1 more panthers converted try to cap the scoring and we're both happy
MrXYZ's NRL thread
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Tim Gerry ManderSBR Wise Guy
- 11-14-12
- 869
#911Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#912PENRITH PANTHERS vs GOLD COAST TITANS
Game Total UNDER 43.5 @1.90 x1
A tough call. Titans have proven to be one of the best defensive teams in the NRL. Here they come up against the Panthers, who got shredded by Souths last week to cash the over. I don't see more than 40 points being scored today. But it could be another 50+ scorefest so just the 1 unit at risk.
Good luck.
Great start with the Titans leading 12-0 at half time. Even though it's looking safe, I'm expecting a high scoring finish & with the 43.5 UNDER in the bag, there's nothing to lose, so gonna try to middle it:
Game Total OVER 32.5 @2.00 x1 (actual number is 1.98 but to keep things simple rounding it up)
Found this at Sportsbet. Other books have 33.5. Still worth a shot. 22 points in the 2nd half sounds like a lot but it's very possible.
Today: 2-0 +1.90 units +$95
NRL Season Record: 14-10 -1.20 units -$60Comment -
1Time!SBR Wise Guy
- 12-24-08
- 588
#913Does anyone know why they didn't attempt a 2pt conversion after the last try??Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#914CANBERRA RAIDERS vs NEWCASTLE KNIGHTS
Game Total OVER 42.0 @1.90 x2
Got this one set at 44. Excellent situation here for a high scoring game that could max out at 50 points. Rolling with the OVER for 2 units.
Good luck.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#916Final score 28-12. Tough beat on the over. What else is new.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#918NZL WARRIORS vs NQL COWBOYS
Game Total OVER 42.5 @1.90 x5
We're set for a breakout game from JT after last week's humiliating loss. The Cows should have little trouble finding the tryline today. Warriors will turn up to play & score enough points to ensure this one goes over.
The books have this one wrong, they should've posted 44.5 to get some under money. Seeing good value here so for me it's worth risking 5 units on the OVER.
Tail or fade, Good luck today.
NRL Season Record: 14-12. -3.20 units -$160Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#919Gonna have to sweat this one out. Warriors coming up with too many errors & its not looking good for the over. this game might open up to finish strong. Otherwise its another burial to add to the list.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#920Buried. Another loser. Fukk the Cowboys.
NRL Season Record: 14-13 -8.20 -$410[/QUOTE]Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#921SYDNEY ROOSTERS vs PARRAMATTA EELS
Game Total OVER 40.5 @1.90 x6
Another game that should go over but it remains to be seen. Been waiting for this number since it opened at 42.5.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#922Cash it!!!Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#923What a game from the Roosters to steamroll Parramatta 50-0 & cash the OVER by themselves!
1-0 +5.4 units +$270
NRL Season Record: 15-13 -2.80 units -$140Comment -
hawleySBR Posting Legend
- 05-10-10
- 14270
#924nice one brooooootherComment -
Tim Gerry ManderSBR Wise Guy
- 11-14-12
- 869
#925How shit are Parramatta.
Ben Roberts is awful - can't believe Stuart keeps persisting with him.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#928CANTERBURY BULLDOGS vs MANLY SEA EAGLES
Game Total OVER 34.5 @1.90 x1
BULLDOGS +1.5 @1.90 x1
Great spot to take the Dogs here. At home in a must win scenario is just too good to pass up.
Although the stats point to an under, yes at the opener of 36 it's the play. But with the public smashing it to 34.5, a late try or golden point makes the OVER a better option.
Good luck.Comment -
the trossSBR Sharp
- 02-14-13
- 450
#929I've gone the opposite on both picks so you should be fine. Goodluck buddy.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#930GOLD COAST TITANS vs BRISBANE BRONCOS
Game Total UNDER 36.5@1.90 x2
Excellent value by Sportsbet. Most books have 35.5. Titans defense has been solid all year & the Broncos could get shut out tonight.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#932Half time chase:
BRONCOS vs TITANS
Game total over 39.5 @1.90 x3Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#933
Today: 1-3 -1.30 units -$65
NRL Season Record: 16-16 -4.1 units -$205Comment -
benramaSBR MVP
- 01-19-11
- 1499
#934If you're counting half time or live chases then your record is bullish.itComment -
the trossSBR Sharp
- 02-14-13
- 450
#935Nice come back on the chase MrXYZ. looking forward to the next pick.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#936
Half time betting is another tool in the goal to make money. I used to trade options and one of the rules of the game is to buy out if the markets go against you.
I got buried on a half time play a few weeks ago, where were you to criticise me then? Get off your high horse mate. As soon as they allow live online betting on sports here in Oz you'll be one of the first to jump on.
I do see where you're coming from, but check the times on my posts, at half time there's 15 minutes to analyse the situation and only a moron would sit there and not look at what's in front of him.
PS. congrats on hitting Broncos, I mean that 100% Was the play of the night.Comment -
benramaSBR MVP
- 01-19-11
- 1499
#937Look drop the attitude. You're a good guy but counting live plays to a record is BS, sorry. That's what touts and people who care more about their records than helping others win do. This sub forum is all about helping people win on lines they can readily get on and on time, I I'd like to see that preserved.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#938Look drop the attitude. You're a good guy but counting live plays to a record is BS, sorry. That's what touts and people who care more about their records than helping others win do. This sub forum is all about helping people win on lines they can readily get on and on time, I I'd like to see that preserved.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#939PARRAMATTA EELS vs CRONULLA SHARKS
Game Total UNDER 40.5 @1.90 x2
Always a risk Parra will get smashed again. We'll see if they have any pride left to make it a contest. Rainy weather & no Carney for the Sharks tip the scales in favour of the UNDER today.
Good luck. Also looking at the OVER in the Cowboys/Panthers game for a big play. Depends on the number. So far Sportsbet has 44.5.Comment -
Tim Gerry ManderSBR Wise Guy
- 11-14-12
- 869
#940I like it, especially if Ben Roberts plays.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#941Adding:
PARRA vs SHARKS
Game Total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x2
Books are all over the place, with 36.5, 37.5 & 38.5. It's a risk worth taking. No way this one goes over 40 anyway.Comment -
sonofbenSBR Sharp
- 02-05-13
- 386
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the trossSBR Sharp
- 02-14-13
- 450
#943Im with you too on the the under 40.5. Sharks H/F and Sharks 13+/under 40.5. GL boys.Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#944
Adding:
PARRA vs SHARKS
Game Total UNDER 38.5 @1.90 x2
Parra win 13-6 for the easy cash!!!
(since it was the same play at different numbers it counts as 1 play)
1-0 +3.60 units +$180
NRL Season Record: 17-16 -0.50 units -$25Comment -
MrXYZSBR MVP
- 02-18-11
- 2342
#945NZL WARRIORS vs SOUTHS RABBITOHS
Game Total OVER 44.5@1.95 x2
Centrebet has 43.5 @1.85. But the extra 10 cents on 44.5 offered by TAB make it a better option, as I've got a 48-50 point tryfest in store.
Passed on the Cows/Panthers over & dodged a bullet.. After a runaway start set the scene for a 50+ score, it was killed by the lacklustre second half. We should have no such problems today. Still, 2 units is the max risk on this one.
Good luck.Comment
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