NFL Odds, Lines Week 13: Bettors Aligned on Titans as Road Underdogs
Bettors continue to back the Tennessee Titans and their 8-3 record against the spread. The Titans are now short +4.5 road underdogs against the Philadelphia Eagles as of Thursday afternoon. Here’s an analysis of all the Week 13 NFL odds and lines.
The Titans vs. Eagles game is a tape-measuring matchup between two likely playoff teams. Tennessee has received the majority of the early betting support, and Philadelphia has dropped from a 6-point favorite on the opening line to -4.5 chalk as of Thursday afternoon.
Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for Week 13, and how we think the lines will move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).
Check out all of our top NFL picks for Week 13.
NFL Week 13 Odds and Lines: Sunday
Steelers at Falcons
Spread: Steelers -1
The Pittsburgh Steelers pulled off a road upset over the Indianapolis Colts on Monday Night Football, and Pittsburgh has been bet to a 1-point road favorite over the Atlanta Falcons on Tuesday. There hasn’t been enough betting action on either team since the move for oddsmakers to further adjust this spread.
Total: 42
Still between the key ranges of 40-41 and 43-44, this total hasn’t moved from the opening or look-ahead number. There’s definitely potential for movement, but to this point, 42 has been an accurate line. I don’t anticipate the total climbing above or dropping below the noted two key ranges.
Packers at Bears
Spread: Packers -4.5
The Green Bay Packers have climbed as high as -5 favorites via FanDuel. Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers (ribs/thumb) is expected to practice this week, which would suggest he has the potential to suit up for Sunday’s game. This line has moved in Green Bay’s direction because of the potential for Chicago Bears quarterback Justin Fields (shoulder) to miss a second consecutive game. Fields was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice. If Fields is ruled out, I’d expect more betting support to come in on the Packers.
Total: 43.5
There wasn’t a consensus total for this game Monday, but it’s since settled at 43.5 across our top-rated sportsbooks. The Packers played to the Over in three consecutive games, whereas the total has gone Over the number in six straight games involving the Bears. I don’t expect significant movement until there are official announcements on whether Rodgers and Fields will play Sunday.
Jaguars at Lions
Spread: Jaguars -1
The Detroit Lions were 1-point home favorites in look-ahead markets, and they opened at the same number this week. Early money also came in on Detroit, but it’s the Jacksonville Jaguars trading as -1 road favorites as of Thursday afternoon.
Total: 51.5
There hasn’t been enough betting action to move this total off the opening number for a prolonged period of time. It’s above the key number of 51, and the look-ahead total was 49.5, so I consider it an accurate number.
Jets at Vikings
Spread: Vikings -3
The Minnesota Vikings were -3 favorites in look-ahead markets, and the field-goal margin remains. There has been consistent betting support for the Vikings, and a few sportsbooks tested Minny -3.5 briefly last week following the Thanksgiving win over the New England Patriots. I still believe oddsmakers could provide the New York Jets with the hook as +3.5 road underdogs again before Sunday’s kickoff. However, it’s also worth noting the vig is higher on the Jets +3 at most sportsbooks.
Total: 44.5
Money on the Over has skyrocketed this total from the look-ahead line of 41.5 and this week's opening number of 42.5. It cruised through the key range of 43-44, as the betting community and oddsmakers are showing respect for the New York offense with new No. 1 quarterback Mike White at the helm. However, the breaking point appears to have hit with this total peaking at 45.5 as of Thursday.
Commanders at Giants
Spread: Commanders -2.5
As expected, the Washington Commanders continue to take the majority of the betting action, and I still see this spread reaching -3. The division rivals are headed in opposite directions. Washington has won six of its past seven games, whereas the New York Giants lost three of their last four contests. New York is also dealing with multiple injuries on both sides of the ball.
Total: 40.5
There hasn’t been enough betting action to move this total off the opening number. The Commanders and Giants have combined for a 7-15-1 Over/Under record this season, and the total is also down from the 42 available in look-ahead markets. It’ll take notable action on a particular side to move this total above or below the key range of 40-41.
Titans at Eagles
Spread: Eagles -4.5
The Titans are 8-3 against the spread this season and failed to beat the number last week for the first time since Week 2. So, it isn’t a shock that the betting action continues to drive this spread down. I envisioned this line hovering between 4 and 6 points in the Eagles' favor earlier this week, and I anticipate buyback on the Eagles if the number drops any further. Philadelphia was listed as a -7 favorite in look-ahead markets.
Total: 44.5
As of Thursday, there hasn’t been movement to this total from the opening number. It’s above the key range of 43-44, and the look-ahead total was 45.5. The two teams have been complete opposites in Over/Under results, too. Philadelphia sports a 7-4 O/U record, and Tennessee is 3-8.
Broncos at Ravens
Spread: Ravens -8.5
After early movement in the Baltimore Ravens’ direction from the look-ahead line of -6.5 and opening -7.5 spread, this number has stalled. I’m still expecting Baltimore to receive the majority of the betting action. The Denver Broncos haven’t won on the road all season, and they also failed to cover the number in three consecutive games. Still, I’m not as convinced that bookmakers will increase this spread as I was earlier this week.
