on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

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  • juice050
    SBR Sharp
    • 11-19-10
    • 367

    #1401
    stiflers system is pretty solid. just a thought. on3 will pick up as well.
    Comment
    • eric14tsui
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-19-10
      • 187

      #1402
      Anyone know why the 5 run chase system spreadsheet has not been updated since last Friday? Thanks in advance.
      Comment
      • xgame
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 07-21-10
        • 675

        #1403
        Originally posted by eric14tsui
        Anyone know why the 5 run chase system spreadsheet has not be.en
        updated since last Friday? Thanks in advance.
        Coz they moved to different website .
        Comment
        • Gndias
          SBR MVP
          • 11-23-11
          • 1607

          #1404
          damn i am getting hammered....phillies...damn nats..
          Comment
          • knugen
            SBR MVP
            • 12-09-09
            • 2612

            #1405
            On the phillies -1 , lets have this win now
            Comment
            • Gndias
              SBR MVP
              • 11-23-11
              • 1607

              #1406
              you got some balls knugen
              Comment
              • Douchebag50
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-12-11
                • 37

                #1407
                Originally posted by xgame
                Coz they moved to different website .
                Could we get the new link 'cause I couldn't find it on the forum.
                Thanks
                Comment
                • Wallco99
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-01-11
                  • 7261

                  #1408
                  Good luck all.
                  Last edited by Wallco99; 05-09-12, 07:00 AM.
                  Comment
                  • carlitosgarcia
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 02-13-11
                    • 30

                    #1409
                    Originally posted by Douchebag50
                    Could we get the new link 'cause I couldn't find it on the forum.
                    Thanks

                    Comment
                    • WVU9494
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-14-11
                      • 333

                      #1410
                      If you are playing this system correctly how are you down only 9%? I am in the same boat as the other guy, this system has broke me.

                      Originally posted by knugen
                      What have you guys done, if you are down from 7500 to 450 dollar, if we lose this C bet tonight im down around 8-9% of my roll, tou really have to adjust your A bet amount!
                      Comment
                      • knugen
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 2612

                        #1411
                        I use labby, and my Starting line are only 0,25% 0,25% 0,25% 0,25%, so my first bet are only to win 0,5% of my roll, like alit of people already said in here MONEY MANAGEMENT, iw tou are down like 90% how many % are your starting line?
                        Comment
                        • daddyv
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 10-05-10
                          • 241

                          #1412
                          well 7500 wasnt my entire roll...its just what this past week has done to one of my accounts...im down close to 16-17 units playing this system which is close to 20% of my roll, so im hoping for a winning streak or things could get very ugly very quickly with a chase system
                          Comment
                          • SlickRick1382
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-15-11
                            • 3838

                            #1413
                            Originally posted by AwesomeGuy
                            Again, Lee hasn't pitched in 3 weeks and will have a limited pitch count of 80. Betting large on the phillies here is terrible regardless of the outcome. Not sure what we should do. Should we chalk this one up to a loss and regroup of the next series?
                            I'm considering betting on the -1RL to reduce the juice and if they win by one, so be it. I'll regroup next series although I may only back certain NL teams and skip others
                            Comment
                            • on3
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-23-10
                              • 2197

                              #1414
                              tough decision today. the line is around that -200 RL/ML split. if you have the -1 option available, take advantage of it. i just dont think you can play ML considering the juice. system play is RL.

                              System record 37-3-0; 9-0-0
                              Units -15.5
                              1 unit = $20

                              5/9

                              #40 -- ny mets @ PHI -200/+115 (C) -- play RL

                              Game 1 win = 21-20; 7-2
                              Game 2 win = 14-6; 2-0
                              Game 3 win = 2-3; 0-0

                              Labby Line (regular)


                              65-x-82-95
                              40-40-87-93
                              85-85-126-134

                              Labby Line (filter)

                              10-10-10-10

                              PHI bet 134
                              Comment
                              • Douchebag50
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 11-12-11
                                • 37

                                #1415
                                Originally posted by carlitosgarcia
                                Thanks so very much!
                                Comment
                                • on3
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-23-10
                                  • 2197

                                  #1416
                                  for anyone jumping off the bus. i encourage you to dial down your units and play the filtered system until you are comfortable with your bankroll again.
                                  Comment
                                  • sstrunks52005
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 07-15-11
                                    • 251

                                    #1417
                                    Originally posted by juice050
                                    stiflers system is pretty solid. just a thought. on3 will pick up as well.
                                    whos stifler?
                                    Comment
                                    • Ghenghis Kahn
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-02-12
                                      • 19734

                                      #1418
                                      Originally posted by sstrunks52005
                                      whos stifler?
                                      wasn't that the milf's son from american pie?
                                      Comment
                                      • Gndias
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-23-11
                                        • 1607

                                        #1419
                                        Comment
                                        • KennyM10
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 02-14-10
                                          • 788

                                          #1420
                                          Originally posted by on3
                                          for anyone jumping off the bus. i encourage you to dial down your units and play the filtered system until you are comfortable with your bankroll again.
                                          It is not about "jumping off a bus". It is the fact you have wiped out bankrolls knucklehead
                                          Comment
                                          • bigvern
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 01-29-11
                                            • 65

                                            #1421
                                            Originally posted by KennyM10
                                            It is not about "jumping off a bus". It is the fact you have wiped out bankrolls knucklehead
                                            Wind your neck in KennyM10
                                            Comment
                                            • KennyM10
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-14-10
                                              • 788

