Well UNC can't get anything and this game is boring as fukk ... hence why I don't want UCLA to win. Seeing them in the Championship Series is going to be painful.
-
Comment -
just watched a little bit of it, man they are amazing on defense. guy fielded a bunt w/ his bare hand super fast and got out the quick runner all in one motionComment -
In general though, the CWS has really become a little bit boring since the move to TD Ameritrade. Admittedly, Rosenblatt was a joke in the opposite way with any fly ball going out ... but there needs to be a happy medium instead of what it has become now where guys crush the ball and it's a routine fly ball.
Funny thing is if UCLA holds on tonight, the CWS is going to be the two teams I faded a bit in the Regionals and Supers. I have come around on both from a betting standpoint as far as throwing my pre-conconceived ideas about them out the window. I actually have grown to appreciate Mississippi State. They can hit and their bullpen strategy is awesome. UCLA is just ridiculous. Great pitching, but winning on errors from the opposition, walks and high choppers that get through for RBIs .... I am not on board with that.Comment -
Do the Heels have the ultimate Houdini?Comment -
Wow UCLA got gifted that out. 2nd baseman was not even close to the bag. Should have been everyone advancing.Comment -
Broke even. Mississippi State v. UCLA Championship Series. No one predicted that one. Would not expect to see a total above 7/7.5 at most in this series. UCLA should be favored since Plutko is going in Game 1 & Vander Tuig will be better than whomever rolls in as State's Game #2. Couple in beating the top seed and it would be surprising if UCLA wasn't favored.
My guess is Fitts goes for Miss. State in the opener. Then they've got a lot of different looks for Game 2. Bracewell would be my guess there and then they turn to the bullpen. Pretty even when you consider everything in this one. Obviously, Miss State has the better offense. Fielding is about a wash. Starting pitching goes to UCLA, but Miss. State has better overall depth and versatility in their bullpen. From a competitive standpoint, the Championship Series should be good - but Jesus I hope UCLA scores a little and makes it watchable.
2013 Record: 59-43 [+16.35]
CWS: 9-3 [+4.60]Comment -
UCLA -150 to win the CWS/Miss State +110. Terrible split on the price from 5dimes. -150 should be yielding around +130 on the other side. Nice ya cheatin' shits. Will wait to see all the options because they usually list specific results like UCLA 2-0 or Miss State 2-1, etc. Last three years have been sweeps and 6 of the last 9. Also note that the last two years in TD Ameritrade, no Championship game has gone over seven runs. Likely that taking a shot on any total at least at 7 on the under would be a good idea.Comment -
Just a heads up to all using 5dimes...from now on, good idea to always check "reduced" box as well as College...
i noticed yesterday they had reduced ML odds on the the college games...
an extra glance at the bottom of the page may save a bit of moneyComment -
Odds already flipped to Miss State at -140. Still terrible split for the other side as UCLA is only listed at +100. Total for Game 1 is at 6.5. State is a -140 favorite.Comment -
CWS Championship Series Game #1
Mississippi State-UCLA Under 7 [-155]
Let's start with the astonishing numbers @ TD Ameritrade for this year's CWS. 12 games in the books so far and only five have reached seven runs total - one of those exactly on seven. Since the opening round, just one of the last six has gone over seven runs. In the two years hostings this event prior to this season, the Championships Series' four combined games have not gone over seven yet - only one landing on seven. So while the juice is high, seven is a key number to play for me. Five of UCLA's l;ast six postseason games have stayed at six or less runs. In the NCAAs total, in seven games, the Bruins have only surrendered 13 runs. Seven of those came in the Regionals and they have given up exactly one run in each of their three games in Omaha. Mississippi State has given up more - nine in Omaha in three games, but those came against better offensive clubs than UCLA. The key for the Bulldogs to keep UCLA in-check is defense. They have been mostly consistent in Omaha, but did give up a couple unearned runs in their opener against Oregon State. Everything else has been earned. We've seen UCLA's opportunistic nature. Limit your errors and walks and UCLA has trouble scoring. Even with some help in the CWS, they have just eight runs in three games. Miss State can hit. They have put up 14 runs in three games, but UCLA has shut down more powerful offenses in LSU and North Carolina. It's Plutko for the Bruins and Fitts for Miss. State. Expect the bullpen to be involved by the 3rd or 4th as is custom for Mississippi State unless Fitts gets in a large groove, which could happen against what has been a sputtering UCLA offense. Both teams have solid bullpens, so once these games get into the middle innings - runs could become very few and far between. For me, UCLA compares to an Arkansas team Miss. State saw three times. Arkansas had dominant pitching, but an inconsistent offense. That series saw two games finish with five runs or less.Comment -
The under train at TD Ameritrade rolls on. 3-1 UCLA. This is going to be one of the most unlikely teams ever to win it all if they do. Barring some major rules changes it may also start changing the way coaches recruit seeing as offense isn't necessarily going to win you dikk any more.Comment -
2013 Record: 60-43 [+17.35]
CWS: 10-3 [+5.60]
Could be the final game of the season tonight. Been a good ride.
