Italy vs. Turkiye Prediction, Picks & Odds for Monday's Nations League Match

I feature my two best bets for Monday’s Nations League match between Italy and Turkiye, taking place at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in Bologna, Italy.
Pictured: Pio Esposito in action as we break down our Italy vs. Turkiye Prediction. Photo by Insidefoto/Sipa USA via Reuters Connect.
Pictured: Pio Esposito in action as we break down our Italy vs. Turkiye Prediction. Photo by Insidefoto/Sipa USA via Reuters Connect.
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I’m backing the Azzurri to come up with their second win since Roberto Mancini took charge in my Italy vs. Turkiye prediction. 

Italy are the clear -300 betting favorite for Monday’s Nations League match at Stadio Renato Dall’Ara in Bologna, Italy (2:45 p.m. ET, FOX Sports). Here’s why Italy will secure all three points at home.


⚽ Italy vs. Turkiye predictions & best bets

See our experts' soccer picks.

Best bets Best odds Wager (units)
Italy ML & Under 4.5 goals  -120 via BetMGM 1 unit to profit 0.83 units
Pio Esposito anytime goal +120 via FanDuel 0.5 units to profit 0.6 units

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💰 Italy vs. Turkiye best bet

Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.

Italy ML & Under 4.5 goals (-120)

Italy has a new sheriff in town. Well, he’s an old sheriff who gets a second kick of the can as head coach. 

Italy lost 2-0 at home to Belgium in Mancini’s first match in charge, but the Azzurri turned it around and delivered an impressive performance against Turkiye, winning 4-1. 

Things went well in the subsequent match, too, with Italy conjuring a road draw against France. Italy will fancy their chances at home against a Turkiye side that have lost three straight Nations League games by a combined 8-1.  

Score prediction: Italy 2, Turkiye 0


🔥 More Italy vs. Turkiye expert picks

Pio Esposito anytime goal (+120)

While Esposito doesn’t always start, he’s quickly becoming an influential forward in the national setup. He has three goals in the previous five matches, scoring in successive friendlies before bagging one against Turkiye in the aforementioned 4-1 Nations League drubbing. 

The Inter Milan frontman has two goals in five matches to start the domestic campaign, netting in his previous start against Udinese. Esposito scored in both matches he played the full 90 minutes. 

He’s facing a Turkiye defense that has been particularly porous lately. 


🆚 Italy vs. Turkiye projected lineups

Here are the projected lineups for Italy vs. Turkiye; subject to change:

Italy (4-3-3) Turkiye (4-3-3)
Donnarumma (GK) Çakır (GK)
Kayode (D) Çelik (D)
Mancini (D) Demiral (D)
Bastoni (D) Bardakcı (D)
Calafiori (D) Kadıoğlu (D)
Frattesi (M) Elmaz (M)
Tonali (M) Özcan (M)
Barella (M) Yüksek (M)
S. Esposito (F) Akgün (F)
P. Esposito (F) Gül (G)
Kean (F) Aktürkoğlu (F)

📺 How to watch Italy vs. Turkiye

  • Date: Monday, Oct. 5
  • Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
  • Location: Stadio Renato Dall’Ara (Bologna, Italy)
  • TV/Streaming: FOX Sports 2, Fubo TV