MrXYZ's NRL thread

[garygroundwork]

very unlucky mate

[MrXYZ]

NZL WARRIORS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS
WARRIORS +4.0 @1.90 x1

Fade me & you'll probably make money on this one. But I got a feeling the Warriors get the cover or even win. Giving it a shot as I might be through with the NRL season today.

Good luck.

[MrXYZ]

PARRAMATTA EELS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Game total UNDER 44.5 @2.05 x1

[MrXYZ]

PARRAMATTA EELS vs ST GEORGE DRAGONS
Game total UNDER 44.5 @2.05 x1

A winner at last.

[MrXYZ]

Sorry to anyone who tailed this weekend. It's a disappointing way to finish what's been a very profitable regular season. But I'm still happy to end up +32 units.

From now on the NRL becomes wildly unpredictable, so my advice is to manage your risk carefully. I think all of the remaining 8 teams are contenders to play in the Grand Final so we're set for some heart-stopping action. Good luck everyone with your plays.

2012 NRL season record: 57-58
+32.20 units $1610.00 Unit size is $50.

[MrXYZ]

NRL Finals Week 1
Friday
CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
BULLDOGS +2.5 @1.90 x1

The Finals are here! This game is almost too close to call but I'm rolling with the Bulldogs. We're getting great value as they are very capable of beating the Sea Eagles in what should be one of the best games of the year. It could be decided by a golden point.

[MrXYZ]

Total for the game: TAB 36.5, Sportsbet 34.5

[hawley]

Total for the game: TAB 36.5, Sportsbet 34.5

That's a few points lower than I expected.

Was thinking it would be around 38.5

[MrXYZ]

Adding:
BULLDOGS vs MANLY
Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.90 x1

[MrXYZ]

Bulldogs hold on 16-10 in a fantastic start to the finals. No probs with going 1-1 for the night. Back again with a couple of plays tomorrow.

[MrXYZ]

MELBOURNE STORM vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Game total OVER 36.5 @1.95 x1

The stats points to an under, but it's finals footy & I'm fading the public in this game. It's purely a situational play with Souths poor record away from home and Melbourne's ability to charge home giving us a shot a cashing the over. Good luck, looking forward to Slater vs Inglis!

[MrXYZ]

NORTH QLD COWBOYS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x5

[MrXYZ]

Cash that winner! Cowboys smash the Broncos 33-16!

[MrXYZ]

MELBOURNE STORM vs SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS
Game total OVER 36.5 @1.95 x1


NORTH QLD COWBOYS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x5

A dumb play on that Storm/Souths game, should've passed on that one, Storm -2.0 was easy money. More than made up for it with the Cowboys/Broncos total sailing over the line.

Today: 1-1 +3.5 units $275
2012 NRL season record: 59-60
+35.60 units $1780.00 Unit size is $50.

[MrXYZ]

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
RAIDERS -3.5 @1.92 x1.6

Raider's incredible run to the finals has seen them crush the Bulldogs, Storm and Warriors. Dugan & Williams return to join gun players Croker & Robinson in the best attacking side in the comp. The public's all over the Sharks with the line moving from 4 to 3.5. It's tempting to go with the expectation they'll break out of their form slump when it matters. It's not all about Gallen & Carney, but the latter needs to show up big time to give them any chance of a win. It's a tough game to call with both teams facing elimination but I'm rolling with the Green Machine to keep on firing today. Good luck.

[MrXYZ]

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
RAIDERS -3.5 @1.92 x1.6

Raider's incredible run to the finals has seen them crush the Bulldogs, Storm and Warriors. Dugan & Williams return to join gun players Croker & Robinson in the best attacking side in the comp. The public's all over the Sharks with the line moving from 4 to 3.5. It's tempting to go with the expectation they'll break out of their form slump when it matters. It's not all about Gallen & Carney, but the latter needs to show up big time to give them any chance of a win. It's a tough game to call with both teams facing elimination but I'm rolling with the Green Machine to keep on firing today. Good luck.

BOOOOOOM

lol

Raiders Win 34-16

Easy Winner!!! I hope some of you guys jumped on it.

