MrXYZ's NRL thread

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  • Tim Gerry Mander
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 11-14-12
    • 869

    #911
    1 more panthers converted try to cap the scoring and we're both happy
    Comment
    • MrXYZ
      SBR MVP
      • 02-18-11
      • 2342

      #912
      Originally posted by MrXYZ
      PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
      Game Total UNDER 43.5 @1.90 x1

      A tough call. Titans have proven to be one of the best defensive teams in the NRL. Here they come up against the Panthers, who got shredded by Souths last week to cash the over. I don't see more than 40 points being scored today. But it could be another 50+ scorefest so just the 1 unit at risk.

      Good luck.

      Great start with the Titans leading 12-0 at half time. Even though it's looking safe, I'm expecting a high scoring finish & with the 43.5 UNDER in the bag, there's nothing to lose, so gonna try to middle it:

      Game Total OVER 32.5 @2.00 x1 (actual number is 1.98 but to keep things simple rounding it up)

      Found this at Sportsbet. Other books have 33.5. Still worth a shot. 22 points in the 2nd half sounds like a lot but it's very possible.
      Titans win 28-10. Cash both winners!

      Today: 2-0 +1.90 units +$95
      NRL Season Record: 14-10 -1.20 units -$60
      Comment
      • 1Time!
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-24-08
        • 588

        #913
        Does anyone know why they didn't attempt a 2pt conversion after the last try??
        Comment
        • MrXYZ
          SBR MVP
          • 02-18-11
          • 2342

          #914
          CANBERRA RAIDERS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
          Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x2

          Got this one set at 44. Excellent situation here for a high scoring game that could max out at 50 points. Rolling with the OVER for 2 units.

          Good luck.
          Comment
          • MrXYZ
            SBR MVP
            • 02-18-11
            • 2342

            #915
            Originally posted by 1Time!
            Does anyone know why they didn't attempt a 2pt conversion after the last try??
            switched it off after the try. I think the ball hit the goalpost.
            Comment
            • MrXYZ
              SBR MVP
              • 02-18-11
              • 2342

              #916
              Final score 28-12. Tough beat on the over. What else is new.
              Comment
              • dRavidC
                SBR MVP
                • 01-22-11
                • 2516

                #917
                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                Final score 28-12. Tough beat on the over. What else is new.
                Newcastle find yet another way to screw the OVER.
                Comment
                • MrXYZ
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-18-11
                  • 2342

                  #918
                  NZL WARRIORS vs NQL COWBOYS
                  Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x5

                  We're set for a breakout game from JT after last week's humiliating loss. The Cows should have little trouble finding the tryline today. Warriors will turn up to play & score enough points to ensure this one goes over.

                  The books have this one wrong, they should've posted 44.5 to get some under money. Seeing good value here so for me it's worth risking 5 units on the OVER.

                  Tail or fade, Good luck today.

                  NRL Season Record: 14-12. -3.20 units -$160
                  Comment
                  • MrXYZ
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-18-11
                    • 2342

                    #919
                    Gonna have to sweat this one out. Warriors coming up with too many errors & its not looking good for the over. this game might open up to finish strong. Otherwise its another burial to add to the list.
                    Comment
                    • MrXYZ
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-18-11
                      • 2342

                      #920
                      Buried. Another loser. Fukk the Cowboys.

                      NRL Season Record: 14-13 -8.20 -$410[/QUOTE]
                      Comment
                      • MrXYZ
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-18-11
                        • 2342

                        #921
                        SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
                        Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x6

                        Another game that should go over but it remains to be seen. Been waiting for this number since it opened at 42.5.
                        Comment
                        • MrXYZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-18-11
                          • 2342

                          #922
                          Cash it!!!
                          Comment
                          • MrXYZ
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-18-11
                            • 2342

                            #923
                            What a game from the Roosters to steamroll Parramatta 50-0 & cash the OVER by themselves!