CWS Championship Series Game #2
1st Five Innings: UCLA-Mississippi State Over 3 [-120]
No definitive word ont he Miss. State starter. Likely it's Ben Bracewell or Will Cox. It's not that neither is talented, but both have not pitched in game situations in weeks. Against an opportunistic team like UCLA, that could spell some early scoring chances due to what we saw last night - mistakes like hit batsmen, walks and errors. Vander Tuig goes for the Bruins. He has only given up one run in his last two starts. He's obviously tough, but he's still a tad more hittable than Plutko. My feeling tonight is that whatever runs there may be will come early again. All four of last night's runs came in the 1st five. Either Miss. State figures out an approach that works and gets on the board early and/or UCLA takes advantage of some rusty Bulldog pitching.Comment -
thanks for the winners it has been a great ride, your insight on the games is unreal and with you ep36 I always feel im on the right side win or lose thanks again................................... DWCHComment -
ditto for meOriginally posted by dowecheat'em&howComment -
I'd like to see Miss. State win tonight and force a Game 3, but I don't know that Pollorena is the one who is going to lead the charge. He's the starter. He's got the lefty thing going, but coming off an injury and an average season to begin with ... do think that might help tonight's bet though.Comment -
Congrats UCLA. This game is over. Miss. State couldn't score four if you spot them two. At least we push the 1st five at worst right now.Comment -
Going out a winner! Here's to hoping 5Dimes continues to post more and more lines during the regular season. Books should realize there is a definite market for this sport.Comment -
2013 Record: 61-43 [+15.35]
CWS: 11-3 [+6.60]
Don't forget NCAA Baseball in 2014. It's a money maker kids.Comment -
Starting to do more research and prep myself to get involved in the season. One of those sports I love to bet on and the Regionals, Super Regionals & CWS cannot be beat. Might have a play later today after I read some more.Comment -
April 26th @ 7pm ET
Miami +100
Tigers send their ace out, Daniel Gossett, to try and stop a red hot Miami club that has won 17 of 18, including the series opener. The Hurricanes counter with lefty Andrew Suarez. Clemson features a lineup chock full of lefties, so going with southpaws has been effective. Stephen Diaz shut them down yesterday and Suarez looks to do the same. He is 4-2 with a 2.73 ERA and a BAA of .238. Gossett has been awesome when healthy with a 5.0 mark and an ERA under 2.00. He is 4-1 in ACC starts and has been the stopper for this team. Offensively, Clemson does sport the best BA in the ACC at .284, but runs scored-wise ... these two teams are separated by just 15 runs on the season. If Miami can get to Gossett, the pen favors Miami and could allow the Hurricanes chances to score late like yesterday. Miami's defense can be a liability at-times, but hopefully they will be solid enough today and the lefty lineup will continue to be frustrated.
Comment -
Miami wins in extras, 3-2.Comment -
2014 Record: 1-0 [+1.00]
April 27
Arizona State -170 @ 7:30pm ET
The Sun Devils look for the sweep against Arizona today. The Wildcats have dropped five straight and been shut out three times in that span. The offenses on paper look pretty similar in terms of run production, but Arizona has run cold far too often. They have one run in this series with ASU tallying nine. The pitching match-up is Darrin Gillies for ASU. He has given them solid starts in conference play. He's not dominating, but usually he has his team in the game when the bullpen takes over later in the game. Arizona counters with Tyger Talley who has split time between the pen and the rotation. He's very hittable with a .284 BAA and he has to hit his spots or he's in trouble. ASU already saw him earlier in the season when they whipped Arizona, 14-6. Talley gave up eight hits and 4 ER in 5 IP in that game. Arizona's staff ranks last in the PAC-12 in Team ERA, a full run worse than ASU. The bugaboo for ASU when they struggle is defense. Their 56 errors is the worst in the conference. ASU is 3-1 against the Cats this season with the lone loss coming by one run.
