MrXYZ's NRL thread

Domestic · 04-26-13, 06:25 AM

Sure could use a missed conversion here for once.

Domestic · 04-26-13, 06:48 AM

Well that definitely had the heart pumping near the end there, congrats on the winner mate.

MrXYZ · 04-26-13, 07:18 AM

Originally posted by Domestic

Well that definitely had the heart pumping near the end there, congrats on the winner mate.

Thanks mate. What a thriller, one of the games of the year. Lucky to cash this one, they nailed every kick lol.

MrXYZ · 04-26-13, 07:42 AM

Souths hold on 20-12 & the NRL season is profitable once again. After all the effort, I have the grand sum of $20 to show for it. Almost buried myself so can't complain. Tough beats, poor money management & too many 5 unit plays.

Today: 1-0 +4.50 units $225
NRL Season Record: 23-23 +0.40 $20

MrXYZ · 04-27-13, 12:40 AM

NORTH QLD COWBOYS vs CANBERRA RAIDERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1

Stats may point to a low scoring game, however if the Cowboys get rolling early the OVER could prove to be easy money.

MrXYZ · 04-27-13, 04:05 AM

WESTS TIGERS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1

the tross · 04-27-13, 04:30 AM

Over38.5 / Broncs -6 for me bro. Goodluck bro .

MrXYZ · 04-27-13, 06:18 AM

Another losing day. Pissed off about missing the Cowboys total by 0.5.

Today: 0-2 -2.0 units -$100
NRL Season Record: 23-25 -1.60 units -$80

MrXYZ · 04-27-13, 08:50 PM

GOLD COAST TITANS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x1
TITANS -4.0 @1.90 x1

the tross · 04-27-13, 11:39 PM

I feel your pain. The amount of relieving penalties in the first half of Broncs tigers game really pissed me off. Bullshit calls in the ruck just destroyed the over total. Bol today bro.

MrXYZ · 04-28-13, 12:57 AM

Thanks mate. Another losing day. can't get anything right lately.

MrXYZ · 04-28-13, 12:59 AM

Today: 0-2 -2.0 units -$100
NRL Season Record: 23-26 3.60 units -$180

MrXYZ · 04-28-13, 07:28 AM

PARRAMATTA EELS vs PANTHERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x5

The local derby sees two of the NRL's worst teams battle it out for prime time glory on Monday Night Footy. Elite defenses have frustrated Parra's overpaid stars, but against the Panthers they should have no trouble racking up the points.

Tail of fade, good luck.

MrXYZ · 04-29-13, 04:55 AM

20-12 at half time!

Tim Gerry Mander · 04-29-13, 07:29 AM

Good call - both those teams are rubbish

Cash IT!!

MrXYZ · 04-29-13, 08:56 AM

I wish they were all this easy! Panthers smash Parra 44-12 to cash the play by themselves.

Today: 1-0 +4.5 units $225
NRL Season Record: 24-26 0.90 units $45

bovholty · 05-01-13, 06:28 AM

good call on eels/panthers over pick,was pretty happy at 1/2 time

MrXYZ · 05-02-13, 10:27 PM

Originally posted by bovholty

good call on eels/panthers over pick,was pretty happy at 1/2 time

Thanks mate. Good luck with the NRL this weekend.

MrXYZ · 05-03-13, 03:15 AM

CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs WESTS TIGERS

BULLDOGS -13.5 @1.90 x1
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x1

bovholty · 05-03-13, 06:37 AM

Bank that over thanks

MrXYZ · 05-03-13, 06:40 AM

Bulldogs win 40-4. Cash the 2 easy winners!

Today: 2-0. +1.80 units $90
NRL Season Record: 26-26 +2.70 units $135

MrXYZ · 05-04-13, 01:59 AM

MELBOURNE STORM vs CANBERRA RAIDERS
STORM -14.5 @1.90 x1
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1

Great value from Sportsbet. Most books have 44.5, still worth a play at that number. Similar to yesterday, a heavy fave & a big total, and we should see a similar result. Storm at home should have no trouble smashing the Raiders.

Good luck.

MrXYZ · 05-04-13, 04:25 AM

PARRAMATTA EELS vs NQLD COWBOYS
COWBOYS -7.5 @2.00 x0.5

Small action play on the Cowboys.

