on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units

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  • on3
    SBR MVP
    • 08-23-10
    • 2197

    #1
    on3's MLB 2012 Opening Game system thread 194-8 last year +60 units
    Here is the post that ended last year. Look forward to a good season this year.

    Thank you to everyone for making it enjoyable to track this system the entire season. There was nothing but positivity and enjoyment. Although the 2nd half of the season left much to be desired, we can use it as a learning experience for next year. this year, the labby really kept bets at a tolerable level, i dont think we really ever got to a point where it was uncomfortable for anyone who was following. this was also a year where there were not many losses and martingale players really would have cleaned up.

    SEASON System record 194-8
    units: +60 using a labby line (@ $20/unit = $1200)

    O/U 9 record as of 9/21: 63-0
    Game 1 win = 112 (91 losses) -- 55.1%
    Game 2 win = 58 (31 losses) -- 65.16%
    Game 3 win = 24 (7 losses) -- 77.4%

    SU record (no chase) = 194-129 -- 60.1%

    Take away notes from this year:
    No 2-game series' should be played.
    After the all-star break, teams must meet either the overall .500 record test or the home record over .500 test.
    Odds > -190 should be played on the RL.
    The O/U 9 filter is very real, and has an amazing record, dont believe me? Check the thread, its all posted.

    See you all next year!
  • drnkyourmlkshk
    SBR High Roller
    • 03-01-12
    • 156

    #2
    Thanks. Im new here but saw your NHL thread and wanted to try it but have never used a system before always just capped games. Im super psyched for baseball season and will be giving this a shot.
    I have a few questions. I realize its a chase system. I have a 3k
    roll set aside for the entire season. I dont quite get the labby line (Im a noob) Am i betting more per unit each game we chase or is it always the same?
    We bet all home favorites of -140 or more? Do we fade anyone or bet against anyone?
    Do we bet an entire series saying 1st games monday ends thursday or just the 1st games?
    Sorry Id Pm'd you but dont have the option yet Im sorry.

    However you'll get points from me and Ill help you as much as possible keep the thread updated once I understand the system perfectly.
    Thanks MILK
    Comment
    • darrendice
      SBR High Roller
      • 12-31-10
      • 121

      #3
      the system is explained here covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=79&sub=101020098.
      Comment
      • on3
        SBR MVP
        • 08-23-10
        • 2197

        #4
        the link above is correct. also, to avoid any drama...this is not my system. just like how the NHL system is not my system. these are techniques that have used time and time again and have been determined to be profitable. the only subjective input i give in running these threads is the labby line and whether or not use a RL in a situation, play the ML, or dont play a series if the line drop is significant. that is it.

        this is why i dont mind when people post 'no play today' or whatever, because the rules are available for everyone. i dont determine the plays. but if you do happen to post, DO NOT POST YOUR OWN PLAYS OR WAGER AMOUNTS. this is will confuse ppl and clutter MY thread. i emphasize my thread, because everyone has a tendency to yell and holler when someone starts to inevitably talk sh*t, but please leave the moderating up to me.

        lets have a good season.
        Comment
        • a4u2fear
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-29-10
          • 8147

          #5
          Originally posted by on3
          the link above is correct. also, to avoid any drama...this is not my system. just like how the NHL system is not my system. these are techniques that have used time and time again and have been determined to be profitable. the only subjective input i give in running these threads is the labby line and whether or not use a RL in a situation, play the ML, or dont play a series if the line drop is significant. that is it.

          this is why i dont mind when people post 'no play today' or whatever, because the rules are available for everyone. i dont determine the plays. but if you do happen to post, DO NOT POST YOUR OWN PLAYS OR WAGER AMOUNTS. this is will confuse ppl and clutter MY thread. i emphasize my thread, because everyone has a tendency to yell and holler when someone starts to inevitably talk sh*t, but please leave the moderating up to me.

          lets have a good season.
          When you start ? Regular season?
          Comment
          • on3
            SBR MVP
            • 08-23-10
            • 2197

            #6
            yes.
            Comment
            • knugen
              SBR MVP
              • 12-09-09
              • 2612

              #7
              so on3, are u going after the o/u 9 filter or will you play all games that pass the odds filter?
              Comment
              • drnkyourmlkshk
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-01-12
                • 156

                #8
                Only 2 questions remain.
                Do we chase all 3 games of that series or just just the first game of new series?
                The labby line is confusing to me. Do I double my bet until I win? Im not a extremely dumb man but am starting to feel like one 5-5-5-5=22 it says in his original article on covers.
                Do u add 0.5% to every bet maybe?
                Sorry on3 for all questions that Im not grasping somehow
                Last edited by drnkyourmlkshk; 03-22-12, 02:07 PM.
                Comment
                • oklahoma
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-22-10
                  • 602

