Lets get a little lunch money with the Boston over.
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Lets get a little lunch money with the Boston over.
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Are we going to get screwed by this rain delay?Comment -
We did. It happens. I fully expect to be reimbursed by the baseball Gods at some point this season for this travesty.
.... Like a Rockies rally from down 2-0 in the 8th today would be nice.Comment -
Any more plays tonight ep?Comment -
Waiting for Team Totals to be posted, I have one game I am looking at that I like if the Team Total is right. Lots of "ifs" on the games otherwise tonight, which usually means it's best to stay away. Betting "ifs" usually leads to losses.
Looks like the Rox are done today without a big 9th inning.Comment -
Play #32: Reds Team Total OVER 3.5 (-115)
Ya gotta have faith to play the Reds to score runs these days & I've got it against Ted Lilly. Lilly was 0-4 with an 8.15 ERA vs. Cincy in 2008 in 3 starts. 5 ER, 4 ER, 2 ER & 5 ER given up. Reds obviously only falling below today's output once in those four chances. Several Reds have enjoyed success vs. Lilly. Encarnacion, 5 for 18 (2 HR), A.Gonzalez 5 for 15 (1 HR), R.Hernandez 6 for 14 (2 HR), Taveras 3 for 7 (1 HR), Votto 5 for 13 (2 HR, 8 RBI). Only Brandon Phillips has really struggled at 1 for 19, the one hit being a HR. Cincy has been sporadic scoring this season and on their current road trip, they have games of 7,6,3,2,0,4,4 & 2. Southpaw starting opposition has seen the Reds score at least 4 in 3 of 6 games this season, including 2 of 3 on this road trip. Long balls are a big key here as Lilly is averaging giving up 1 HR per start at Wrigley Field over the last two seasons.Comment -
Too short. 3 runs for the Reds. Bad weather info. Stuff I saw did not indicate the wind would be blowing in as rough as it was. If the wind wasn't a factor, Cincy would have gotten the 4. At least 3-4 balls got caught up in the jet stream and stuck at the warning track when they would have flown out normally. Oh wells.Comment -
Play #33: Brewers/Phillies OVER 9.5 (-115)
Important weather information to start out. Gusty winds expected at Citizens Bank Park today. Up to 21 mph, blowing out to right and from left to right field. David Bush vs. Cole Hamels. Suprisingly when you look at the numbers, Bush has been fairly reasonable at this park in his career. 3 starts, a 4.86 ERA and no decisions. He was really only roughed up once. The last two times he's visited Philly, the game totals for his starts went to 10 & 14. Against Philly all-time, he's 0-6 with a 5.88 ERA. The Phils have powered up against him as well with Feliz hitting 2 HR among just his 3 hits in 12 ABs vs. Bush. Howard has two bombs (5/14). Utley 1 HR (4/9). Rollins 1 HR (4/15). The Phillies' offense has been coming around at home too, scoring 29 runs on their current homestand (5 games). They've scored at least 5 in 7 of their last 9. For Hamels, his #s vs. MIL are so-so. 2-1 in 5 starts with a 4.41 ERA. He did pitch very well against them at home in 2008, 2 starts, 2 ER - one a shutout in the playoffs. But, this version of Cole Hamels still is finding himself. Hamels has been pounded for 12 ER in 2 starts against SD & COL. Braun, Fielder & Hardy have all gone deep off him in their careers. Braun is 3/10. Fielder 4/15. Hardy 4/11. Hamels also has an ERA a run and a half higher in his career (4.71) in day starts. Phils games have eclipsed the posted total in 8 of the last 10 & their pitchers had allowed 6.8 runs per game in their last 8 before allowing just 3 yesterday. If either starter gets chased, then we get a great shot as both bullpens have been knocked around. MIL (5.01 ERA). PHI (4.87 ERA). Keep an eye on the wind & lineups before going in on this one, but if the regulars are in & the wind continues to be gusty to the W or NW - I'm in on this.
Weather: http://www.weather.com/outlook/event...yhour/38887:20Comment -
Lineups look good enough. Weather remains same.Comment -
Can Philly score a run?!
I don't know...maybe Mil can get 10 runs on their own? Very frustrating to watch right now.
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Let me jinx it. David Bush with a NO HITTER through 6 IP? You can't be serious.
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Play #34: White Sox -110
Bartolo Colon vs. Adam Eaton. Eaton is trash and this game probably cements his demotion from the pathetic Orioles rotation. He's given up 4 ER & 6 ER in his two starts and if he can only given them his average of 4 IP today, that gets the ChiSox to the meat of that Orioles bullpen that has an ERA over & this season. Colon isn't the Cy Young guy from yester-year, but he can eat innings and keep his club in the game. He shut down MIN at home in an 8 IP shutout performance, but came back to earth by giving up 5 ER in 5.2 IP vs. TB last time out on the road. Colon is 4-5 at Camden Yards with a 3.76 ERA. Respectable. He did pitch twice vs. BAL in 2008 and his team won both starts, one at home and one at BAL. Baltimore has lost 7 of 10 and 6 of their last 7 while the Pale Hose are surging and have won 5 of 8 on their current road trip. Hitting .309 vs. righties on the road.Comment -
Looks like you need to whip the Fader-ade out on my baseball picks here for the weekend. Atrocious week so far & not looking like any help from Fat Boy Colon.Comment -
Unreal, Phillies couldn't hit and now Colon is getting smashed out there on the mound.Comment -
No one I bet on can score a run!! Bush and Eaton looking like All Stars today.
