Super Bowl 2025 Player Prop Picks: Best Passing Prop Bets for Chiefs vs. Eagles

Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts will be the fourth pair of starting quarterbacks to meet multiple times in a Super Bowl when the Kansas City Chiefs and Philadelphia Eagles clash in Super Bowl 2025 on Sunday, Feb. 9, at 6:30 p.m. ET (FOX) from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans.
That gives us plenty of data to work with while making our Super Bowl player prop picks for passing, which are part of our Super Bowl predictions.
A quarterback is getting -250 odds to win Super Bowl MVP from DraftKings. But will Mahomes or Hurts do enough statistically to warrant taking home that hardware if their team is victorious?
Super Bowl player prop picks: Best passing prop bets
- Patrick Mahomes Under 36.5 passing attempts (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Patrick Mahomes Under 24.5 completions (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jalen Hurts Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (+185 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
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Patrick Mahomes passing prop pick
Under 36.5 passing attempts ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -120 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 54.55%
The Eagles' pass defense is no joke this season. The unit has allowed 6.1 yards per attempt between the regular season and playoffs. That was the lowest among all NFL teams, and it's the franchise’s fewest in a season since 2001.
Philadelphia, which is the underdog by the Super Bowl odds, ranks first in total defense and second in points per game allowed. Its balanced rushing attack should also keep Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense off the field more than usual.
DraftKings is alone among our best Super Bowl betting sites while offering juice as low as -120 to back the Under here. BetMGM sits as high as -140 for the same total, which carries a 58.33% implied probability.
Patrick Mahomes player prop odds
Patrick Mahomes passing prop pick
Under 24.5 completions ⭐⭐⭐
Best odds: -110 via bet365 | Implied probability: 52.38%
Mahomes, the front-runner in the Super Bowl MVP odds, has made 20 career playoff starts, and he's completed 25-plus passes in 10 of those outings. However, he's gone Under this total in five of his previous seven playoff games, and Mahomes is averaging just 17 completions per game through the first two playoff contests this year.
The Eagles ranked first with 81 batted passes this season, they were tied for third with 17 interceptions, and they allowed the third-lowest completion percentage (62%).
Meanwhile, the top four players with the most pass-rush wins this postseason are all Eagles players: Milton Williams (10), Jalen Carter (nine), Nolan Smith Jr. (eight), and Josh Sweat (seven). Philadelphia’s relentless pressure should make Mahomes uncomfortable in the pocket.
bet365 stands alone among the best sportsbooks while offering standard -110 juice to back the Under at 24.5 completions. Most other competing sportsbooks offer plus-money odds (as high as +105 at Caesars) to back the Under of 23.5 completions.

Jalen Hurts passing prop pick
Over 1.5 passing touchdowns ⭐⭐
Best odds: +185 via Caesars | Implied probability: 35.09%
Jalen Hurts threw for 304 yards and one touchdown in the Super Bowl matchup against the Chiefs two years ago. He instead did most of his damage from a scoring perspective on the ground with three rushing touchdowns.
These are great odds for Hurts to throw multiple touchdowns, especially given his success against the blitz this season.
Including the playoffs, Hurts ranks second with a 91 QBR when facing a blitz. His 11:1 touchdown-to-interception ratio in that split also ranks fourth among players with 100 attempts versus a blitz, and his 13% off-target percentage is third-best.
The Chiefs blitz on 18% of dropbacks (second-most), and have generated the most pressures (68) using the blitz.
Hurts has tallied eight passing touchdowns and nine rushing touchdowns across eight career playoff games. I'm hoping he trades off one of his usual rushing scores for a passing score in this game.
All of our best sports betting sites are offering odds of +160 or higher for Hurts to throw multiple touchdown passes. Through Caesars’ +185 odds, a $10 winning wager would net $18.50 in profit.
Jalen Hurts player prop odds
Chiefs vs. Eagles game info
- When: Sunday, Feb. 9
- Kickoff: 6:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Caesars Superdome (New Orleans)
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
- Favorite: Chiefs -1.5 (-115 via BetMGM)
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