                            1-0 +5.4 units +$270
                            NRL Season Record: 15-13 -2.80 units -$140
                            Comment
                            • hawley
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 05-10-10
                              • 14270

                              #924
                              nice one broooooother
                              Comment
                              • Tim Gerry Mander
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 11-14-12
                                • 869

                                #925
                                How shit are Parramatta.

                                Ben Roberts is awful - can't believe Stuart keeps persisting with him.
                                Comment
                                • MrXYZ
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-18-11
                                  • 2342

                                  #926
                                  Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                  How shit are Parramatta.

                                  Ben Roberts is awful - can't believe Stuart keeps persisting with him.
                                  They can't even get the basics right. Complete joke of a team. Sandow has been a flop, should've stayed at Souths.
                                  Comment
                                  • garygroundwork
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 02-12-12
                                    • 729

                                    #927
                                    Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                    Buried. Another loser. Fukk the Cowboys.

                                    NRL Season Record: 14-13 -8.20 -$410
                                    [/QUOTE]

                                    aint that right..wtf is wrong with them. they have just stopped.
                                    Comment
                                    • MrXYZ
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-18-11
                                      • 2342

                                      #928
                                      CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
                                      Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.90 x1
                                      BULLDOGS +1.5 @1.90 x1


                                      Great spot to take the Dogs here. At home in a must win scenario is just too good to pass up.

                                      Although the stats point to an under, yes at the opener of 36 it's the play. But with the public smashing it to 34.5, a late try or golden point makes the OVER a better option.

                                      Good luck.
                                      Comment
                                      • the tross
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-14-13
                                        • 450

                                        #929
                                        I've gone the opposite on both picks so you should be fine. Goodluck buddy.
                                        Comment
                                        • MrXYZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-18-11
                                          • 2342

                                          #930
                                          GOLD COAST TITANS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
                                          Game Total UNDER 36.5@1.90 x2

                                          Excellent value by Sportsbet. Most books have 35.5. Titans defense has been solid all year & the Broncos could get shut out tonight.
                                          Comment
                                          • MrXYZ
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-18-11
                                            • 2342

                                            #931
                                            Originally posted by the tross
                                            I've gone the opposite on both picks so you should be fine. Goodluck buddy.
                                            Thanks bro, it looks like we might both go 1-1. Good luck, Manly might grind it out now to protect the big lead.
                                            Comment
                                            • MrXYZ
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-18-11
                                              • 2342

                                              #932
                                              Half time chase:
                                              BRONCOS vs TITANS
                                              Game total over 39.5 @1.90 x3
                                              Comment
                                              • MrXYZ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-18-11
                                                • 2342

                                                #933
                                                Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
                                                Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.90 x1 LOSER
                                                BULLDOGS +1.5 @1.90 x1 LOSER


                                                GOLD COAST TITANS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
                                                Game Total UNDER 36.5@1.90 x2 LOSER
                                                Half time chase:
                                                BRONCOS vs TITANS
                                                Game total over 39.5 @1.90 x3 WINNER



                                                Today: 1-3 -1.30 units -$65
                                                NRL Season Record: 16-16 -4.1 units -$205
                                                Comment
                                                • benrama
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-19-11
                                                  • 1499

                                                  #934
                                                  If you're counting half time or live chases then your record is bullish.it
                                                  Comment
                                                  • the tross
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 02-14-13
                                                    • 450

                                                    #935
                                                    Nice come back on the chase MrXYZ. looking forward to the next pick.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                      • 2342

                                                      #936
                                                      Originally posted by benrama
                                                      If you're counting half time or live chases then your record is bullish.it
                                                      Gotta respectfully tell you to STFU. Its my thread & ill do what I want. This thread is about keeping a record first and foremost. . Couldn't care less about padding stats, that sh*t is for wannabe touts.

                                                      Half time betting is another tool in the goal to make money. I used to trade options and one of the rules of the game is to buy out if the markets go against you.