To all the dumb fukks who got buried by Roxxy, stop by my thread next time, 2 profitable NRL seasons on SBR prove I know what I'm talking about!

[That Guy]

BOOOOOOM

lol

Raiders Win 34-16

Easy Winner!!! I hope some of you guys jumped on it.

To all the dumb fukks who go buried by Roxxy, stop by my thread next time, 2 profitable NRL seasons on SBR prove I know what I'm talking about!

haha.. some useful advice and a winning day to match!
Good work mate.
Don't forget the NBL seasons - had a killer year as well. Looking forward to more action in the coming season

[MrXYZ]

Finals week 2
MANLY SE EAGLES vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
MANLY ML @1.91 x1
Game total OVER 37.5 @1.85 x1

The JT & Matty Bowen show ends tonight. Manly should be too strong & take this game though it won't be easy. The total is worth a shot at this number, great value on the over.

Good luck. This is tough game to call & it could go either way.

[MrXYZ]

Finals week 2
MANLY SE EAGLES vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
MANLY ML @1.91 x1
Game total OVER 37.5 @1.85 x1

The JT & Matty Bowen show ends tonight. Manly should be too strong & take this game though it won't be easy. The total is worth a shot at this number, great value on the over.

Good luck. This is tough game to call & it could go either way.

Final score 22-12. Unlucky to miss out on that over, but we cashed Manly & the night ends 1-1.

Today: 1-1 -0.09 units -$4.5
2012 NRL season record: 61-61
+36.99 units $1849.50 Unit size is $50.

[MrXYZ]

Finals Week 2
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs CANBERRRA RAIDERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1
RAIDERS +8.0 @1.92 x0.50

Souths have been misfiring lately and it's always a risk they'll grind this one out. Canberra are missing the NRL's leading pointscorer, Jarrod Croker, and it's unsure how their goal kicking will go. But I'm still expecting a tryfest and have this one set at 44.

Also taking a small action play on the Raiders to cover the points.

Good luck. My best advice for today is: don't go big on this game!

[MrXYZ]

Finals Week 2
SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs CANBERRRA RAIDERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1
RAIDERS +8.0 @1.92 x0.50

Souths have been misfiring lately and it's always a risk they'll grind this one out. Canberra are missing the NRL's leading pointscorer, Jarrod Croker, and it's unsure how their goal kicking will go. But I'm still expecting a tryfest and have this one set at 44.

Also taking a small action play on the Raiders to cover the points.

Good luck. My best advice for today is: don't go big on this game!

Game total sails over the line with a convincing Souths 38-16 win over the Raiders. Their efforts to get this far deserved better than a thrashing.

A modest profit closes out Finals week 2 & sets up two blockbusters with Manly vs Storm & Souths vs Canterbury.

1-1 +0.4 units $20
2012 NRL season record: 62-62
+37.39 units $1869.50 Unit size is $50.

[That Guy]

GL this week mate.. you capping NBL when it starts in a few weeks?
Look forward to your picks!

[MrXYZ]

GL this week mate.. you capping NBL when it starts in a few weeks?
Look forward to your picks!

Thanks TG. Good luck with the NRL this week.

I'll definitely be back for more Aussie hoops with the NBL this season. It was sad to see the Gold Coast Blaze go out but we've got 8 teams now & the league will stream every game live - great for fans & bettors. We're set for a close competition & new imports to look forward to. It's early days but the Kings could be fade material again.

Last season was crazy, I almost got buried with a losing stretch, then hit an amazing run all through to the finals. It'll be tough to match that effort but will give it a shot & hopefully we'll continue to cash winners!

[hawley]

Thanks TG. Good luck with the NRL this week.

I'll definitely be back for more Aussie hoops with the NBL this season. It was sad to see the Gold Coast Blaze go out but we've got 8 teams now & the league will stream every game live - great for fans & bettors. We're set for a close competition & new imports to look forward to. It's early days but the Kings could be fade material again.

Last season was crazy, I almost got buried with a losing stretch, then hit an amazing run all through to the finals. It'll be tough to match that effort but will give it a shot & hopefully we'll continue to cash winners!

Worst roster by a long way.

Got blowen out by 27 last night in their pre season game against Perth.