Comment -
2014 Record: 1-1 [-0.70]
Not a good one tonight. Arizona dominated. Good reminder early in the game though to watch out for the extra chalky lines that 5Dimes lays on these. Will establish -140 to -150 as the highest I will probably go on a single play from here on out. Above that, will need to have discipline to skip or find a parlay partner. Will continue monitoring during the week to see what is available.Comment -
April 29: Prairie View A&M +5.5 [+100] @ 7pm ET
Texas hosts Prairie View. A mismatch on paper, but these midweek games sometimes are distracting for teams like UT. They won't lose, but blowouts are not always on tap. Schiraldi starts for UT. A 3.99 ERA. He can be great, but is inconsistent or he'd be a weekend starter. PV has some good hitters, so they can make him pay. Four regs hit over .300. UT is in a poor stretch, losers of 5/7 where they have scored just 13 runs. They won't run into quality pitching in Maldonado and his 5.79 ERA. Still some inconsistent offense and this stays close enough. Think PV needs early success to be legit with this spread.Comment -
PV killing themselves with walks. Didn't get any early runs, so banking that this will probably be a 6-8 run Texas win.
Comment -
Hey Now! Schiraldi implodes in the 6th. Had two outs and then PV worked the bases loaded and then cleared 'em with a triple. 5-3 UT.Comment -
6-3 UT in the 9th. Perfect for the +5.5
We'll see what lines get posted tomorrow. Gotta jump on the MLs early. I was researching Pepperdine/Cal Poly which was 5Dimes only other game and it went from a pick 'em to -190 for Pepperdine. Waves rolled 11-4.Comment -
2014 Record: 2-1 [+0.30]Comment -
May 2: Parlay LSU + TCU [+107]
LSU on the toad against A&M. Tigers send their stUd Nola out with his 1.40 ERA. Ray for the Aggies. He has struggled to match last year's success. He has a 5.40 ERA & .284 BAA. A&M has trouble against others top starters, losing 5/6 Friday games.
TCU hosts K-State. Horned frogs tolling on a nine game win streak, winners of 16 of their last 17. State has the best offense in the Big 12 with a .292 BA. They rank last in ERA at 4.28. TCU ranks 2nd @ 2.34 in ERA. No word on their starter. Morrison or Finnegan perhaps. Both are studs. MaVorhis for the Cats. His ERA is in the mid 3s. K-State has lost 7/8 on the road.Comment -
More proof that 5dimes is clueless setting these lines and why you can win if you study up. LSU-A&M opened at a pick em line @ -120. LSU is now -350. Really the only line that budged since they posted them, but people took notice. Foolish to get on them at the current price though.
I lost 60 cents to research the game myself, getting -180 and why I chose to parlay it.Comment -
What a choke. LSU up 4-0 going into the 9th. Now 4-4 ... and they might lose before extras.Comment -
LSU takes the lead in the 10th, but already in trouble in the bottom of the inning by allowing the leadoff guy on. And another. They are destined to lose. At least I parlayed them and didn't lose -350 like the guys who pounded them ... small victories.Comment -
LSU won somehow
Comment -
2014 Record: 3-1 [+1.37]Comment -
May 3: Tennessee -115 @ 12pm ET
The rubber game of the series features Kentucky righty Andrew Nelson and Vols lefty Andy Cox. Nelson is 1-4 with a 4.61 ERA. That has been Kentucky's issue this season, pitching. Their team ERA is 2nd to last in the SEC at 4.10 going into yesterday when they were beaten soundly, 8-2. Nelson pitches to contact and opposing batters have gotten the better of him to the tune of .299. Cox has pitched mainly out of the Tennesee bullpen as their best reliever, but he has made three starts. The most recent of which came on the road against one of the better offenses in the country in LSU. Cox went 5 IP, allowed three runs and kept his squad in the game where they battled for a 6-3 win. Opponents are hitting just .178 against him. He'll be challenged by this Kentucky offense, but hoping he can neutralize their left handed batters. Three of UK's top six are lefties - those six all batting over .300 on the season. One big edge for the Vols is defense where they rank 2nd best in the conference, while Kentucky has committed the most errors in the SEC this season. Wildcats have won just 1/3 road series in SEC play and have now lost 4/5 overall.
Comment
