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Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars looks to pass as we offer our Trevor Lawrence NFL player props for MNF
Trevor Lawrence #16 of the Jacksonville Jaguars looks to pass during the first quarter of a game against the Houston Texans at NRG Stadium on November 26, 2023 in Houston, Texas. Photo by Carmen Mandato/Getty Images via AFP.

The Jacksonville Jaguars host the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football to cap off the NFL Week 13 schedule, as we make our best Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

While the Jacksonville Jaguars are an impressive 8-3 through the first 12 weeks of the NFL season, QB Trevor Lawrence has fallen short of expectations in his third season in the league.

Entering Week 13, the former No. 1 pick has thrown only 12 touchdowns against seven interceptions, and he's averaging fewer than 250 passing yards per game, which ranks 13th among all quarterbacks.  

On Monday Night Football, Lawrence will face a Cincinnati Bengals defense that allows the sixth-highest passing yards per game (249.6) to opposing quarterbacks this season. Can the Jaguars passer reach 300 passing yards for the second consecutive week?  

To complement our Bengals vs. Jaguars predictions, our Bengals-Jaguars NFL player props, and our Ja'Marr Chase prop picks, here are our best Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions for Monday Night Football (MNF odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Trevor Lawrence NFL player prop predictions for Week 13

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Trevor Lawrence player props: Monday Night Football

Trevor Lawrence Over 241.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Jaguars may end up beating the Bengals so badly that Lawrence throws the ball 30 or fewer times on Monday night. In his previous four games with 30 or fewer attempts, his most passing yards is 207. However, the Bengals’ defense has been so bad of late, that Lawrence should go over this number even if his team dominates from start to finish.

The Bengals have allowed over 400 yards of total offense in their last three games. Last week, they allowed Pittsburgh Steelers QB Kenny Pickett to throw for his season high of 278 yards. Without QB Joe Burrow, the Bengals' offense can’t stay on the field. The defense will get worn down and Lawrence will have a field day against a defense allowing 249.6 passing yards per game.

Four of the five best sports betting apps have this prop listed at 241.5. FanDuel has it listed at 247.5, and though we would take the Over at that number, the price is -114, so it’s not worth it. bet365 is currently offering the best price for over 241.5.

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Trevor Lawrence Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

Even against a really bad defense, nearly every one of our best sports betting sites are favoring Lawrence to throw fewer than two touchdowns in this game. This season, he’s thrown two touchdowns in just three games, and he’s never thrown more.

For as bad as the Bengals’ defense has been, they’re allowing the 10th-fewest passing touchdowns per game. Running back Travis Etienne Jr. has run for seven touchdowns, and against a defense allowing the eighth-most rushing touchdowns per game, he’s going to steal the limelight from Lawrence again.

Prices for this Under range from -110 to -130. FanDuel is currently asking the most for the Under. We wouldn’t play this any lower than -115, because Lawrence could be in line for a huge day, especially if the Jaguars can finish drives.

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Trevor Lawrence Over 20.5 completions (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Lawrence likely won’t need to complete more than 20 passes in this game, yet, he still will. He’s completed at least 20 passes in all but one of his games this season, and he’s completed more than 20 passes eight times.

The Bengals are allowing just 17.6 completions per game on the road this season. However, the Jaguars are the better team in this matchup, so they should be dictating what happens. Lawrence is completing 22.8 passes per game at home. Even if the Jaguars win this game by double-digits, Lawrence will sneak over this number.

Four of the five best sportsbooks have this total listed at 20.5. FanDuel has it listed at 21.5 and is asking -102 for the Over. While that’s a great price, it’s not worth taking this prop one number higher than what you can find elsewhere, as it’s far from a guarantee that Lawrence completes at least 21 passes, let alone 22.

Trevor Lawrence player prop picks made 12/3/2023 at 9:56 a.m. ET.

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