Total: 39.5
DraftKings has held firm and still has the opening total of 38.5 available, but our other top-rated sportsbooks are hanging a line of 39.5. The total has gone under the number in seven consecutive games for Denver to drop the Broncos to a 1-10 Over/Under record this season. Baltimore sports a 4-7 O/U record, too.
Browns at Texans
Spread: Browns -7
This spread opened with the Cleveland Browns listed at -7 and hasn't moved. However, I wouldn’t be surprised if the Houston Texans were receiving the hook as +7.5 home underdogs by Sunday’s kickoff. I expect the public to buy into the narrative of Cleveland quarterback Deshaun Watson making his franchise debut against his former team.
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Total: 47
There was early steam on the Over to drive this total up from the opening number of 45 and even further away from the 44 available in look-ahead markets. However, as expected, there has been some downward movement with FanDuel and PointsBet both dropping this total to 46.5 as of Thursday afternoon. The Texans have scored just 15.8 points per game, and there’s potential for Watson to be rusty.
Seahawks at Rams
Spread: Seahawks -7.5
While there are still a few spots with the Seattle Seahawks trading at -7, I don’t expect that to last. The Los Angeles Rams will be without multiple impact starters, and this spread has already climbed from the opening line of Seattle -4.5. I’m genuinely interested to see how high this number will climb before there is a buyback on the Rams.
Total: 40.5
Early money came in on the Under, and this total has dropped after opening at 42. I expect it to remain in the key range of 40-41 unless the action continues to be significantly tilted to the Under.
Dolphins at 49ers
Spread: 49ers -4
There was enough early support for the Miami Dolphins to make them +3.5 road underdogs for a stretch this week. However, there was buyback on the San Francisco 49ers, and the spread is back to the opening number of San Francisco -4. Barring significant injury news, I don’t expect this spread to completely cross either of the key numbers of 3 or 4.
Total: 46.5
There hasn’t been a notable move to this total since Monday. I don’t anticipate enough action to move this total down into the key range of 43-44, and it’s also unlikely to creep all the way back up to the opening number of 48.
Chiefs at Bengals
Spread: Chiefs -2
This has been a fascinating spread to follow this week. The Kansas City Chiefs have been bet down from 3-point favorites on the opening line, but there isn’t a consensus number across our top-rated sportsbooks. FanDuel still has the Chiefs trading at -2.5, whereas DraftKings is hanging a spread of -1.5. With the Cincinnati Bengals winning five of their past six games to improve to 7-4 for the season and 3-1 at Paycor Stadium, I expect this spread to remain below the key number of 3.
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Total: 53
Action on the Over continues to push this total up from the opening number of 51.5. If there is enough support for the Over for the total to reach the next key range of 54-55, early Over bettors will have a nice gap for a potential middle. As a result, I'm skeptical whether oddsmakers will take that risk.
Chargers at Raiders
Spread: Chargers -1
There isn’t a consensus spread for the Los Angeles Chargers-Las Vegas Raiders game. BetMGM has the Raiders as -1 favorites, whereas DraftKings, FanDuel, and PointsBet are listing the Chargers as -1 chalk. Finally, Caesars is listing the game as a pick’em. I view the Chargers as the better team, and they’re 4-2 on the road this season and 7-4 against the spread. Additionally, L.A. opened as a -3 favorite.
Total: 50.5
This total opened at 50.5 at most sportsbooks and that remains the consensus total as of Thursday afternoon. There has been balanced betting action, so I’m less confident oddsmakers will test the key number of 51. It’s worth noting the look-ahead number was 48.
Colts at Cowboys
Spread: Cowboys -10.5
When oddsmakers tested the market by listing the Dallas Cowboys as -11 favorites there was betting support for the Indianapolis Colts. As a result, I view this as an accurate line, and I don’t expect significantly more movement to this spread.
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Total: 44.5
I’m surprised this line has climbed with the Colts averaging just 15.8 points per game this season, and the Cowboys fielding an elite defense. It’s also notable because the move raised the number above the key range of 43-44.
NFL Week 13 Odds and Lines: Monday
Saints at Buccaneers
Spread: Buccaneers -3.5
This spread moved early with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers being bet down to -3.5 favorites after opening at -6. The number has stuck, though, and I don’t anticipate oddsmakers removing the hook. Additionally, it’s notable that DraftKings is on an island and offering the New Orleans Saints as +4 road underdogs. I expect other sportsbooks to follow suit leading into the Monday Night Football matchup.
Total: 40.5
There’s been slight movement to this total all week and it’s now returned to the opening number of 40.5. I do expect buyback on the Over with this total in the key range of 40-41. Furthermore, the look-ahead number was 42.5, and the public will likely weigh in on the Over leading into the Week 13 finale on Monday Night Football.
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