NFL Over/Under Win Totals Predictions & Odds for 2025 Season

There is a ton of value in some of the win totals for the 2025 season, as our picks below suggest. We've combed through each team's NFL win total odds and provided Over/Under predictions for each team. 

Nineteen of our 32 picks are for the Over, with the remaining 13 banking on the Under. 

↕️ NFL win totals odds: Over/Under bets for all 32 teams 

Odds provided by bet365, one of our best sports betting apps. 

Arizona Cardinals Over 8.5 wins (-115)

The Arizona Cardinals significantly improved their defense in the offseason, adding Calais Campbell, Dalvin Tomlinson, Akeem Davis-Gaither, and Josh Sweat to their front seven in free agency, while drafting lineman Walter Nolen and corner Will Johnson. 

The offense remains largely unchanged and should achieve more consistency, with sophomore Marvin Harrison Jr. now aware of what is required to play at an elite level. 

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Atlanta Falcons Over 7.5 wins (-140)

As long as Michael Penix Jr. doesn't play like Kirk Cousins before the aging signal-caller lost his job, the Falcons should win at least eight games. Their improved pass rush might finally not be the worst in the league, and they have the fourth-easiest strength of schedule. 

Baltimore Ravens Over 11.5 wins (-130)

One of the league's most stacked teams, the Baltimore Ravens are obvious Super Bowl odds front-runners. With the addition of Jaire Alexander, they shouldn't be as susceptible in the secondary as they were in the opening half of last season.

Motivation will be at an all-time high, and their lethal, multi-layered offense will cause havoc for most opposition.   

Buffalo Bills Over 12.5 wins (+120)

A 13-4 season sounds reasonable when you look at the Buffalo Bills' fifth-easiest strength of schedule. While Buffalo's receiver room isn't as formidable as the other Super Bowl contenders, they have reigning MVP odds winner, Josh Allen, pulling the strings with an efficient James Cook in the backfield. 

The team poured resources into improving the defense, utilizing their first five draft picks and four of the top five free-agent signings. 

Carolina Panthers Over 6.5 wins (-140)

This pick is predicated on whether Bryce Young can continue where he left off last season. Their defense is more than good enough, and I'm counting on Young to continue his progression. 

Chicago Bears Under 8.5 wins (-160)

I'm not questioning Coach of the Year odds favorite Johnson's pedigree, nor am I turning a blind eye to the extensive improvements made to the offensive line, but almost doubling up on last year's five wins is ambitious, especially considering the level of their NFC North adversaries.

And from what I'm hearing out of Chicago, Caleb Williams isn't instilling much confidence in training camp. 

Cincinnati Bengals Under 9.5 wins (-110)

Until the Cincinnati Bengals solve their Trey Hendrickson quagmire, I'm leaning toward the Under. Even with Hendrickson in the lineup, I have about as much confidence in their defense as my ability to outrun a tiger. Joe Burrow and his outrageously talented offense will cook, but that won't offset their ghastly defense. 

Cleveland Browns Under 5.5 wins (-145)

Despite Myles Garrett's unparalleled ability to make an entire team three levels better, the Cleveland Browns cannot escape their 2025 destiny of being among the league's worst teams. Their quarterback room is a hodgepodge of future potential, a hopeful redemption story, and an off-the-couch 40-year-old. 

Like a limbo contest featuring Olympic gymnasts, I'm going Under, Under, Under. 

Dallas Cowboys Over 7.5 wins (-140)

Admittedly, this bet is contingent on Micah Parsons staying in Dallas. Parsons' next team odds favor the Cowboys retaining their all-world defensive end. If that's the case, the Cowboys will surely win one more game than last season, when they didn't have Dak Prescott for nine games. However, their absence of a ground attack is worrisome. 

Denver Broncos Over 9.5 wins (+100)

This is one of those picks that can go either way. Denver's defense is as elite as they come, so it depends on whether Bo Nix can maintain cruising altitude. If he can, the Broncos will hit the 10-win plateau. If not, well, I'll nix Nix from my Christmas list. I also ranked the Broncos as one of the teams offering the best value to make the playoffs. 