                                                      I got buried on a half time play a few weeks ago, where were you to criticise me then? Get off your high horse mate. As soon as they allow live online betting on sports here in Oz you'll be one of the first to jump on.

                                                      I do see where you're coming from, but check the times on my posts, at half time there's 15 minutes to analyse the situation and only a moron would sit there and not look at what's in front of him.

                                                      PS. congrats on hitting Broncos, I mean that 100% Was the play of the night.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • benrama
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-19-11
                                                        • 1499

                                                        #937
                                                        Look drop the attitude. You're a good guy but counting live plays to a record is BS, sorry. That's what touts and people who care more about their records than helping others win do. This sub forum is all about helping people win on lines they can readily get on and on time, I I'd like to see that preserved.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MrXYZ
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-18-11
                                                          • 2342

                                                          #938
                                                          Originally posted by benrama
                                                          Look drop the attitude. You're a good guy but counting live plays to a record is BS, sorry. That's what touts and people who care more about their records than helping others win do. This sub forum is all about helping people win on lines they can readily get on and on time, I I'd like to see that preserved.
                                                          Whatever. Stick to your moral high ground if it makes you feel better. We're all gamblers here.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • MrXYZ
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-18-11
                                                            • 2342

                                                            #939
                                                            PARRAMATTA EELS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                                                            Game Total UNDER 40.5 @1.90 x2

                                                            Always a risk Parra will get smashed again. We'll see if they have any pride left to make it a contest. Rainy weather & no Carney for the Sharks tip the scales in favour of the UNDER today.

                                                            Good luck. Also looking at the OVER in the Cowboys/Panthers game for a big play. Depends on the number. So far Sportsbet has 44.5.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 11-14-12
                                                              • 869

                                                              #940
                                                              I like it, especially if Ben Roberts plays.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MrXYZ
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-18-11
                                                                • 2342

                                                                #941
                                                                Adding:
                                                                PARRA vs SHARKS
                                                                Game Total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x2

                                                                Books are all over the place, with 36.5, 37.5 & 38.5. It's a risk worth taking. No way this one goes over 40 anyway.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • sonofben
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 02-05-13
                                                                  • 386

                                                                  #942
                                                                  Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                  Adding:
                                                                  PARRA vs SHARKS
                                                                  Game Total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x2

                                                                  Books are all over the place, with 36.5, 37.5 & 38.5. It's a risk worth taking. No way this one goes over 40 anyway.
                                                                  I like it!

                                                                  I'm rolling with the UNDER 40 on one play
                                                                  &
                                                                  UNDER 40 with Shark win 1-12

                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • the tross
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-14-13
                                                                    • 450

                                                                    #943
                                                                    Im with you too on the the under 40.5. Sharks H/F and Sharks 13+/under 40.5. GL boys.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MrXYZ
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-18-11
                                                                      • 2342

                                                                      #944
                                                                      Originally posted by MrXYZ
                                                                      PARRAMATTA EELS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
                                                                      Game Total UNDER 40.5 @1.90 x2

                                                                      Adding:
                                                                      PARRA vs SHARKS
                                                                      Game Total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x2

                                                                      Parra win 13-6 for the easy cash!!!


                                                                      (since it was the same play at different numbers it counts as 1 play)
                                                                      1-0 +3.60 units +$180
                                                                      NRL Season Record: 17-16 -0.50 units -$25
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • MrXYZ
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-18-11
                                                                        • 2342

                                                                        #945
                                                                        NZL WARRIORS vs SOUTHS RABBITOHS
                                                                        Game Total OVER 44.5@1.95 x2

                                                                        Centrebet has 43.5 @1.85. But the extra 10 cents on 44.5 offered by TAB make it a better option, as I've got a 48-50 point tryfest in store.

                                                                        Passed on the Cows/Panthers over & dodged a bullet.. After a runaway start set the scene for a 50+ score, it was killed by the lacklustre second half. We should have no such problems today. Still, 2 units is the max risk on this one.

                                                                        Good luck.
                                                                        Comment
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