MrXYZ's NRL thread

ExodusNZ · 03-14-13, 05:06 AM

Looks like your big play is going to cash

abzflabz · 03-14-13, 05:09 AM

36 pts so far and only half time. Nice pick

benrama · 03-14-13, 05:16 AM

No danger of jinxing this one, great play, I didn't see this amount of points coming

therealdealau · 03-14-13, 05:43 AM

jinxed

abzflabz · 03-14-13, 05:44 AM

Only need one more tryyy

Gee · 03-14-13, 05:50 AM

Bulldogs trying to give this away.

I got the Eels +4 and some on the under. Much more on Eels. Hope we both win with an Eels try here.

I could easily get buried by a Bulldogs try

hawley · 03-14-13, 06:00 AM

holy hell this is sick.

Gee · 03-14-13, 06:03 AM

edit. never mind. no try. sorry guys.

abzflabz · 03-14-13, 06:04 AM

That was unexpected

Mase of Base · 03-14-13, 06:08 AM

Wow feel for you overs backers, I stopped watching at half time and only checked back to see what the final score was. That is a horrible beat and a huge bit of good fortune for us under backers. Get em next time.

MrXYZ · 03-14-13, 06:22 AM

Fukkn unbelievable. 36 points at half time, no points after that & it goes under.

Buried.

My apologies to anyone who tailed.

Feel free to troll, but anyone who saw that game would agree that 99% of the time it goes over. With a scoreline like that at half time, what can you do.

It's too comical for me to get upset too much.

Yesterday I hit the Blazers/Grizzlies OVER in the NBA after it was dead with 2 minutes left to play so this time the gambling gods decided the joke was on me.

I'm done with the NRL.

Thanks & good luck with your plays for the rest of season.

Today: 0-1 -5 units
Final NRL Season Record: 1-2 -5.2 units -$260 (Unit size: $50, same as last year)

s2230011 · 03-14-13, 06:44 AM

You are quiting?? Y?? It's a long year mate

garygroundwork · 03-14-13, 07:05 AM

after that fkn debacle im with mrxyz...unders and overs can really be a lottery

how does that not go over...

36 at half time...wtf

dRavidC · 03-14-13, 04:52 PM

wow... just wow...

never in my life have i seen a beat of that magnitude. how can you score 36 in 1 half and not score a single point in the 2nd beats me.

That Guy · 03-14-13, 06:19 PM

wow.. didn't see you went x5 large on this game.

I think 99.9999% of the time it goes wayy OVER. Just bad luck.
Hope to see you back on board with some quality picks soon!

s2230011 · 03-14-13, 07:53 PM

Well the books had a 58.5 line at half time I think .. that says it all

I had the Dogs as well so it softened the blow but the bottom line was the tip was correct, crap happens.

Gee · 03-14-13, 07:57 PM

Horrible beat, but quitting after a season record of 1-2?

You gotta be kidding.

MrXYZ · 03-14-13, 10:51 PM

Originally posted by Gee

Horrible beat, but quitting after a season record of 1-2?

You gotta be kidding.

Why? No point for me to keep going, have completely lost interest in gambling on the NRL.

I did have one play for tonight's game, may release it later. had it circled for a while.

MrXYZ · 03-15-13, 12:24 AM

Friday
ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 35.5 @1.90 x2

I've had this game on my radar since the end of round 1 and even though Im finished with the NRL, have decided to post it. Had always intended to play the over in this game and why the hell not follow through, would hate to sit there thinking what if. It will be included in my record to wind up the season.

After yesterday's debacle you may as well fade, the smart money screams under, TG is on it too, but beware of another thrashing in store for the Dragons.

Good luck tonight.

s2230011 · 03-15-13, 12:43 AM

I am leaning that way too .. the Dragons are filled with youngsters, I dont think they will be as defence minded as they were last year.

IF they fall behind early they will have to go for it and then wait and see

Gee · 03-15-13, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Why? No point for me to keep going, have completely lost interest in gambling on the NRL.

I did have one play for tonight's game, may release it later. had it circled for a while.

But you had interest before last night and would probably still have interest if you won. We all get beats like the one you just had in all sports (maybe not so epic, but I could tell you a dozen games now where I've had worse or won games I had no business winning) and they even out int he long run. You know this -... you even referred to the Grizz/Port game.

I reckon give it some thought and re-assess. We all gotta learn how to lose the hard ones from time to time to ultimately succeed in this game.

GL on your play tonight.

benrama · 03-15-13, 12:51 AM

This will not be a thrashing I can guarantee it, they went 8-3 in games at Win in 2012 (with close losses to Bulldogs, Souths and NQ) and beat the likes of Melbourne and Manly.

The best chance for this to go over IMO is if St George gets behind a few tries and is forced to throw caution to the wind, but because of the above this seems unlikely.