                  #9
                  Played this system as a chase midway through last season and made a decent profit, looking forward to the start next month
                  Comment
                  • on3
                    SBR MVP
                    • 08-23-10
                    • 2197

                    #10
                    i will be playing all series' that meet the criteria. i will have two sets of labby lines. ones for regular games (that will be conservative, line shuffling, etc), and one for filtered games (aggressive, no shuffling, continual replenishment of lines).

                    can i get a show of hands to see who enjoys the A/B/C labby lines versus a single line that is 2/3/4 strike?
                    Comment
                    • on3
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-23-10
                      • 2197

                      #11
                      Originally posted by drnkyourmlkshk
                      Only 2 questions remain.
                      Do we chase all 3 games of that series or just just the first game of new series?
                      The labby line is confusing to me. Do I double my bet until I win? Im not a extremely dumb man but am starting to feel like one 5-5-5-5=22 it says in his original article on covers.
                      Do u add 0.5% to every bet maybe?
                      Sorry on3 for all questions that Im not grasping somehow
                      chase all three. we run a labby line so its not a straight A-x bet, B-2x bet, C-4x bet. but if you want to do that, you can. it will still make you money, but will also make your stomach churn when youre down 3-4 bot 8th with your 7-8-9 hitters coming up.

                      dont worry about understanding the nuances of the labby, once the season start you will pick it up. everyone does.
                      Comment
                      • dlunc3
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 10-31-09
                        • 9129

                        #12
                        checking in... bol this yr man

                        out of curiosity... what % of your roll do you make the numbers on your line? for example, if your roll is 1k, are your lines 5 5 5 5 making your unit size 1%?

                        looking forward to the season
                        Comment
                        • on3
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-23-10
                          • 2197

                          #13
                          $2000 BR -- $20 units

                          Personally, I'm going to increase to $40 units this year. But I will still run a 10-10-10-10 and will just double up the amounts when I place my own bets.
                          Comment
                          • knugen
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-09-09
                            • 2612

                            #14
                            On3 what other system do i follow in NHL, mlB and NBA
                            Comment
                            • DSSCA
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 03-07-12
                              • 454

                              #15
                              Following for sure
                              Comment
                              • Maleku
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-18-11
                                • 610

                                #16
                                Been watching. this system for the past two seasons... time for me to get off the sidelines and jump in.

                                On3, thank you for getting the thread going. Will you be posting the official plays each day as well?

                                I have always run a 1 line labby but when you mention a 3 line labby, do you designate each line to a game number?

                                Example-

                                All game 1's. 10-10-10-10
                                2's. 10-10-10-10
                                3's. 10-10-10-10

                                Clearing lines accordingly?
                                Comment
                                • Maleku
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 01-18-11
                                  • 610

                                  #17
                                  Sorry, one more question if you dont mind. Do you also have 2 sets of labby lines, one for AL and NL?

                                  Thanks again mate
                                  Comment
                                  • Coach Potato
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-31-11
                                    • 4303

                                    #18
                                    hey on3, dont mean to be a pain but can you explain the over/under 9 filter thing please?
                                    Comment
                                    • therizz
                                      SBR Rookie
                                      • 04-03-11
                                      • 35

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Coach Potato
                                      hey on3, dont mean to be a pain but can you explain the over/under 9 filter thing please?
                                      If the over/under line for the first game of the series is 9 or higher as well as opening at -145 or higher, a 3 game chase results in a 98% or so win rate. It was actually undefeated last year.
                                      Comment
                                      • therizz
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 04-03-11
                                        • 35

                                        #20
                                        I have to be honest, it is a little bit irritating to see this and my hockey system posted over here without mentioning where it came from. It did not fall from the sky. I spent a ton of time backtesting these, worked through money management strategies, and the over/under filter. It is a common sense system and very well may have been thought of in the past, but no one has ever been able to show me where it was posted or used in the past, especially not in this format....

                                        Ultimately, it doesn't really matter in that I shared it so people could make money off of it and that is happening here. On3 does a very good job of staying on top of the plays and the money management. Following him should result in a profitable season for MLB. Good luck to all. I hope the A bets hit at a higher rate this year, they were the key difference between the 170 units profited two years ago and 60 or so won last year

                                        Comment
                                        • on3
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 08-23-10
                                          • 2197

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by therizz
                                          I have to be honest, it is a little bit irritating to see this and my hockey system posted over here without mentioning where it came from. It did not fall from the sky. I spent a ton of time backtesting these, worked through money management strategies, and the over/under filter. It is a common sense system and very well may have been thought of in the past, but no one has ever been able to show me where it was posted or used in the past, especially not in this format....

