Agree mase, the only reason that the game didn't blow the under was the Broncos were tiring, got lucky on that one. Early season games are really unpredictable but for the dragons to have so much possession and not score does not look good for their season and wooden spoon looks a real chance.
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Comment -
This is fkkn hilarious, Dragons bombed just about every opportunity to score a try.
It was worth a shot. Too many wasted chances killed the over.Comment -
For sure that low total seemed gettable to me also, the thing that's going to annoy me is the headlines tomorrow are going to be how good the Broncos defense was when any other side at home would of piled on given that amount of possession and territory. The Dragons were rudderless in attack, they've got one top class guy in that backline (Morris) and he didn't see the ball and Matt Cooper hang up those boots you're done old boy.Comment -
Feel sorry for the Dragons supporters.With the biggest fan base they deserve better management, but i suspect when they said they were gonna adopt a youth development strategy instead of buying talent what they really meant was their broke. My vision for them would be to relocate to Hurstvilles' chinatown and build a big farking casino $$$. Dollars win premierships . But what do i know i'm just a truck driver.Comment -
Shocker of a game really ... Under was pretty solid, yea Dragons had their chances in the Broncos 20 but how many times did they actually look like scoring? Not many.
Both teams have no chance of winning the comp this year ...Comment -
Off the top of my head .. Plenty of times. When they scored but video ref ruled Fein pushed marker off. When Hodges ripped the ball off Soward. When Hodges was sin binned. When Creagh scored and it was called back for a forward pass( I thought that was a tough call). There was another when Creagh got held up over the line.
I am also pretty sure there was another fair Bronco try scored but the refs disallowed and didnt check because They said Soward had a foot on tge line. The total only missed by eight.
This game went under cause the Dragons didn't have the killer instinct- that's what you get when you name Fein at half. Otherwise, they played with plenty of speed and bent the broncos line most of the game.
The worrying sign for them is how they let in 22 points? The broncos scored every time they came downComment -
Dragons are done for the season, a spoiler team for contenders for the top 8 at best.Comment -
Saturday
NZL WARRIORS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
Game total OVER 43.5 @1.90 x 6
$300 on the line. this is a textbook chase but I've done my homework on this one as always. expecting 50+ points in what could easily be the highest scoring effort of the round. If this goes under it buries the season once and for all.
Good luck today.Comment -
Tailing ya bro. And chasing if the pacers don't pull their fingers out. GoodluckComment -
The game could have gone over don't get me wrong, I was specifically saying how many times did they look like scoring inside the Broncos 20, yes Saints could have had the forward and interference go their way, but Nightingale also dropped a sitter to let one Broncos try in, so I don't think this was lucky to go under at all.
Lots of sides having a problem early on this year, a lack of creativity, too much one out running until the 5th then kick it up and hope for the best.
Mr XYZ - like the over for the Warriors game today too, putting 6X on it is degenerate though
Good luck though, weather has me concerned enough to make it only a small play.
Cowboys tonight is definitely my play of the day.Comment -
Agree with the creative slump. It's the crap defense that's responsible for the high scores we saw last week.The game could have gone over don't get me wrong, I was specifically saying how many times did they look like scoring inside the Broncos 20, yes Saints could have had the forward and interference go their way, but Nightingale also dropped a sitter to let one Broncos try in, so I don't think this was lucky to go under at all.
Lots of sides having a problem early on this year, a lack of creativity, too much one out running until the 5th then kick it up and hope for the best.
Mr XYZ - like the over for the Warriors game today too, putting 6X on it is degenerate though Good luck though, weather has me concerned enough to make it only a small play.
Cowboys tonight is definitely my play of the day.
Good luck with Cows. I like the under in that one.Comment -
Abc radio saying no rain. Surface good. Time to load up. Goodluck lads. Overs it is.Comment -
Hmm I really like the under in this one, but with you and Thatguy on the over is scaring me off! The Warriors struggle to score and they ended up giving up last week which is typical of this team so gave up a bunch of points, I can't see it happening again with a very vocal crowd behind them. I can see a cagey opening to this where both teams get through their sets and these two combined for a whopping twenty points last week!