Detroit Lions Over 10.5 wins (+100)

Let us not forget that Detroit won 15 games last year. Sure, they have two new coordinators who might take a minute to find their groove. However, they're both acutely familiar with the ongoings in Detroit and understand Dan Campbell's methods.

Plus, the Lions are immense on home field and have the Defensive Player of the Year odds favorite back to his otherworldly best, if reports out of training camp are anything to go by. With Aidan Hutchinson hellbent on pushing the Lions to the next level and their elite offense largely intact, 11 wins shouldn't be a problem. 

Green Bay Packers Over 9.5 wins (-105)

Jordan Love, who features in our MVP odds and early prediction, missed two games through injury last season, and the Packers still won 11. While they didn't improve significantly during the offseason, they also didn't get worse. Ten wins sounds about right where this team is concerned. 

Houston Texans Under 9.5 wins (-130)

Sacked 52 times, C.J. Stroud was on his back last year more than everyone but Williams (68). Things don't look any better for Stroud entering the new campaign. Unless he gets more protection, Houston is on course for no more than nine wins. 

Indianapolis Colts Under 7.5 wins (-115)

I don't have any faith in either quarterback running the show in Indy. Anthony Richardson is one of the most inaccurate signal-callers. Add to that his propensity for erratic decision-making and a history of injuries. While I believe Daniel Jones is the more reliable choice, albeit slightly, his ceiling isn't higher than the 7.5-win barrier. 

Jacksonville Jaguars Over 7.5 wins (-110)

Liam Coen has shown a knack for eliciting the best out of his quarterbacks. That's exquisite news for Trevor Lawrence, who needs no added motivation on the back of his worst season as a pro. Injuries didn't help matters, and nor did his 2-8 record. I expect to see Lawrence at his best, which should lead to eight or more wins. 

I'd be remiss not to mention Offensive Rookie of the Year and Defensive Rookie of the Year odds contender Travis Hunter, who appears to be a once-in-a-lifetime type of unicorn. 

Kansas City Chiefs Under 11.5 wins (-130)

The Kansas City Chiefs have proven me wrong before, but I expect a notable regression in 2025. Their 11-0 record in one-score games last season is unsustainable; Travis Kelce is on his last legs, and the offensive line, while improved, is unproven. 

Los Angeles Chargers Over 9.5 wins (-110)

Call it charisma, a mercurial aura, or a galvanizing disposition. Whatever sorcery the enigmatic Jim Harbaugh possesses, it's effective. He's built a stronger, more violent team while measurably improving the offense. And the defense shouldn't regress enough to dip below the 10-win mark. 

Los Angeles Rams Over 9.5 wins (-145)

In Sean McVay, I trust. Unless Matthew Stafford's back is worse than first suspected, I'm all in on the Los Angeles Rams securing at least 10 wins. Stafford also features in my best bets for QBs drafted at least 12 years ago. While I'm confident in them cashing the Over, they rank among the top of our NFL fatigue index, which could hinder their chances of repeating as NFC West champions. 

Las Vegas Raiders Over 6.5 wins (-145)

Being situated in the AFC West is the only reason to hesitate on this bet. Regardless, the Las Vegas Raiders have improved enough to tack three wins onto last year's total. Offensive Rookie of the Year odds front-runner Ashton Jeanty, who featured in my rookie bets to make now, will hit the ground running. 

Add Pete Carroll's optimism and experience to Geno Smith's downfield accuracy, along with a secondary full of potential, and I feel good about the Over cashing. 

Miami Dolphins Under 7.5 wins (-115)

The Dolphins rely on securing most wins in warm-weather home games against inferior opponents. Although they have the ninth-easiest schedule, many of their matchups at Hard Rock Stadium are not conducive to hitting the Over.

Five of their nine home games are against teams that made the playoffs last season, while another two are against the revenge-seeking Bengals and the much-improved New England Patriots.  

Minnesota Vikings Over 8.5 wins (-150)

The Minnesota Vikings won 14 games last season. Are we really suggesting that Sam Darnold's departure and J.J. McCarthy's insertion into the lineup is going to render a six-game swing?

While the secondary has issues, Brian Flores will invariably get the best from his fearsome defense, and McCarthy has enough talent to help him through his de facto rookie-season growing pains as long as that pain stays clear of the finally recovered knee. 

