World Cup Parlay Today: Best Parlay Bets & Prop Picks for Monday, June 29
The Round of 32 really gets going today with an action-packed three-game slate starting at 2 p.m. with Brazil vs. Japan, followed by Germany vs. Paraguay at 4:30 p.m. ET, and wrapped up with Netherlands vs. Morocco at 9 p.m. ET. My best World Cup parlay picks for Monday are going to guide you through it all, finding top value across the whole slate.
My World Cup best bets today highlight one play from each of the three games that bring us up to a +914 parlay.
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⚽ World Cup predictions today: June 29
See all of our experts' World Cup picks based on the latest World Cup odds and favorites
| 💰 Best bets | 📊 Best odds | ⚖️ Wager (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Brazil vs. Japan both teams to score - yes | +105 via bet365 | 1.5u -> 1.58u |
| Germany vs. Paraguay card spread: Paraguay +1 | +175 via bet365 | 1u -> 1.75u |
| Archaf Hakimi to record 2+ shots | -125 via bet365 | 1u -> 0.8u |
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Max profit: 4.13 units
💰 Best World Cup prediction today
Brazil vs. Japan both teams to score: yes
The day opens up with a match that should treat us to a clash of tactics.
Brazil's verticality is a challenge for any opponent, headlined by Vini Jr., Matheus Cunha, and top-tier midfield control with Casemiro and Guimaraes. This afternoon, it meets one of the more disciplined defenses in the tournament, Japan, which allowed only three goals in group play despite facing the Netherlands and Sweden.
Japan's attack isn't as prolific as Brazil's, but it's every bit as effective. Japan posted a 26% shot-conversion rate in the group stage, the best of any of the 48 teams in the tournament, and they'll get their chances today against Brazil. They've scored in 10 straight games and will make it 11 today.
Kickoff time: 1 p.m. ET
Brazil vs. Japan odds: Brazil (-135) | Draw (+265) | Japan (+400)
How to watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
💵 SBR Edge: xG tells the story
Brazil has averaged over 2 xG per game in the group stage (7.3 total, scoring seven), but they've been middle of the road defense and with 2.6 xG conceded (and just one actually given up). Japan has perhaps been a little unlucky, giving up three goals on 1.5 xG conceded.
xG only tells part of a story, but the story these tell is that both teams should be able to do their bit here.
🔥 More World Cup predictions for Monday
Germany vs. Paraguay card spread: Paraguay +1 (+175)
Germany will dominate possession today. They recorded 61.7% through the group stage, good for eighth, while Paraguay clocked in at ljust 33.4% while playing a low-block.
So, with Germany's crafty midfielders (like Wirtz and Musiala) dominating possession and working through lines to find half spaces, Paraguay will be forced to pick up fouls against the superior side.
And it's not as though Germany has been entirely foul prone throughout the tournament or something. Paraguay averaged 13.7 across the group stage (with seven yellows, although five came in their opener), while Germany was at just 11 fouls/game and one yellow.
This is a three-way market so there's a chance of losing with a +1 tie here, but I see Paraguay racking up more fouls and cards today.
Kickoff time: 4:30 p.m. ET
Germany vs. Paraguay odds: Germany (-275) | Draw (+400) | Paraguay (+800)
How to watch: FOX, Telemundo, Paraguay
Archaf Hakimi to record 2+ shots (-125) vs. Netherlands
Hakimi has been the driving force for Morocco throughout the tournament, recording 10 shots across three group-stage games and hitting that mark in each. Morocco is undervalued in the public eye against a team like the Netherlands, which has a better-known name in households, and Hakimi, playing at right-back, is further undervalued compared to those up front. But he posted the best xG of any fullback in the group stage, and you don't get there without firing shots.
Morocco's structure will help them withstand the Netherlands' explosive attack and keep them in the game, and Hakimi will have plenty of opportunities to expose space behind the Dutch fullbacks. Morocco will need to rely on its counterattacking tonight, and that runs through Hakimi.
Kickoff time: 9 p.m. ET
Netherlands vs. Morocco odds: Netherlands (+130) | Draw (+210) | Morocco (+250)
How to watch: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One
📅 More World Cup best bets today
- World Cup predictions today
- Brazil vs. Japan prediction
- Germany vs. Paraguay prediction
- Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction
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