Packers vs. Bears Picks, Predictions Week 13: Packers Small Road Favorites
The Green Bay Packers are road favorites over the rival Chicago Bears in Week 13, despite being just 1-5 away from Lambeau Field this season. Read on for our top Packers-Bears NFL picks.
Two teams in the midst of terrible seasons meet Sunday afternoon as they look to salvage any last bit of hope they have for 2022. The Bears started 2-1, but lost eight of their last nine games.
Meanwhile, the Packers fell in seven of their last eight matchups, and they're now a full three games out of the postseason with only five remaining.
Here are our best Packers vs. Bears Week 13 NFL picks (odds via PointsBet and DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top picks for Week 13!
Packers vs. Bears Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec. 4, 1 p.m. ET
- TV: FOX
- Location: Soldier Field, Chicago, IL
- Weather: 41 degrees, 4% chance of precipitation, 12-mph winds
Packers vs. Bears Odds
Packers vs. Bears Odds Analysis
The Packers opened as 2.5-point favorites, but the line quickly passed through the key number. It eventually landed at Packers -4, but with news Chicago Bears staring quarterback Justin Fields is playing this week, the line drifted back toward the Bears.
The total opened at 44. It stayed there at BetMGM while moving to 44.5 at other major sportsbooks. According to Pregame.com, bettors are split on the total, with more than half the cash backing the Over, but more than half the tickets backing the Under.
Packers vs. Bears Picks
- Spread: Bears +3.5 (-115 via DraftKings) ★★★
- Over/Under: Under 44.5 (-107 via PointsBet) ★★★
- Prop: Packers Under 2.5 total touchdowns (-105 via DraftKings) ★★★
Packers vs. Bears ATS Pick
Bears +3.5 (-115) ★★★
The Packers lost a tightly contested game against the Philadelphia Eagles last Sunday night, and it just about ended their playoff hopes. It’s hard to know how a team will react after such a defeat.
But, the real deciding factor for this game is whether Fields can be effective. Though the Bears lost five in a row, their last three defeats with Fields were by a combined 7 points.
The Packers haven’t done anything this season to prove they should be road favorites. Additionally, they’re only 4-8 against the spread. Plus, Fields was a full participant in practice Thursday. Since he's expected to start against the Packers, the Bears are the right pick.
Packers vs. Bears O/U Pick
Under 44.5 (-107) ★★★
With so much focus on Denver Broncos QB Russell Wilson and the Broncos' offense, it's gone relatively unnoticed how bad the Packers are offensively this season. They average just 19.6 points per game, an NFL bottom 10.
The Bears scored 24 or more points in their last five games with Fields under center, bringing their PPG average up to 20.9. Fields is ready to play, but it’s hard to know if he'll be 100 percent. Even if he's close to that, this line is probably 2 points too high.
Packers vs. Bears Prop Pick
Packers Under 2.5 total touchdowns (-105) ★★★
In two of their last three matchups, the Packers scored four touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Bears allow an average of 25.4 PPG.
In three of their previous five contests, Green Bay scored 17 points or fewer. Two of those three games came on the road. Chicago's last two home meetings were against high-powered offenses, the Miami Dolphins and Detroit Lions. In the Bears’ three other home games this season, they've allowed fewer than three touchdowns to teams with mediocre offenses. The Packers fall into this category.
The Bears had a tough schedule of late, which destroyed their defensive numbers. Look for them to get it right against Green Bay this week.
Where to Bet on Packers vs. Bears
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Packers-Bears picks made 12/3/2022 at 4:18 p.m. ET
Related Articles