                                          Ultimately, it doesn't really matter in that I shared it so people could make money off of it and that is happening here. On3 does a very good job of staying on top of the plays and the money management. Following him should result in a profitable season for MLB. Good luck to all. I hope the A bets hit at a higher rate this year, they were the key difference between the 170 units profited two years ago and 60 or so won last year

                                          your link on c o vers is in post #3 and #4 acknowledges that the system is/was/never will be mine.
                                          Comment
                                          • therizz
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 04-03-11
                                            • 35

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by on3
                                            your link on c o vers is in post #3 and #4 acknowledges that the system is/was/never will be mine.
                                            Here's to a good season On3. How are you planning to divide up your lines this year? I think I am going to go back to running a separate line for NL and AL.... Really need the A bets to pick it up, especially in the filter plays this year. I hate having to divide the lines so much...
                                            Comment
                                            • soul786
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-09-12
                                              • 1697

                                              #23
                                              This system looks interesting, I'm still new to capping but quite familiar with 'trading systems' used in the financial markets. Look forward to following along this season
                                              Comment
                                              • windwind
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 07-21-10
                                                • 597

                                                #24
                                                GL on3, lets do it again
                                                Comment
                                                • on3
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 08-23-10
                                                  • 2197

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by therizz
                                                  Here's to a good season On3. How are you planning to divide up your lines this year? I think I am going to go back to running a separate line for NL and AL.... Really need the A bets to pick it up, especially in the filter plays this year. I hate having to divide the lines so much...
                                                  3-line A/B/C group for non-filter games and a 3-line A/B/C line for filtered games. filtered games will have no splitting/dividing and will be aggressive. non-filtered will be run as usual with possible dividing up plays to make sure no one game is more than 3 units on the game.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • 1gamer
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 02-09-11
                                                    • 723

                                                    #26
                                                    I'm in...
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DustyDiamond
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-19-09
                                                      • 772

                                                      #27
                                                      Checking in, I think if your going to run a multiple Line Labby, it is probably to split the losses between lines, for example a Game 1 loss put some of the loss on Line 1 and some on Line 2. How are people going to play this system? I'm always open for new labby ideas
                                                      Comment
                                                      • airattackers
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 02-24-12
                                                        • 130

                                                        #28
                                                        mlb system

                                                        @ on3..i like the system you are referring to...can you help me to understand it more? i am kind of noobish..
                                                        Last edited by airattackers; 03-26-12, 02:39 AM. Reason: none
                                                        Comment
                                                        • airattackers
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-24-12
                                                          • 130

                                                          #29
                                                          hey rizz, can you please teach me your system..
                                                          Comment
                                                          • The HOFF
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-02-08
                                                            • 4847

                                                            #30
                                                            Here is a very solid explanation of the system with examples:

                                                            Comment
                                                            • airattackers
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 02-24-12
                                                              • 130

                                                              #31
                                                              @ the hoff..thanks..that link was helpfull..i will definitely study that method more thoroughly..
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MarkTX
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-04-09
                                                                • 1244

                                                                #32
                                                                looking forward to jumping on this year...Cheers
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Apathy31
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 02-20-12
                                                                  • 43

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I am going to make this Question easy as possible. I have a 2k BR but my limit is 1k with the local book. I have about 300 in futures out there. Will I ever have more than 700 being being risked at a time if I am using $20 Units. This question is probably extremely stupid. But I just want to make sure $20 is going to be a good unit size for me.

                                                                  Also TY on3 I am ready for some baseball!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • on3
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 08-23-10
                                                                    • 2197

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Apathy31
                                                                    I am going to make this Question easy as possible. I have a 2k BR but my limit is 1k with the local book. I have about 300 in futures out there. Will I ever have more than 700 being being risked at a time if I am using $20 Units. This question is probably extremely stupid. But I just want to make sure $20 is going to be a good unit size for me.

                                                                    Also TY on3 I am ready for some baseball!
                                                                    you will never, ever have a bet in this thread that calls for a wager of 35 (700/20) units.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • dlunc3
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 10-31-09
                                                                      • 9129

                                                                      #35
                                                                      If I remember correctly, the largest bet last yr was to win approx. 9 units? So with a spread of approx -200, maybe risking 18 units?
                                                                      Comment
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