Crocs and Tigers next worst.

Taipans and 36ers much improved this year. 36ers roster looks very dangerous

Hawks with 2hard should address some of their scoring issues.

Will be a much higher scoring league this year IMO.

[MrXYZ]

FInals week 3
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs MELBOURNE STORM
Game Total OVER 34.5 @2.00 x1
STORM -3.5 @1.91

A battered Manly will struggle and the Storm should take the game & book themselves into the Grand Final.

If you're looking for a safe bet, take the under. It may cash for you with 4-6 points to spare. But I'm fading the public and this is finals footy, anything can happen so it's worth a shot at even money. Tail or fade, manage your bankroll carefully tonight.

Good luck.

[MrXYZ]

FInals week 3
MANLY SEA EAGLES vs MELBOURNE STORM
Game Total OVER 34.5 @2.00 x1
STORM -3.5 @1.91

A battered Manly will struggle and the Storm should take the game & book themselves into the Grand Final.

If you're looking for a safe bet, take the under. It may cash for you with 4-6 points to spare. But I'm fading the public and this is finals footy, anything can happen so it's worth a shot at even money. Tail or fade, manage your bankroll carefully tonight.

Good luck.

STORM SMASH MANLY 40-12! EASY MONEY!!!

[MrXYZ]

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.80 x1.00

Late money's pouring into the Bulldogs for this blockbuster. As much as I'd like to see the Bunnies make the Grand Final, they always fall apart when it counts & they could get blown out tonight. But an upset is possible, and the ML at @2.75 might be worth a small play for the action. Sticking with the total & with the attacking firepower on show I'm rolling with the over for 1 unit.

This is one of the games of the year for NRL fans, good luck!

Yesterday: 2-0 +1.91 units $95.50
2012 NRL season record: 64-62
+39.30 units $1965.00 Unit size is $50.

[MrXYZ]

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.80 x1.00

Late money's pouring into the Bulldogs for this blockbuster. As much as I'd like to see the Bunnies make the Grand Final, they always fall apart when it counts & they could get blown out tonight. But an upset is possible, and the ML at @2.75 might be worth a small play for the action. Sticking with the total & with the attacking firepower on show I'm rolling with the over for 1 unit.

This is one of the games of the year for NRL fans, good luck!

Bulldogs win 32-8. That's the NRL for you, tough beats are part of the game.

Grand Final up next! Books opened MLs at @1.91. but early money's already on the Storm @1.80 & the Bulldogs have widened to @2.05. It should be a classic, almost too close to call.

0-1 -1.0 units -$50
2012 NRL season record: 64-63
+38.30 units $1915.00 Unit size is $50.

[hawley]

You follow the preseason NBL tourny results?

I imagine you will have a season thread for it?

[apeterlives]

yeah already put some on the storm, think it's a mistake?

[easysaid]

If storm lose this ill die my hair blue.

[Bazz27]

Hi MrXYZ n Others - I got a hawks/dogs double still alive for a 5k payday placed 3mths ago, any advice mate in laying off to ensure at least some sort of collect instead of a possible $0. Cheers

[MrXYZ]

Hi MrXYZ n Others - I got a hawks/dogs double still alive for a 5k payday placed 3mths ago, any advice mate in laying off to ensure at least some sort of collect instead of a possible $0. Cheers

It depends on what odds you got that double for. You could take the Swans ML & if Hawks win, bet on Storm ML the next day to ensure a profit. Otherwise ride out the AFL game, hope the Hawks can win it for you & bet on the Storm.

[MrXYZ]

You follow the preseason NBL tourny results?

I imagine you will have a season thread for it?

Yeah, I'll just dig up my NBL thread & get it going again. Re: preseason results, followed what was happening to get an idea of what to expect, it's a tune up for most teams but it's good to see what the imports can do. It's shaping up as a 2 team race again with Breakers & Wildcats, with 36ers & Townsville the next best IMO.

[MrXYZ]

yeah already put some on the storm, think it's a mistake?

It's the most evenly matched Final in years. I'll probably have a play on the Storm, even though playing in Sydney gives the Bulldgos an edge, they've been the more impressive team so far.