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Yeah not so surprised that Colon got hit, but Eaton shutting Chicago out was a big upset. Gotta get back to going with my first gut instinct. I've been passing on some plays that I liked upon first review. So let's see if we can't get a winner tomorrow!Comment -
Play #35: Giants/Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 (+100)
Starting by dissecting the Giants run scoring woes on the road. In 6 of the last 9 games in Arizona in this series, the Giants have scored 4 runs or fewer. Overall, in the last 20, they have scored 4 or less in 15 of 20 games (75%). If you trek all the way back to 2007, the Giants scored 4 runs or fewer vs. Arizona in 14 of 18 that season and 7 of 10 at Chase Field. On the road this season in 6 games, they are a perfect 6 for 6 in scoring less 4 runs or less. In fact, in their 14 games total, they have surpassed 4 runs just 3 times and they all came at home. In the last 8 games started by Davis vs. SF, they have only scored over 4 runs twice. Key here is that Doug Davis needs to pitch deep and keep the bullpen out of the equation as long as possible. If he goes 6 or more, that would be a great help! Dating back to 2008, when Davis goes 6 IP or more - the opposition has scored 4 or less in 65% of those games (11/17). Tim Lincecum goes for the Giants. He's coming off an 8 IP shutout performance against these same D-Backs @ SF. He whiffed 13 that day. He apparently fixed a hitch in his delivery, which could mean he's locked and loaded now. He's 3-1 with a 1.98 ERA in 7 starts vs. Arizona. In two road starts vs. ARI in 2008, he gave up 3 ER in each. 3 of his 4 starts against the D-Backs in 2008 hit for 8 runs or less.Comment -
Nice write-up for today Eagles, I had my eye on this one too......I may play the under for the First Five though. Both bullpens are the scary part.
Best of luckComment -
Yep. Very true on the pens. My hope is that both starters get to the 7th or later and leave them out of it! Really think that Giants UNDER 4.5 runs is also a solid bet, but decided to stick with one or the other and took the game total.Comment -
Bullpens tried, but got a nice W to start the weekend.Comment -
Good call in the SF game. Keep it going...start a new streak!Comment -
Play #36: Astros -130
Jeff Suppan vs. Mike Hampton. Suppan has struggled vs. HOU in his career. 2-7 with a 5.34 ERA. At Minute Maid Park, he is 1-2 in 5 appearances with a 6.26 ERA. Lots of HOU hitters flat out own Suppan. Berkman .438 (3 HR/11 RBI), Blum .542 (2 HR/9 RBI), Pudge .400, Tejada .308 (11 RBI). Hampton has been solid in his return to Houston. 1-1 with a 3.12 ERA and only 6 walks in 17+ IP. Lifetime, he is 4-2 with a 2.87 ERA vs. MIL. Most of those numbers though have come against older Brewers teams. MIL is only hitting .236 vs. lefties. Quirky stat: Astros are 4-1 in Game 2s of series this season.Comment -
Play #37: Twins/Indians UNDER 9.5 (-105)
Perkins vs. Laffey. Perkins quietly has been perhaps the most dominant lefty not named Santana through his first 3 starts. He's gone 8 innings in each start and yielded a total of 4 ER in 24 IP. In Perkins lone start vs. CLE last season, he allowed 3 ER in 7 IP in a 4-3 Twins win. The Indians have been hitting lefties better, but are still just .241 against them at home. Their bats have been silenced in this series, just 2 runs in 2 games and they have just 7 runs in their last 4 games. Laffey has also been very solid since his recall from AAA. The lefty is 1-0 with a 2.19 ERA in 2 starts vs. KC. Against MIN, he is 1-1 in 4 starts with a 5.75 ERA. His lone home starts vs. the Twins in 2008 was a good one though, 6 IP & 1 ER. Twins are hitting under .200 on the road vs. lefties. Both bullpens are still scary right now, so to get this done the starters will need strong performances deep into the game. If both can get into the 7th inning, then that would help a ton! The wind may be a little bit of a factor as it's blowing 12-14 mph from left to right & out toward right field.Comment -
I am really liking the 5 innings for this one. Scared of the Twins bullpen.Comment -
Nice one.Comment -
Yeah no bullpen meltdown today. If not for the Astros F-ing up in the 9th last night, coulda had a real productive baseball weekend. Still, will take it.Comment -
Play #38: [SERIES] Cardinals +105 (Braves)