Good luck, hope it cashes as SBR seems to have plenty of $ on this!Comment -
Damn, its pissing down nowComment -
wow there goes the over!Comment -
Buried.Comment -
spewing man tailed ya ,
but always chance of rain in kiwi landComment -
Hasn't rained in NZ in a month + and it rains minutes before kick off, you've got rotten luck at the mo. Still not convinced these teams would of done much anyway on the base of play.Comment -
For what it's worth I think Cowboys vs Storm goes OVER the total of 38.5 - that probably means you should smash the UNDER.Comment -
1 more try and it cud get interesting!!!Comment -
Well that's me done for round 2.cutting my loses. Goodluck guys.Comment -
Went for a massive bail out play at Betfair on the Cowboys/Storm OVER. An incredible finish to the game.Won't count towards my record but might as well put it up here as a public service announcement against degen gambling.
Market Selection Bid
typeBet ID Bet
placedPersistence Odds
req.Stake
($)Liability
($)Avg. odds
matchedProfit/Loss
($)
Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647470063 16-Mar-13
18:28C 1.92 49.25 1.92 45.31 Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647461164 16-Mar-13
18:27C 1.92 374.46 1.92 344.50 Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647460314 16-Mar-13
18:26C 1.93 118.04 1.93 110.13 Comment -
well i hope you've learned your lesson now mate,i think....Comment -
Haha. Funny!Went for a massive bail out play at Betfair on the Cowboys/Storm OVER. An incredible finish to the game.Won't count towards my record but might as well put it up here as a public service announcement against degen gambling.
Market Selection Bid
typeBet ID Bet
placedPersistence Odds
req.Stake
($)Liability
($)Avg. odds
matchedProfit/Loss
($)Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647470063 16-Mar-13
18:28C 1.92 49.25 1.92 45.31 Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647461164 16-Mar-13
18:27C 1.92 374.46 1.92 344.50 Round 2 - 16 March / Cowboys v Storm / Total Match Points Over 38.5pts Back 2647460314 16-Mar-13
18:26C 1.93 118.04 1.93 110.13
I done the exact same thing!!
Back to bankroll managementComment -
NRL Season Record: 1-4 -13.2 units -$660
As stated above,the bailout cows/storm play will not count in my official record. The season has turned into a disaster, thanks to a combination of brutal beats & terrible money management.
The goal now is to be +units by the time Origin 1 rolls around. That's usually my strongest part of the NRL season.
It would be too easy to throw a Lakerboy/Roxxy 20x unit play at a game & call myself profitable so it's 1-3 units max per play. There's a 5x circled in but will see when the time comes.
Will be back soon with a couple of plays for today's games.
Comment -
CANBERRA RAIDERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total UNDER 43.5 @1.95 x2
Excellent value from TAB. Fading the public here as the underrated Gold Coast defense comes up against the Raiders. Sacking Dugan was a good move & it should be an entertaining contest.
WESTS TIGERS vs PENRITH PANTHERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x2
Tigers were dreadful last week & face the threat of an upset against the rejuvenated Panthers. If Benji has a solid game this one will have no trouble getting over the line.Comment -
I like both plays. Especially the over for West Tigers and Penrith.
Good conditions persist we could hopefully see the Tigers of old - scoring plenty and leaking points.Comment -
With you on the Titans Under, best of luck to us.Comment -
Nice work on the over, although I'd had a big play on the under, can't believe they scored 3 tries in the last 8 mins, that's 2 really bad beats this weekend! It's been a tough start to the year, we've all got off to a rough start, just have to stick with it!Comment -
Thanks guys! I was down 8 units this time last year. Ended up 30+ for the season so it's definitely achievable.
Good Luck everyone.Comment -
I am going on overs for every NRL day game. I'm nervous bout the Titans game but sticking to this systemComment