                                              #1422
                                              Just telling people to bet the highest favorite than when the games go to C saying "it is a tough decision is flat out dumb. If you want to be the man grow some hair on your chest!
                                              Be responsible, when you wipe people out like wallco does and run and hide like a little girl what do you expect.
                                              o
                                              Please if the phillies win tonight and one idiot comes on here knowing you are so clueless and says nice job I will puke on you.
                                              Comment
                                              • thelimit0310
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-24-11
                                                • 1233

                                                #1423
                                                One things for sure guys, KennyM10 has been losing some money!
                                                Comment
                                                • bigvern
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 01-29-11
                                                  • 65

                                                  #1424
                                                  Originally posted by thelimit0310
                                                  One things for sure guys, KennyM10 has been losing some money!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • alexknyc
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 03-22-11
                                                    • 861

                                                    #1425
                                                    Originally posted by bigvern
                                                    Wind your neck in KennyM10
                                                    I have that particular troll on my ignore list so I don't get to see the idiocy he vomits all over other people's threads (though, unsurprisingly, he fellates G every chance he gets).

                                                    Anyone who goes bust is responsible for their own plight (that includes trolls). Adjust your unit size properly and even the largest C bet won't cause you to lose any sleep.

                                                    People who blame the system (and/or the guy who runs the thread) should take some responsibility for their own actions. No one is forcing you to bet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • venture
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-25-09
                                                      • 1158

                                                      #1426
                                                      I know last year the C bet went 24-7, do you have other years record for C bets? Thanks.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • J.M. Disciple
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-16-10
                                                        • 5154

                                                        #1427
                                                        I would not start following this system randomly again with out a back test being down at -1 to see how it fairs. It will give a lot more pushes im sure as System integrity has 16% pushes. It will knock off the juice by about 20% though so thats a good thing.

                                                        Just dont start betting randomly again other wise your making your mistake all over again. The 1unit per line is probably pretty safe bet instead of 2 units per line. I would suggest keeping the same unit size through out the season though so you have a cushion when bad runs happen like this. Using a percentage instead of being down 15 units you are actually down like 45 units because at the peak it was like +30 units? Thats just a guess I have no idea but you get my point.

                                                        Good Luck To those on Philly. Line seems to be dropping.

                                                        JMD
                                                        Comment
                                                        • dlunc3
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 10-31-09
                                                          • 9129

                                                          #1428
                                                          Just saw phillys lineup for tonight... Ugh... The worst possible hitting lineup Charlie coulda put out there.. Snyder, galvis and mayberry all in the lineup with wiggington, nix, and ruiz (and obviously utley.and Howard), all out... I can't stand watchinging these triple A bats every night, let alone bet on them. Bol tonight, hopefully cliff can carry the load
                                                          Comment
                                                          • hagball52
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-22-10
                                                            • 3053

                                                            #1429
                                                            On3, Thanks for the points. Don't let the trolls bother you. You are doing an awesome job organizing and posting this thread. Keep it going man. GL tonight, I'm on the Phils too.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • darkmatter117
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-10-12
                                                              • 104

                                                              #1430
                                                              Originally posted by J.M. Disciple
                                                              I would not start following this system randomly again with out a back test being down at -1 to see how it fairs. It will give a lot more pushes im sure as System integrity has 16% pushes. It will knock off the juice by about 20% though so thats a good thing.

                                                              Just dont start betting randomly again other wise your making your mistake all over again. The 1unit per line is probably pretty safe bet instead of 2 units per line. I would suggest keeping the same unit size through out the season though so you have a cushion when bad runs happen like this. Using a percentage instead of being down 15 units you are actually down like 45 units because at the peak it was like +30 units? Thats just a guess I have no idea but you get my point.

                                                              Good Luck To those on Philly. Line seems to be dropping.

                                                              JMD
                                                              If you played exclusively -1 RL last season, regardless of the ML, C bets would be 16-17-21. I don't know where to find the juice for past RLs, especially -1s, but the average ML last year was around -160. It seems to me -1 RL typically saves about 40 cents, so that would mean average -1 RL would be -120. At that rate, Martingale players would lose 9.65 units per series loss. I also looked at it if you stopped with the first push of a series -- the results were not good. That's just one season, but the point is, I don't think switching from ML to -1 RL is a good idea.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • stevex
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 05-02-10
                                                                • 5122

                                                                #1431
                                                                Lets get a win tonight fellas. Be positive and thanks on3. We got this tonight.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • darkmatter117
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-10-12
                                                                  • 104

                                                                  #1432
                                                                  If, however, you played ML on all A and B bets and -1 RL on C bets, C bets in 2011 would have been 7-4-8. I think Martingale players doing that would have made something like 1.3 units more than straight ML players.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jturn49
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 11-28-11
                                                                    • 114

                                                                    #1433
                                                                    anybody nervous? haha. Good luck everyone. We could really use this one
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Gndias
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-23-11
                                                                      • 1607

                                                                      #1434
                                                                      i am....e need philly and wash to win...
                                                                      and tonight i am only celebrating when we are 10 up
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • darkmatter117
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 04-10-12
                                                                        • 104

                                                                        #1435
                                                                        One thing that would be interesting is to see how the system would do if we only bet the first 5 innings ML. We would have won both bets on the Phillies so far. Boston would have won the A and pushed (I suppose that's what happens in the event of a tie on those bets) in the C bet. The Giants and Tigers lost all three games.

                                                                        The drawback would be that there might be series that win over 9 innings but lose over 5. I've never placed a first 5 bet, but it doesn't look like the juice would be all that different -- maybe +/- 5 cents. The advantage is that we'd be dependent on the starting pitcher, the one who most influenced the opening line, and not those professional amateurs they call relief pitchers.
                                                                        Comment
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