Tim Gerry Mander · 05-04-13, 06:30 AM

Storm = pretenders

garygroundwork · 05-04-13, 06:54 AM

can not believe that storm result...they were fkn avg tonight

MrXYZ · 05-04-13, 08:00 AM

Losing to the Raiders for f#ks sake. Storm should be ashamed of themselves after that game.

MrXYZ · 05-04-13, 08:06 AM

At least the over cashed to salvage the day. Storm forgot how to play footy, then Cowboys barely held on to beat Parra. Pissed off I didn't take the under in that one.

Today: 1-2 -0.60 units -$30
NRL Season Record: 27-28 +2.10 units $105

MrXYZ · 05-04-13, 07:54 PM

NZL WARRIORS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x5

I was expecting the books to open this one at 40.5. Rolling with the OVER for a big play.

Sol · 05-04-13, 08:03 PM

The total is all over the place. Weather isn't looking too good - hasn't stopped the juniors from racking the points up though.

davopnz · 05-04-13, 08:27 PM

weather is absolutely tragic

MrXYZ · 05-05-13, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

NZL WARRIORS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total OVER 38.5 @1.90 x5

I was expecting the books to open this one at 40.5. Rolling with the OVER for a big play.

Warriors edge the Titans 25-24!

Today: 1-0 +4.5 units $225
NRL Season Record: 28-28 +6.60 units $330

MrXYZ · 05-05-13, 09:21 PM

...

MrXYZ · 05-05-13, 09:27 PM

ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
MANLY SEA EAGLES -5.5 @1.90 x1

Square play to close out the round. Despite Richie Fa'aoso and Steve Matai's suspensions, Manly's still too strong for the Dragons & can't see them having much trouble covering the points.

Shifty107 · 05-06-13, 12:27 AM

Be careful here bro. Monday night is a goldmine for underdogs and upsets. I have been blindly betting the dogs on the line and ML for about 1.5 years now and I swear it is hitting at about a 60-70% clip ats. Here are the results from the beginning of 2012

Souths 20 - 24 Roosters - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Para 20 - 36 NZL - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Sharks 17 - 14 Manly - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Wests 16 - 30 Canberra - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Canberra 6 - 22 NQLD - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Manly 30 - 0 Penrith - ATS Winner + ML Loser
Newcastle 34 - 14 Penrith - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Souths 34 - Cronulla - ATS Winner + ML Loser
Penrith 13 - 12 Dragons - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Dogs 26 - 6 Cronulla - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Roosters 12 - 30 Dogs - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Parra 29 - 30 Cronulla - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Penrith 16 - 30 NZL - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Manly 22 - 26 Melb - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Newcastle 38 - 20 Wests - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Canberra 22 - 18 Wests - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Cronulla 14 - 14 Rooster - ATS Winner + ML Push
Roosters 22 - Souths 24 - ATS Winner + ML Loser
NQL 29 - 16 Wests - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Brisbane 22 - 42 Parra - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Wests 51 - 26 Parra - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Newcastle 26 - 4 Cronulla - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Dragons 22 - 32 NQLD - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Melbourne 20 - 18 Cronulla - ATS Winner + ML Loser

2013 to Date
Penrith 44 - 12 Parra - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Melbourne 26 - Wests 12 - ATS Winner + ML Loser
Roosters 50 - 0 Parra - ATS Loser + ML Loser
Newcastle 34 - 6 NQLD - ATS Winner + ML Winner
Souths 14 - 12 Cronulla - ATS Winner + ML Loser
Newcastle 42 - 10 Wests - ATS Loser + ML Loser

That gives us the following record for underdogs on a Monday Night
2012:
ATS - 16-8-0 (67%)
ML - 12-11-1 (with some very big ML's) (52%)
Home Dog ATS - 7-2 (78%)
Home Dog ML - 5-3-1 (63%)

2013:
ATS - 4-2 (67%)
ML - 2-4 (33%)
Home Dog ATS - 2-0 (100%)
Home Dog ML - 2-0 (100%)

Please also note fellas, that quite a few of the ATS and ML dog losers in 2012 were at the end of the season when teams that were not in the 8 had nothing to play for.

Good luck with your plays guys. Peace

MrXYZ · 05-06-13, 03:19 AM

Thanks Shifty, that's awesome work to lay it out for everyone. MNF is graveyard for favourites & parlays.

This game is a Centrebet special. They sent out an email today: Dragons $2.65 V Sea Eagles $1.50 tonight. They desperately need action on the Dragons to balance their books & fading them has been profitable over the last year.