#187Bet SD
QUIETLYComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#191Not just sides ^^^^ Gold, the same policy goes towards moneylines, Totals and, yes, parlays.
Comment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#192KVB what is your monthly weed bill??Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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KiDBaZkiTSBR Posting Legend
- 10-20-09
- 14962
#195DJ:“Any requests?”
Andy Bernard: “Dave Mathews Band, no singles, B sides only”
DJ: Cues DMB hot single “Ants Marching”Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#196Here's the latest summary and some analysis...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund with links...
We got our bounce with the Cubs and stayed within range with a second consecutive Seattle failure. Is Seattle a name we should remember? Should we be looking for settlement in this give and take or did we just get settlement?954 2-Jun CHI -120 0.83 970 SEA +140 -1 Wed -0.17 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9 3.75 Mon -2 Tue 1.72 Total 5.01
In the never ending rotation that is sports it can sometimes be difficult to tell and it can sometimes be both. On may 25th, Seattle capped that big day, that bounce of our lowest support...
We will keep an eye on the position of Seattle in the market in the near future. Notice Arizona managed to get a win, after qualifying for the Fund and failing twice in 3 days, the win comes when they aren't a part of the contrarian market, both backbone and the broader Fund.
When it comes to the even broader market as a whole, that's another level of analysis.
Here's the chart...
We are maintaining a bullish Flag pattern here and as we get further from that mountain of market turn we increase our chances of breaking out to the positive. I often put other analyisis in the Report thread, something to look for.
Here's the zoomshot and it's possible we have fallen through the SMA 10 and SMA 20.
With the Cubs result we are now in a SELL signal. I'm not too concerned here as we are seeing that SMA 100 flatten a bit as the SMA 50 heads upwards. This style of consolidation is a postive and as long as we find support at the very least with the SMA's we are in good shape. Notice since I fully funded, then the flag pole, then our "new" range as narrow but at the top of the broader range...the Flag pattern.
It's been such a great example this season of my tracking Fund, and each day we have one test after the next, and new patterns to show as well. Support, resistance, you name it. How is this possible. Anyone?
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Despite what looks to be a daily close falling below the SMA 10 and 20, our outlook remains positive and bullish. We are fully funded and I may add even more to the Fund as we look to break out here.
Nothing is guaranteed and there is a broader view of all markets when I talk about diversifying and moving money between the markets and Funds. I really do think that is the stuff for vidoes.
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#197Do pro gamblers every sleep?
KVB post your scheduleComment -
carolinakidSBR Posting Legend
- 01-12-11
- 19106
#198JJ i can say very little, i go to bed at night with numbers in my head on the next day games and wake up to check where the numbers are for today games in the hrs that i slept...........Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#199Big play here today with Detroit...
We can see that +184 would help make that case for an impending breakout but we can also see that, having apparently dropped just below those SMA's we have room to fall another unit before testing perhaps the SMA 100 again. We can make scenarios, like before, but in the end it highlights the extra risk with tonight's play.917 3-Jun DET +184
They call thison a boat...
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#201Kvb will you be getting action tonightComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#204interestingComment -
chico2663BARRELED IN @ SBR!
- 09-02-10
- 36915
#205Good luckComment -
jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#207I didn’t pull the trigger tonight on the Royals just didn’t feel itComment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#208Might do a whole write up about how being disciplined, which is essential in sports betting, can also cost you money.
It's cost me a lot of money not betting more Montreal in the NHL playoffs, that's for sure. It's also cost me money not betting some NBA playoff games.
The grind can be bitter sweet.Comment -
KVBSBR Aristocracy
- 05-29-14
- 74817
#209Here's the latest summary.
There's a lot to look for...
Gonna throw some results out here...
Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund Backbone with links to the plays...
The charts are amazing...959 4-Jun CIN +127 1.27 963 NYM +164 -1 968 BAL -105 0.95 975 DET +134 -1 Fri 0.22 Week 1-4 5.03 Week 5-8 -3.32 Week 9 3.75 Mon -2 Tue 1.72 Wed -0.17 Thu -1 Total 4.23
Not only are we testing the support I drew however long ago, but we are also rangebound between the SMA 100 as support and SMA 20 as resistance.
There's always a saga in the charts, love it...
Here's a zoom without the black lines I've drawn...
Talk about a convergence of SMAs. So what does this mean?
It's positive, especially if they are in ascending order. We have that thin green line SMA 50 creeping up over the SMA 100 thin black line. If it can get above, it is even more positive longer term.
But even then, we are in a SELL signal with the SMA 10 just below the 20.
For now we are testing that support line I drew and the SMA 100, we could get a bounce her for sure.
The next plays, likely tomorrow, will be very interesting. If the next play wins we enter a BUY signal, no matter the amount. If it loses, we remain in the SELL signal. Right now, the difference is -.009.
Things do look bullish with these technicals alone.
We may be due for a decent day, maybe 2 units on the win. At the very least, we must keep an eye on the rotation numbers as the first play in this graph, if it's a bounce, could be worth quite a bit.
I will x2 the play in the FlyMe competition, if it's clear it's the first play, and bet on the bounce.
Tomorrow, we bet on the bounce, not the fail.
Let's do something a little dangerous and amazing tomorrow.
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Our outlook remains positive, we are fully funded and I anticipate some outside of the Fund bets on the play we think is the next in the rotation. It might be misleading, so we will be watching carefully and closely.
There is a lot of support to bounce off of for the next play, not to mention sending us into a BUY signal.
Let's see what develops tomorrow.
Tomorrow we bet on the bounce.
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jjgoldSBR Aristocracy
- 07-20-05
- 388189
#210From the charts I’m reading it looks like a good three days are comingComment
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