MrXYZ's NRL thread

MrXYZ · 08-16-12, 09:19 AM

Totals for Friday's NRL action have popped up at a couple of Aussie books:

Storm/Broncos - TAB: 39.5, Sportsbet: 38.5
Bulldogs/Tigers - TAB:40.5 Sportsbet: 42.0

MrXYZ · 08-17-12, 03:52 AM

Round 24
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs WESTS TIGERS
Game total OVER 42 @1.90 x5

I'm expecting a scorefest for a 5 unit play. Good luck.

hawley · 08-17-12, 06:37 AM

The NRL is an amazing sport.

Bets are never over until they are over.

Nice to see you cash the big one

MrXYZ · 08-17-12, 06:47 AM

Originally posted by hawley

The NRL is an amazing sport.

Bets are never over until they are over.

Nice to see you cash the big one

Thanks Hawley, what a finish to that game!

MrXYZ · 08-17-12, 06:54 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 24
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs WESTS TIGERS
Game total OVER 42 @1.90 x5

I'm expecting a scorefest for a 5 unit play. Good luck.

WINNER! BULLDOGS EDGE OUT THE TIGERS 23-22!

1-0 +4.5 units $225
2012 NRL season record: 50-53 +31.615 units $1580.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-17-12, 09:04 PM

Round 24
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITTOHS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

I was expecting this one to open at 40.5 so we're getting great value from Sportsbet. Other books are offering 39.5 & I'd still take that number. The much-hyped return of Greg Inglis is a bonus for one of the most potent offenses in the NRL. Cronulla's regression to grind out footy is a concern, but the more athletic Souths will push for a big win once they hit the lead & the over could hit the bank with ten minutes to spare.

MrXYZ · 08-18-12, 09:13 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 24
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITTOHS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

Got his one dead wrong, though I don't think anyone expected only 6 points on the board at half time. Well played by the Sharks, they deserved their 20-7 win today.

Books will set high totals for Sunday's games & with the likes of Parra vs Titans & Warriors vs Penrith on show, we won't see much value either way. Might have a play or two depending on what's on offer.

0-1 -1 units -$50
2012 NRL season record: 50-54 +30.615 units $1530.75 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-18-12, 09:04 PM

Passing on the Warriors/Panthers game. I like the under at 47.5 but a 40-12 type scoreline wouldn't surprise me.

MrXYZ · 08-18-12, 11:37 PM

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x 0.5

Just a small action play as both teams should focus on defense in this vital lead-up game to the finals. Taking the over in this game is about as a square as it gets, but there just might be enough spark in Manly to cash this one.

MrXYZ · 08-19-12, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.85 x 0.5

Just a small action play as both teams should focus on defense in this vital lead-up game to the finals. Taking the over in this game is about as a square as it gets, but there just might be enough spark in Manly to cash this one.

Easy winner with Manly smashing the Knights 42-20.

1-0 0.425 units $21.25
2012 NRL season record: 51-54 +31.05 units $1552.50 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-20-12, 02:51 AM

NQL COWBOYS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Cowboys total OVER 22.0 @1.90 x0.5
Cowboys ML @1.60 x1

I'm fading Centrebet's "Dragons 2.40 to beat the Cowboys" email & also taking a shot at a team total play. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-20-12, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

NQL COWBOYS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Cowboys total OVER 22.0 @1.90 x0.5
Cowboys ML @1.60 x1

I'm fading Centrebet's "Dragons 2.40 to beat the Cowboys" email & also taking a shot at a team total play. Good luck.

The Cowboys prove too good with a 32-22 win over the Dragons. Easy money tonight!

2-0 1.05 units $52.50
2012 NRL season record: 53-54 +32.10 units $1605.00 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-23-12, 06:19 AM

TAB's put up totals for Friday's Round 25 games, as usual their openers are being offered @1.85:

Raiders/Bulldogs: 43.5

Manly/Broncos: 38.5

therealdealau · 08-23-12, 09:01 PM

anyone here like the raiders?

MrXYZ · 08-24-12, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by therealdealau

anyone here like the raiders?

I'm passing on it, but Raiders at $2.40 is worth a small play. At home they are very capable of an upset. Though it's hard to go against the Bulldogs at the moment, their winning streak could end tonight.

MrXYZ · 08-24-12, 03:19 AM

Round 25
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

The best value play on the NRL card. Regardless of the outcome of tonight's contest, I'll take the over every time the books offer 38.5 on a Broncos/Manly game.

hawley · 08-24-12, 03:27 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

I'm passing on it, but Raiders at $2.40 is worth a small play. At home they are very capable of an upset. Though it's hard to go against the Bulldogs at the moment, their winning streak could end tonight.

