Netherlands vs. Morocco Prediction: World Cup Picks & Best Bets (June 29)

My Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction breaks down the clash of top-10 sides in the Round of 32.
Morocco's Ismael Saibari in the goal net as we make our best Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction.
Pictured: Morocco's Ismael Saibari in the goal net as we make our best Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction. Photo by REUTERS/Bernadett Szabo
Enjoying SBR content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Add as a preferred source on Google

My Netherlands vs. Morocco prediction breaks down a clash of top-10 sides as they meet in the Round of 32. Play from Estadio BBVA in Guadalupe, Mexico, gets started at 9 p.m. ET, airing on FOX, Telemundo, FOX One. 

The Netherlands are a +140 three-way betting favorite, but my World Cup best bets today break down why Morocco should make a tough game of it.

📃 Affiliate disclosure

Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)


⚽ Netherlands vs. Morocco predictions: Pick to win & player prop bets

See all of our experts' soccer picks across the best World Cup betting sites.

💰 Best bets 📊 Best odds ⚖️ Wager (units)
Netherlands vs. Morocco draw +210 via DraftKings 0.25u -> 0.53u
Netherlands vs. Morocco both teams to score - yes -110 via bet365 0.75u -> 0.68u
Achraf Hakimi to record 2+ shots on target +105 via FanDuel 0.75u -> 0.79u

⚽ Who will win Netherlands vs. Morocco?

I'm backing a draw in Netherlands vs. Morocco as two teams that play polar opposite tactics clash, despite being ranked sixth and seventh in the FIFA rankings, respectively.

Netherlands rely on explosiveness offensively, with Cody Gakpo and Brian Brobbey headlining the attack. While recent results have been cakewalks for the Dutch, the closest comp they faced to this Morocco side would be the disciplined and counterattacking Japan, a game that ended 2-2. 

Morocco, in the meantime, is far from a slouch. The CAF squad held the explosive Brazilians to just a single goal in their tournament opener, looking like the stronger squad for the large portions of the game.

This one will need extra time.

Score prediction: Netherlands 1, Morocco 1

💵 My best bet: Achraf Hakimi to record 2+ shots on target

Hakimi has been the driving force for Morocco throughout the tournament, recording 10 shots across three group-stage games and hitting that mark in each. He posted the best xG of any fullback in the group stage, and you don't get there without firing shots. 


🦶 Who will score in Netherlands vs. Morocco?

Follow all of our expert soccer betting analysis for the 2026 World Cup.

Ismael Saibari, M, Morocco

Saibari has scored half of Morocco's goals in the tournament and represents the squad's best chance of getting on the board tonight. His late entries to the box negate the aerial advantage the Netherlands have on their backline (such as Van Dijk). There's also the narrative of one more goal moving him into the top three highest-scoring Africans at the World Cup, shortly after becoming the first African to score in all three group stage games.

He had a career-high 15 goals in 26 starts for PSV in the Eredivisie, and he's clearly brought that form onto the world's biggest stage.  

Best Netherlands vs. Morocco goal-scorer pick: Ismael Saibari (+260)

💰️ More World Cup predictions today

Hakimi having two shots on the night is also one of my best World Cup parlay picks for Monday


🥅 Will both teams score in Netherlands vs. Morocco?

I do like both teams in Netherlands vs. Morocco to score tonight. The Dutch have an explosive enough attack to take advantage of any team, no matter how rigid the defensive structure; their 10 goals in the group stage probably overshot their mark (4.66xG, 20 shots on target). 

But the issue is that the Dutch also have a seven-game run on failing to keep a clean sheet. That explosive offense results in a team that you can get at in transition, and have failed to keep Tunisia, Sweden, Uzbekistan, and Algeria off the board in the last five games (three group-stage fixtures, two international friendlies before the tournament)

Both teams to score (BTTS) pick: Yes (-110 via bet365)

💡 How to bet on both teams to score (BTTS)

Our soccer expert Jeremy Vernon broke down how to bet BTTS at the World Cup with a full history and statistical analysis of the popular prop betting market across more than 7,000 matches.


📊 Netherlands vs. Morocco odds

We're tracking the latest World Cup odds and favorites to win this year's tournament.


📺 How to watch Netherlands vs. Morocco

  • Date: Monday, June 29
  • Kickoff: 9 p.m. ET
  • Location: Estadio BBVA (Guadalupe, Mexico)
  • TV: FOX, Telemundo, FOX One