St.Louis sends out Pineiro, Lohse & Wainwright. Countered by Jurjjens, Reyes & Vazquez. Game 1 tonight is a key swing game. Pineiro has been very effective so far, 3-0 (4.12 ERA). He does not have great numbers vs. ATL. 5 appearances, 8.44 ERA. None of the current Braves have really killed him though outside of Kelly Johnson who is slumping. Braves have McCann & Andersen on the shelf, so their offense is a bit limited. Jurjjens is a tough luck pitcher this season, yielding just 5 runs in four starts (2-1, 1.42 ERA). His one start vs. STL in 2008 resulted in a 7 IP, 3 ER performance. STL won 7-3. Game 2 leans more awkwardly to STL with Lohse having a solid start to the season, 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA. He jammed his knee recently, but said he will be ready to go here. He is 2-1 in 5 starts against ATL with a 5.02 ERA. He limited ATL to 3 ER in 6 IP last season in a start before the bullpen imploded in an 8-4 Braves win. Reyes is still too inconsistent and got hit around for 5 ER in 5 IP+ against Pittsburgh in his 1st start this season. Wainwright has been real good vs. ATL in his career. 3-0 in 6 starts with a 1.13 ERA. Dating back to 2007, he's won three straight decisions vs. the Braves. Vazquez has been pretty solid, but only has 2 wins despite 4 quality starts. St.Louis was 5-2 vs. ATL in 2008 and comes in with the hotter offense (.298 avg on the season). For the season, St.Louis has won 4 series, lost 1 and split a four game series.Comment -
Play #39: [SERIES] Red Sox -110 (Indians)
Boston comes in as hot as they get, having won 10 in a row. Wakefield, Penny & Lester go in the three games against Lee, Reyes & Carmona. Wakefield has been stellar recently with two straight complete games. He's 10-8 with a 4.50 ERA vs. CLE in his career, including a 5-4 mark at Progressive Field. Lee hasn't been great vs. BOS, 2-4 with a 5.13 ERA in 8 career starts. That includes a 5 ER performance last September when the Sox beat him, 5-4. Penny has given Boston two solid starts and a clunker in between. 6 IP and 3 runs allowed in both quality starts that resulted in Red Sox wins. Even the clunker got Boston a win. Reyes has also been steady, no more than 4 ER in his three starts. 2 of them Tribe wins. Game 2 would pit Lester vs. Carmona. A big advantage to Boston for me as Carmona has a 8.10 ERA vs. BOS in 4 appearances. Lester has pitched much better in his last two games and is 2-0 with a 4.03 ERA vs. CLE in 4 starts. Sox have been dominant over Cleveland recently, winning 8 of the last 9 and both series last season. Cleveland's bats have been inconsistent on their current homestand with 3 games of one run or no runs and three of four runs or more. The bullpens lean to Boston as the Tribe pen has an ERA of 6.00 so far this season. Red Sox bats need to translate their Fenway Park success on the road for this to hit. If they continue to hit (.347 in their last 10), they should get this series.Comment -
Play #40: Marlins/Mets UNDER 9.5 (-120)
A rematch of Anibal Sanchez & John Maine who dueled earlier this season in a 5-4 Marlins win in Florida. While the rest of the Marlins are scuffling, Sanchez has remained a steady performer. During their current six game losing streak, they have been pounded for 6 runs or more five times. The lone good performance? Sanchez vs. PIT, where the final was 3-2. Sanchez has good career #s vs. NYM, going 2-1 with a 2.82 ERA in 4 starts. None of his 3 starts this season have gone over 9 runs. John Maine has struggled this year, but he loves to face the Fish. 3-1 with a 2.85 ERA in 7 starts, including 5 IP & just 2 ER in that earlier start this season vs. FLA. Citi Field has played UNDER so far with it cashing in 5 of the last 6 there. Sanchez will need to get at least 6 IP to help the cause here as the Florida bullpen is a bit flaky. Mets pen has been solid (2.78 ERA), but could use some innings being eaten by Maine.Comment -
Horrible pick above. Again did not go with my gut feeling and gonna get raped because of it. Sheesh. I gotta learn not to change my mind on things. Under is pretty much cooked with a 7 run first inning. Ouch.Comment -
Its still looking good!Comment -
Wow. That was pretty amazing. Only one run the rest of the game and we have CASHOLA.
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never give up too early
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Play #41: [Game 1] Mariners Team Total OVER 4 (-130)
From top to bottom, the Seattle lineup for Game 1 of the double header in Chicago has had a solid amount of success vs. Bartolo Colon. Ichiro .313 avg, Junior 6/21 (2 HRs), Beltre .356 avg (4 HRs), J.Lopez .313 avg, Betancourt .407 avg. Colon has given up 5 ER in each of his last two starts & the Mariners are hitting .283 vs. righties on the road. ChiSox pen has been adequate, but giving at times (4.90 ERA). Seattle is averaging 4.9 runs per road game this season and has hit 4 runs or more in 7 out of those 10 games.Comment -
Figures Fat Boy Colon couldn't pitch worth a crap when I backed the Sox last week, now he can't be touched.
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