I'm not 100% the Bulldogs will only be resting Ennis tonight.

I would wait for confirmed team lists before making any play on that game.

MrXYZ · 08-24-12, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 25
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

The best value play on the NRL card. Regardless of the outcome of tonight's contest, I'll take the over every time the books offer 38.5 on a Broncos/Manly game.

Manly win 16-6. Unlucky with those missed tries early on, had T-Rex & T'eo scored it would've opened up the game. But it was worth a shot & no regrets on the play.

0-1 -1 units -$50
2012 NRL season record: 53-55 +31.10 units $1555.00 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-24-12, 08:25 PM

PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 08-25-12, 02:24 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 41.5 @1.90 x1

Never in doubt. Panthers beat the Titans 36-22 for the easy winner!

1-0 +0.90 units $45
2012 NRL season record: 54-55 +32.0 units $1600.00 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-25-12, 08:40 PM

WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
Game Total OVER 44.5 @1.90 x1
Total Match Tries OVER 7.5 @1.80x1

A no-brainer play on the over. We could easily see 50+ points in this game. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-26-12, 01:09 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

WESTS TIGERS vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
Game Total OVER 44.5 @1.90 x1
Total Match Tries OVER 7.5 @1.80x1

A no-brainer play on the over. We could easily see 50+ points in this game. Good luck.

Roosters win 33-22 for the easy cash!

2-0 +1.70 units $85
2012 NRL season record: 56-55 +33.70 units $1685.00 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-27-12, 03:13 AM

MELBOURNE STORM vs CRONULLA SHARKS
game total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x0.50

The stats make this one seem like an easy under, but Storm could score 30+ tonight & so it's a small play for me.
Good luck

MrXYZ · 08-27-12, 03:34 AM

Looks like everyone's on the under tonight. Lol.

MrXYZ · 08-27-12, 06:15 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

MELBOURNE STORM vs CRONULLA SHARKS
game total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x0.50

The stats make this one seem like an easy under, but Storm could score 30+ tonight & so it's a small play for me.
Good luck

2 tries in 2 minutes by the Storm, amazing finish with a final score of 20-18. A small profit but it pushes my season to +34 units!

1-0 +0.45 units $22.50
2012 NRL season record: 56-55 +34.15 units $1707.50 Unit size is $50.

TC Woods · 08-29-12, 04:00 PM

Gonna wager on this one?

ITM Cup
Thu 8/30	203 Otago	+4½ +100
3:30AM	204 Bay of Plenty	-4½ -130

hawley · 08-29-12, 07:36 PM

Originally posted by TC Woods

Gonna wager on this one?

ITM Cup
Thu 8/30	203 Otago	+4½ +100
3:30AM	204 Bay of Plenty	-4½ -130

Hey mate different sport.

Check out the ITM Cup threads if you are looking for plays on that.

MrXYZ · 08-30-12, 04:32 PM

Sorry TC, I don't know a thing about New Zealand Rugby. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 08-31-12, 01:30 AM

Round 26
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.

baskets · 08-31-12, 03:50 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 26
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.

tailing you f*g

this better win

MrXYZ · 08-31-12, 10:02 AM

You've been added to my ignore list. See ya.

baskets · 08-31-12, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Round 26
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

No writeup needed. This is an autoplay at 40.5 - thanks to another Sportsbet soft total. It's 41.5 elsewhere & I'd take the over at that number as well. Expecting this one to cash with ease, though in the NRL anything can happen. Good luck.

what a pathetic pick. didn't even top 24 fukking pts

no writeup needed b/c it fukking sucked. one team didn't even top 6 pts, you moron

that pick was fukking horrible. knew I hsould've faded some fukking dumbass who has a n******* as an avatar

that pick was shit

MrXYZ · 08-31-12, 10:58 PM

Sorry about that Souths total. Got it wrong yesterday, but that second half was a joke, a dull ending to the Knights season.

0-1 -1.0 units -$502012 NRL season record: 56-56 +33.15 units $1657.50 Unit size is $50.

MrXYZ · 08-31-12, 11:11 PM

Saturday
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

Manly need a solid win to secure a top 4 spot, and with the Titans season effectively over, they'll either put on a show or get run over. Although it's a concern that Matt Srama and Ashley Harrison are missing, I have this one set at 42 & gonna roll with the over for a 1 unit play. Excellent weather conditions in the Gold Coast a bonus. Good luck.

MrXYZ · 09-01-12, 08:44 AM

What a tough beat. F**k the NRL.