New England Patriots Under 8.5 wins (-130)

Much of the preseason hype focuses on New England's monstrous improvements across the board. While I agree with most of the rhetoric, I don't see them more than doubling last season's win total. Securing nine wins feels like a two-year project. 

New Orleans Saints Under 5.5 wins (-160)

You can smell the rancid odour being emitted anywhere within 300 miles downwind of Caesars Superdome. Their quarterback situation is an abomination.

It might even be worse than what's going on in Cleveland. The -160 odds represent a 61.54% implied probability, which is astonishing given they have the third-easiest schedule. 

New York Giants Under 5.5 wins (-140)

Brian Daboll, who headlines our first coach fired odds, is likely in for a world of hurt again. No offense to Russell Wilson, but he's not exactly befitting the saviour mold at this juncture of his career.

Add the New York Giants' lackluster lineup to the league's most difficult schedule, and we have ourselves a train wreck as unavoidable as a scene from Final Destination. 

New York Jets Over 5.5 wins (-130)

The Jets' barren playoff streak sits at 15 years entering the 2025 campaign. You can almost certainly expect another year without a playoff appearance, but I don't think they're as bad as five wins or fewer. Justin Fields is better suited for Gang Green than Aaron Rodgers. Then again, that's not saying a lot. 

I expect their defense to have a much better showing than its tragically underwhelming 2024 campaign. 

Philadelphia Eagles Over 11.5 wins (+100)

Some defensive losses (Josh Sweat and Milton Williams) along with a challenging schedule and the departure of Kellen Moore gives reason for pause. However, the defending Super Bowl champions are a juggernaut who shouldn't regress by more than two wins. Maybe, the prognosis would have changed had they been unable to Tush Push their way across the plane.

Pittsburgh Steelers Under 8.5 wins (-130)

Mike Tomlin never loses more games than he wins. Wouldn't it be something if the first time came with Aaron Rodgers at the helm? That once unthinkable notion is distinct possible in Steel City. 

Seattle Seahawks Under 7.5 wins (+110)

The Darnold-led Seattle Seahawks won't match their 10-game win total from last year. Even worse, I don't think they'll notch eight wins. They have what's being touted as the worst offensive line in football, an ominous and foreboding prospect given Darnold's inability to deal with consistent, rapid-fire pressure. 

San Francisco 49ers Over 10.5 wins (+110)

Kyle Shanahan, featured in our NFL coach of the year prediction, is focused on getting his team back to winning ways. With the easiest schedule and a healthy Christian McCaffrey, he should get his wish. The 49ers should be battling with the Rams atop the NFC West come season's end. 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers Over 9.5 wins (-105)

Despite losing Coen to the Jaguars, the Buccaneers had a pretty good offseason, re-signing Chris Godwin and Lavonte David, and offensive guard Ben Bredeson while drafting wide receiver Emeka Egbuka with the 19th pick. Tampa Bay also looks forward to Mike Evans, who features in our best NFL prop bets, returning. 

They also signed edge rusher and former Jets' holdout Haason Reddick, who has a better chance of returning to the double-digit sack total he obtained in the four seasons before 2024. They have the 10th-easiest schedule and are lucky enough to play in one of the NFL's worst divisions. 

Tennessee Titans Over 5.5 wins (-140)

No. 1 draft pick Cam Ward doesn't mince words, as demonstrated by his response when asked about Will Levis' season-ending injury. I'm paraphrasing, but he basically said he's focused on himself.

That could be precisely the ruthlessness the Titans need. They won't be a world beater by any stretch, but six wins is manageable, especially after making several personnel changes to try and improve a subpar offensive line. 

Washington Commanders Over 9.5 wins (-130)

Even if Jayden Daniels endures a minor regression in 2025, which isn't far-fetched considering the nature of his outrageous Rookie of the Year-winning campaign, the Washington Commanders should be just fine. Deebo Samuel is fitting in well by all accounts, and the team is as offensively skilled as most NFC contenders. 

However, the Commanders must re-sign Daniels' primary downfield threat, whom we covered in our Terry McLaurin next team odds. 

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