France vs. Turkiye Predictions & Odds: Nations League Picks (Nov. 15)
In Sunday's match at Stade Atlantique in Bordeaux, France (2:45 p.m. ET), I'm backing Les Bleus to book their spot in the Nations League quarterfinal in my France vs. Turkiye prediction.
France are the massive -500 betting favorite against a Turkiye side that has lost all five matches. I expect a comfortable victory for Zinedine Zidane's side, thanks to goals from Kylian Mbappe and Michael Olise.
France vs. Turkiye predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| France ML & Under 4.5 goals | +115 via BetMGM | 2 units to profit 2.3 units |
| Kylian Mbappe Over 1.5 goals | +195 via FanDuel | 0.5 units to profit 0.98 units |
| Michael Olise anytime goal | +115 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 1.15 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 14 at 7 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3.5 units | Profit if all picks win: 4.43 units
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France vs. Turkiye best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
France ML & Under 4.5 (+115)
France will look to quickly put behind them a poor 3-1 loss in Italy during the midweek fixtures. A better side beat them on the day, but Zidane's men will be much better at home against a comparatively inferior Turkiye. The probable return of Mbappe will also buoy France.
Turkiye have lost all five games by a combined 13-3, and France secured the 1-0 win in the reverse fixture in Turkiye.
Les Bleus won't leave their chances of quarterfinal qualification up to chance, as they won five of their previous six competitive home matches, outscoring opponents 16-3.
Play to: +100
🆚 Who will win France vs. Turkiye?
Turkiye have endured a miserable Nations League campaign, and I don't see it ending any better, particularly in France against a motivated and sour Les Bleus. Zidane's side will be on their best behaviour after a poor midweek showing.
Score prediction: France 3, Turkiye 0
More France vs. Turkiye expert picks
Kylian Mbappe Over 1.5 goals (+195)
Mbappe is expected to return to the lineup after his late exclusion for the midweek match in Italy. The French talisman had a minor hamstring injury, with many believing he was healthy enough to play in Italy.
Usually feasting against inferior teams, particularly at home, Mbappe has scored 11 goals in his previous nine matches with the national team, bagging a brace in four of them.
Mbappe has been even more prolific for Real Madrid, netting 17 goals in 16 appearances. The 27-year-old is also renowned for his multi-goal games with his club team, netting two or more in two of the previous four La Liga contests. As long as he's injury-free, Mbappe should terrorize Turkiye.
Michael Olise anytime goal (+115)
I backed Olise to score in Italy, and it only took him 10 minutes to do so. The creative wizard is on a tear with Les Bleus, scoring in four straight. He has maintained that superstar tier at club level, too, netting 12 goals in 15 matches with Bayern Munich.
His chances of scoring improve by facing Turkiye, who have conceded the second-most goals in the A bracket (13). Only Croatia (16) have conceded more. I love the +115 odds, too. If Mbappe is in any hampered by his minor niggle, the impetus on Olise to score will be more pronounced.
France vs. Turkiye key stats
All stats below are for the Nations League unless otherwise noted.
| France | Turkiye | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 3-1-1 | 0-0-5 |
| Goals for/game | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| xG/game | 1.42 | 1.54 |
| Goals against/game | 1 | 2.6 |
| xGA/game | 1.28 | 1.7 |
| Average possession | 64.7% | 48.9% |
France vs. Turkiye odds
Odds from FanDuel as of Nov. 14; subject to change
- Three-way moneyline: France (-500) | Draw (+600) | Turkiye (+850)]
- Total: Over 3.5 (-122) | Under 3.5 (+100)
France vs. Turkiye projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for France vs. Turkiye; subject to change:
| France (4-2-3-1) | Turkiye (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Maignan (GK) | Cakir (GK) |
| Gusto (D) | Aydin (D) |
| Jacquet (D) | Bardakci (D) |
| Konate (D) | Demiral (D) |
| Truffert (D) | Kadioglu (D) |
| Camavinga (M) | Yuksek (M) |
| Rabiot (M) | Kokcu (M) |
| Olise (M) | Akgun (M) |
| Cherki (M) | Guler (M) |
| Doue (M) | Yilmaz (M) |
| Mbappe (F) | Unal (F) |
France vs. Turkiye injuries
France:
- Désiré Doué (M), face - questionable
- Kylian Mbappe (F), hamstring - probable
- Marcus Thuram (F), hamstring - out
- Pierre Kalulu (D), biceps - out
- William Saliba (D), back - out
- Ousmane Dembélé (F), thigh - out
Turkiye:
- Kenan Yildiz (F), foot - out
How to watch France vs. Turkiye
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 15
- Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Stade Atlantique (Bordeaux, France)
- TV/Streaming: FOX Sports
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