MrXYZ's NRL thread

dRavidC · 05-06-13, 03:55 AM

i personally think the dragons can nab this one, they've never lost to manly at the stadium they're playing at tonight in 5 matches so history is definitely on their side. plus, manly look very vulnerable espeically with matai out. nonetheless, good luck to you mrxyz

MrXYZ · 05-06-13, 04:05 AM

Originally posted by dRavidC

i personally think the dragons can nab this one, they've never lost to manly at the stadium they're playing at tonight in 5 matches so history is definitely on their side. plus, manly look very vulnerable espeically with matai out. nonetheless, good luck to you mrxyz

Thanks bro. Good luck with the under tonight.

MrXYZ · 05-06-13, 07:13 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
MANLY SEA EAGLES -5.5 @1.90 x1

Square play to close out the round. Despite Richie Fa'aoso and Steve Matai's suspensions, Manly's still too strong for the Dragons & can't see them having much trouble covering the points.

Cash it! Manly defeat the Dragons 24-18. One of the best games of the year!

Today: 1-0 +0.90 units $45
NRL Season Record: 29-28 +7.50 units $375

Shifty107 · 05-07-13, 02:15 AM

Nice win X. And yes it was a terrific game of football. Hard as nails and you must have been sweating at the 60 min mark. I was already counting my money with 20 mins to go. Can't understand how the dragons gave that away. And soward the prick missing all but one conversion and then missing that cross field kick when it was like 4 on none and he decides to feather it just past the post and straight to the wolf man. Congrats to Manly though, they scored just about every time they had the ball which was needed as they had like 10 possessions the entire game.

MrXYZ · 05-09-13, 07:22 AM

Soward's terrible kicking killed the Dragons. No way Manly should've won that game. I can't remember where a team had so much posession of the ball & lost. It's a cliche but good teams find ways to win & sh*t teams find ways to lose.

benrama · 05-09-13, 10:07 PM

Yea tell me about it brother! I had Dragons +5.5 BIG, most frustrating loss all season for me. When Soward missed that last conversion, I knew how it was going to end up.

Anyway - onto tonight, who we liking?

MrXYZ · 05-10-13, 02:25 AM

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 37.5 @1.90 x2

Also like the Cows +9.5 but sticking to the total. Mistakes will be costly against the Bunnies at home.

Passing on Tigers/Sharks, two crap teams with nothing to play for.

Tim Gerry Mander · 05-10-13, 04:55 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 37.5 @1.90 x2

Also like the Cows +9.5 but sticking to the total. Mistakes will be costly against the Bunnies at home.

Passing on Tigers/Sharks, two crap teams with nothing to play for.

Played the under in both games

MrXYZ · 05-10-13, 05:39 AM

Fukn disallowed tries are burying the over.

Tim Gerry Mander · 05-10-13, 05:47 AM

Unlucky on that Tate try

MrXYZ · 05-10-13, 07:09 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 37.5 @1.90 x2

Also like the Cows +9.5 but sticking to the total. Mistakes will be costly against the Bunnies at home.

Passing on Tigers/Sharks, two crap teams with nothing to play for.

Inglis scores late to cash the play & Souths win 28-10!

Today: 1-0 +1.80 units $90
NRL Season Record: 30-28 +9.30 units $465

MrXYZ · 05-10-13, 10:40 PM

NZL WARRIORS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS
Game Total UNDER 42.0 @1.90 x1

Purely a situational play. This number is too high for the wind & rain expected in Wellington.

the tross · 05-11-13, 04:21 AM

wow, that was fukkin close. Good call Mr XYZ. keep'em coming big guy

MrXYZ · 05-11-13, 04:28 AM

Thanks mate. I had visions of a last minute Dogs try after that short kickoff!

MrXYZ · 05-11-13, 05:03 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

NZL WARRIORS vs CANTERBURY BULLDOGS
Game Total UNDER 42.0 @1.90 x1

Purely a situational play. This number is too high for the wind & rain expected in Wellington.

Final score: Bulldogs defeat Warriors 24-16. Cash that winner! The season is now +10 units in profit!

Today: 1-0 +0.90 units $45
NRL Season Record: 31-28 +10.20 units $510

MrXYZ · 05-11-13, 10:51 PM

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1

MrXYZ · 05-12-13, 12:51 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

CANBERRA RAIDERS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x1

Cash the easy winner! Raiders destroy the Knights 44-14!

Today: 1-0 +0.90 units $45
NRL Season Record: 32-28 +11.10 units $555

MrXYZ · 05-13-13, 04:38 AM

Good luck everyone with the Roosters/Manly blockbuster. This one is tough to call. I may have a play at half time.