Who knows though, early rounds are unpredictable, not worth anything more than a 1 unit bet IMO.

benrama · 03-15-13, 12:54 AM

Yea agree Gee, eg anyone see that Manhatten vs Iona end game a few days ago - now that there is some crazy shit!

League remains a soft market I think, we know you won't be able to give it up Mr XYZ

s2230011 · 03-15-13, 01:00 AM

Honestly this Dragons side is nothing like the one from 2 seasons ago. So many new and young faces in the side

MrXYZ · 03-15-13, 01:03 AM

Thanks guys. Let's see how it turns out.

The worst beat I ever had was on a Dragons/Raiders game 2 years ago. After blowing a lead, Soward got them the lead with a drop goal with the game virtually over. Then Gaz fumbled the raiders short kick-off for a try. Had a massive parlay going with the ML on it. Would've paid out close to $16k. That one sticks because how he totally misread the catch & the dumb look on his face when the Raiders got the perfect bounce for Dugan to run in & score.

hawley · 03-15-13, 01:11 AM

I had Dragons ML huge agains the Rabbitohs a few years ago.

Dragons went up like 16-0 in as many minutes but conceded two tries in th final few minutes after letting a kick off go into touch.

MrXYZ · 03-15-13, 01:14 AM

Originally posted by Gee

But you had interest before last night and would probably still have interest if you won. We all get beats like the one you just had in all sports (maybe not so epic, but I could tell you a dozen games now where I've had worse or won games I had no business winning) and they even out int he long run. You know this -... you even referred to the Grizz/Port game.

I reckon give it some thought and re-assess. We all gotta learn how to lose the hard ones from time to time to ultimately succeed in this game.

GL on your play tonight.

Yeah probably right Gee, I over reacted. But it was my goal of going for 3 straight winning seasons on SBR & feel like I've blown it. should never have thrown 5 units on it at this stage of the season.

I love this game too much so might just take time off.

hawley · 03-15-13, 01:21 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Yeah probably right Gee, I over reacted. But it was my goal of going for 3 straight winning seasons on SBR & feel like I've blown it. should never have thrown 5 units on it at this stage of the season.

I love this game too much so might just take time off.

Bro its a very long season. Keep grinding and you will easily have a winning season

MrXYZ · 03-15-13, 01:22 AM

Originally posted by benrama

Yea agree Gee, eg anyone see that Manhatten vs Iona end game a few days ago - now that there is some crazy shit!

League remains a soft market I think, we know you won't be able to give it up Mr XYZ

Yeah it's soft as butter. Even better now that we have 4 nights a week of footy action & public money pouring in. These apps make it so easy too. won't be surprised if this season sets records on amounts wagered.

hawley · 03-15-13, 01:29 AM

Speaking of bad beats - Tigers were 6.5 point favs last year against the Eels. Up 31-0 with 14 minutes to go.

Final score 31-30

hjrozay · 03-15-13, 02:16 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Yeah it's soft as butter. Even better now that we have 4 nights a week of footy action & public money pouring in. These apps make it so easy too. won't be surprised if this season sets records on amounts wagered.

Stick at it mate. You had a positive season last year and its good to have other contribution and discussion for NRL.

5 units can be overturned. There is 25 Rounds & Finals to go. It was a shocking beat but I think there is plenty of money to be made and for you to be in the back by seasons end.

benrama · 03-15-13, 03:09 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

Thanks guys. Let's see how it turns out.

The worst beat I ever had was on a Dragons/Raiders game 2 years ago. After blowing a lead, Soward got them the lead with a drop goal with the game virtually over. Then Gaz fumbled the raiders short kick-off for a try. Had a massive parlay going with the ML on it. Would've paid out close to $16k. That one sticks because how he totally misread the catch & the dumb look on his face when the Raiders got the perfect bounce for Dugan to run in & score.

I remember that game - brutal beat! I had a $15k parlay that lost with a team (CFB) losing after being ahead 4 touchdowns in the 2nd half. Not a bad beat of major proportions but hurt real bad.

Stick with the NRL mate good to have more voices around here.

Mase of Base · 03-15-13, 04:53 AM

You've just got to laugh, I'm on the same side as you tonight and this is amazing. At least last night there weren't really many chances in that second half for me to sweat out but tonight is a joke, after all that the Dragons have 6 points! Unreal.

tommo67 · 03-15-13, 05:05 AM

Bronco's spent a lot of time without the ball and Dragons could only manage to level, we will see if it opens up in second half , i,m on the under so we will see, after last night who knows?

Mase of Base · 03-15-13, 05:46 AM

Needed the dragons to not touch the ball and we would of been fine, they have to be a shot at the wooden spoon. Can't play 1970's football now they'll get embarrased week in week out which they're on track to do.