Steelers vs. Bengals Predictions: Week 10 Odds, Picks & Best Bets (Nov. 15)
This Sunday Night Football matchup between the Steelers and Bengals is a rematch of a Week 3 game that Pittsburgh won 30-27 at home. While our Steelers vs. Bengals predictions don't call for another outright win, we do expect Pittsburgh to find enough exploitable matchups to keep things close and stay within the number.
Kickoff from Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati is set for 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC). The Bengals are a 3.5-point betting favorite, and the total sits at 49.5.
Steelers vs. Bengals picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Steelers +3.5 | -110 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.91 units |
| Under 49.5 | -110 via BetMGM | 1 unit to profit 0.91 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 13 at 10:30 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 2 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.82 units
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Steelers vs. Bengals predictions & best bets
Steelers +3.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
Pittsburgh has a formula for its head-to-head meetings with Cincinnati, going 6-1 ATS against its division rival since 2023.
Joe Burrow is one of four quarterbacks with four-plus consecutive games of at least four total touchdowns in a single season in NFL history. But it is encouraging that the Steelers can still find a way to beat him even if they cannot get him on the ground, like when they sacked him once in Week 3.
Pittsburgh (38%) and Cincinnati (43%) are two of the five best red-zone defenses in the league in terms of preventing touchdowns on those opportunities. But the big difference between the two is that the Bengals deploy a much more bend-but-don’t-break mentality compared to the Steelers, as they rank 25th in opponents’ yards per game (Pittsburgh ranks seventh).
Thus, the Steelers might not end their four–game road losing streak in primetime games since 2024, but they’re 6-0 ATS off a bye since 2020, covering by nearly a touchdown per game.
📡 SBR Edge: Pittsburgh's huge rest advantage
Pittsburgh is off a bye week, while Cincinnati is playing immediately after a game in Madrid. In the 13 such instances where a team off a bye played a team off an international game, the rested team is 8-4-1 SU and ATS.
The Steelers can dominate the trenches again
The best way to prevent Burrow and the elite receiving duo of Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins from scoring (Cincinnati’s four-game streak of scoring 30 points is tied for its longest in team history) is to keep them off the field. Pittsburgh can do exactly that, as running back Jaylen Warren has averaged 6.0 yards per carry over the last three games, the highest among all running backs. He also leads all backs (min. 100 opportunities) in yards per touch (6.9).
Cincinnati logged a 23% run stop win rate in Week 3 vs the Steelers, its second-worst rate over the last four seasons.
Play to: +3.5 (-115); pass at +3 or lower
Score prediction: Bengals 24, Steelers 23
💡 More Steelers vs. Bengals predictions
"I like the Steelers to cover +3.5 (-110). The Steelers are among the best teams in the league against the spread this season, boasting a 6-2 ATS record.
Burrow, the new NFL MVP odds favorite this week, has been playing at a stratospheric level lately. But Cincinnati hasn't been a strong team within its own division, even at home. The Bengals have lost five of their last six divisional games in Cincinnati with Burrow starting."
- Liam Fox
Live Steelers vs. Bengals odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Steelers vs. Bengals matchup page.
Steelers vs. Bengals opening odds
- Moneyline: Steelers +160 | Bengals -190
- Spread: Steelers +4 (-110) | Bengals -4 (-108)
- Over/Under: Over 48.5 (-110) | Under 48.5 (-108)
Steelers vs. Bengals weather
Temperatures will drop into the low 40s for this night game, with just a 6% chance of precipitation and light NNW winds at 6 mph.
Latest Steelers vs. Bengals injuries
How to watch Steelers vs. Bengals: Week 10
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 15
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycor Stadium (Cincinnati)
- TV/Streaming: NBC, Fubo
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