MrXYZ · 05-13-13, 04:53 AM

Live play at half time:

MANLY SEA EAGLES vs SYDNEY ROOSTERS
Game Total OVER 24.5 @2.00 x0.50

MrXYZ · 05-17-13, 01:28 AM

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs WESTS TIGERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x2

Auto play for me, books are off tonight, they should've posted 44.5.

NRL Season Record: 32-29 +10.60 units $530

MrXYZ · 05-17-13, 04:21 AM

Passing on the Broncos/Titans game. Everyone on SBR likes the UNDER - solid play stat wise but keep in mind these local derbys get players amped up to score points.

MrXYZ · 05-17-13, 06:56 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

SOUTH SYDNEY RABBITOHS vs WESTS TIGERS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x2

Auto play for me, books are off tonight, they should've posted 44.5.

42 points at halftime! Cash the easiest winner of the year. Souths steamroll the Tigers 54-10!

Broncos/Titans game played out as I expected too.

Today: 1-0 +1.80 units +$90
NRL Season Record: 33-29 +12.40 units $620

MrXYZ · 05-17-13, 11:32 PM

ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
Game Total OVER 37.5 @1.90 x2

MrXYZ · 05-18-13, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

ST GEORGE DRAGONS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
Game Total OVER 37.5 @1.90 x2

Another easy winner. Dragons too good for Parra, final score: 32-12!

Today: 1-0 +1.80 units +$90
NRL Season Record: 34-29 +14.20 units $710

MrXYZ · 05-20-13, 01:52 AM

MELBOURNE STORM vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.95 x2

Over reaction to the weather sums up this number, which has gotten hit hard on the under. The public assumes wet conditions equals a low score while "sharps" look at Manly's defensive stats and overthink themselves into taking 34.5 and making the same mistake. Manly are coming off their worst performance of the year and Storm are set to regain the offensive precision that's seen them go undefeated.

The books are letting this drop way off and are set to clean up. 36.5, is the only spot that makes sense for under backers. Tonight you'll see why books keep winning and dumbasses keep losing.

Seriously, if this play sinks I'll stop posting, because I'm convinced it doesn't get any easier than this.

Shifty107 · 05-20-13, 02:55 AM

GL mate. Tend to agree here. Might sprinkle some on it along with my standard dog Monday night bets. Lets go Sea Eagles.

MrXYZ · 05-20-13, 03:35 AM

Thanks mate. I might put $20 on Manly 1-12 @4.50.

MrXYZ · 05-20-13, 08:11 AM

Originally posted by MrXYZ

MELBOURNE STORM vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.95 x2

Over reaction to the weather sums up this number, which has gotten hit hard on the under. The public assumes wet conditions equals a low score while "sharps" look at Manly's defensive stats and overthink themselves into taking 34.5 and making the same mistake. Manly are coming off their worst performance of the year and Storm are set to regain the offensive precision that's seen them go undefeated.

The books are letting this drop way off and are set to clean up. 36.5, is the only spot that makes sense for under backers. Tonight you'll see why books keep winning and dumbasses keep losing.

Seriously, if this play sinks I'll stop posting, because I'm convinced it doesn't get any easier than this.

What a moron. Got this one completely wrong. No excuses, got what I deserved for getting overconfident. Thought this one was on the money. Well, so much for that. Congrats under backers.

Can live with the loss, who cares after sitting through what was one of the best games I've seen in a long time. An old school thriller from the two best teams in the NRL!

Today: 0-1 -2.0 units -$100
NRL Season Record: 34-30 +12.20 units $610

MrXYZ · 05-24-13, 01:04 AM

WESTS TIGERS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 36.5 @1.90 x5

This one should sail over 40 points.

hjrozay · 05-24-13, 02:25 AM

Hey mate, I haven't checked in this thread for a minute but great to see you in the positive after a rough start.

Keep up the good work.

MrXYZ · 05-24-13, 04:23 AM

I'm buying out of this one, it's been raining all evening and it's not worth the risk in these conditions.

WESTS TIGERS vs NORTH QLD COWBOYS
Game Total UNDER 36.5 @1.90 x5

Good luck everyone tonight.

MrXYZ · 05-24-13, 04:30 AM

Originally posted by hjrozay

Hey mate, I haven't checked in this thread for a minute but great to see you in the positive after a rough start.

Keep up the good work.

Thanks bro

hawley · 05-24-13, 04:30 AM

Think that's a wise call bro.

MrXYZ · 05-24-13, 04:59 AM

Originally posted by hawley

Think that's a wise call bro.

Thanks Hawley. I should've taken the Tigers +8.5, that might have been the play tonight.

MrXYZ · 05-24-13, 08:08 AM

Final score 22-20. No regrets. The NRL ball is a nightmare to handle in the rain & it pays to be cautious. Having said that, too many bettors assume wet weather = low scores. Tonight they got a tough lesson with both games easily going over.

1-1 -0.5 units -$25
NRL Season Record: 35-31 +11.70 units $585