Spain vs. England Predictions & Odds: Nations League Picks (Nov. 15)
It's just as the schedulers designed it as a clash of the titans in Sunday's Nations League match at Metropolitano Stadium in Madrid, Spain (2:45 p.m. ET, FS1) will decide whether England or Spain secures first place in Group A3.
I'm backing the world champions, the -143 betting favorite, to secure all three points in my Spain vs. England prediction. Along with a Spain victory, I'm also predicting a match with three goals and a goal contribution from the returning Lamine Yamal.
Spain vs. England predictions & best bets
See our experts' soccer picks.
| Best bets | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Spain ML | -143 via BetMGM | 1 unit to profit 0.7 units |
| Over 2.5 | -160 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 0.63 units |
| Lamine Yamal goal or assist | -135 via FanDuel | 1 unit to profit 0.74 units |
Picks submitted: Saturday, Nov. 14 at 6 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3 units | Profit if all picks win: 2.07 units
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Spain vs. England best bet
Check out all of our soccer betting analysis and expert predictions this season.
Spain ML (-143)
La Roja is on an outrageous 43-match unbeaten streak dating back to 2024, with their last loss a 1-0 setback to Colombia in a friendly. They're on a 12-match winning streak, and their last dropped points came in a surprise 0-0 draw against Cabo Verde to kick off the World Cup.
England are an exceptional team. However, the Three Lions endured a choppy, unconvincing 2-1 midweek win at home against Croatia, while Spain executed a perfect game plan in their 2-0 triumph over Czechia in Prague without the services of Lamal and Mikel Oyarzabal. Both are back in the team for this one. Their embarrassment of attacking riches and playing at home will be too much for England to overcome.
Play to: -150
🆚 Who will win Spain vs. England?
La Roja's last loss on home soil came in a Nations League defeat to Switzerland in 2022. While England can escape with a draw if they play a perfect road match, Spain should have too much for Thomas Tuchel's side.
Score prediction: Spain 2, England 1
More Spain vs. England expert picks
Over 2.5 goals (-160)
Four of Spain's previous five matches had at least three goals, while nine of England's last 10 surpassed the three-goal threshold.
England scored at least two goals in 10 of the last 11 games, with the only exception the 2-1 loss to Argentina in the World Cup semifinal. Spain, meanwhile, bagged a brace in seven of the last eight. Argentina prevented them from doing so in the World Cup final.
Both teams are stacked with superstars, and Spain have struggled to keep a clean sheet recently, with just one in the last five matches.
Lamine Yamal goal or assist (-135)
Yamal should start after missing the match in Prague with a minor knee injury. He didn't travel with the team and should be full of energy for the pivotal first-place match. Yamal has been lights out for Barcelona this season, scoring or assisting in nine of his last 10 La Liga appearances. During that stretch, Yamal scored 10 goals and added eight assists.
He's also scored or assisted in all four Champions League matches, with seven goal contributions. The 19-year-old scored at Wembley against England in the opening Nations League match and has five goal contributions in four Group A3 matches.
Spain vs. England key stats
All stats below are for the Nations League unless otherwise noted.
| Spain | England | |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 5-0-0 | 4-0-1 |
| Goals for | 14 | 16 |
| xG | 11.6 | 14.5 |
| Goals against | 5 | 4 |
| xGA | 4.7 | 6.3 |
| Average possession | 65.6% | 59.1% |
Spain vs. England odds
Odds from FanDuel as of Nov. 14; subject to change
- Three-way moneyline: Spain (-145) | Draw (+300) | England (+400)
- Total: Over 2.5 (-160) | Under 2.5 (+130)
Spain vs. England projected lineups
Here are the projected lineups for Spain vs. England; subject to change:
| Spain (4-2-3-1) | England (4-2-3-1) |
|---|---|
| Simon (GK) | Pickford (GK) |
| Porro (D) | Alexander-Arnold (D) |
| Cubarsi (D) | Konsa (D) |
| Huijsenm (D) | Burn (D) |
| Cucurella (D) | Hall (D) |
| Ruiz (M) | Anderson (M) |
| Pedri (M) | Rice (M) |
| Yamal (M) | Rogers (M) |
| Lopez (M) | Bellingham (M) |
| Baena (M) | Gordon (M) |
| Oyarzabal (F) | Kane (F) |
Spain vs. England injuries
Spain:
- Nico Williams (M), sick - questionable
- Aymeric Laporte (D), viral infection - questionable
England:
- Marc Guehi (D), hip injury - Out
How to watch Spain vs. England
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 15
- Kickoff: 2:45 p.m. ET
- Location: Metropolitano Stadium (Madrid, Spain)
- TV/Streaming: FS1
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