Skip to main content

NFL Odds, Lines Divisional Round: Chiefs-Jaguars Set for High-Scoring Showdown

Neil Parker

Last Updated: January 19, 2023 8:15 AM EST • 4 min 7 sec read.

Bettors are racing to the window to back the Over in the Jacksonville Jaguars-Kansas City Chiefs game, and the total has skyrocketed as a result. Read on for our analysis of all the NFL odds and lines for the Divisional Round.

The Jaguars pulled off a 27-point comeback to upset the Los Angeles Chargers on Saturday to advance to a Divisional Round date with the Chiefs. Oddsmakers opened the game with the highest Over/Under total of the four-game slate, and bettors didn’t hesitate to hammer the Over.

Kansas City paced the NFL in points per game (29.2) during the regular season, and Jacksonville has won seven of eight with an average of 27.4 points per contest since their Week 11 bye.

With these two teams projecting to go toe-to-toe in a back-and-forth shootout, this total is now trading in the key range of 53-54. It begs the question: When will we see buyback on the Under?

Here are the NFL spread and Over/Under lines for the Divisional Round, and how we think they'll move throughout the week (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, BetMGM, DraftKings Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook).

Check out all our NFL picks and best bets.

NFL Divisional Round Odds and Lines: Saturday

Jaguars vs. Chiefs Odds

Spread: Chiefs -8.5

There were a few shops that opened with the Chiefs as a -10 home favorite, but there’s a near consensus -8.5 line across the board following betting support for the Jaguars. It’s worth noting that PointsBet is hanging an outlier Chiefs -9 number among our top-rated sportsbooks. I’m expecting this spread to continue trading between the two major key numbers of 7 and 10. Following the initial line move, the betting action has balanced as of Tuesday morning. 

Total: 53

It’s notable that this total opened above the key number of 51, and early money has been pouring in on the Over. With Jacksonville and the Los Angeles Chargers combining for 61 points Saturday, I’m not surprised at all. Plus, as highlighted, Kansas City averaged the most points per game during the regular season. FanDuel has a 52.5 available, and it is the only shop with the number still outside the key range of 53-54. This total appears set to continue climbing before there is buyback on the Under.

Giants vs. Eagles Odds

Spread: Eagles -7.5

The New York Giants improved to 14-4 against the spread with an upset win on the road over the Minnesota Vikings last week, and the early betting action has been relatively even in this game. There was slight disparity in the opening number, but our top-rated sportsbooks are all listing the Philadelphia Eagles as a -7.5 home favorite as of Tuesday. I think the number might be a little short, and I’m also expecting the public to weigh in on the Philly side leading into Saturday night. Furthermore, I’m not sure the Eagles having the week off is priced in enough here - especially considering this will also be the third consecutive road game for the G-Men.

Total: 48

Bettors are running to the window to back the Over, and DraftKings and FanDuel have the number up to 48.5. The total opened at 46.5 or 47 depending on the shop, so we’ve already seen a slight adjustment. There’s plenty of room for it to continue climbing before reaching the key number of 51, too. I'd anticipate there to be buyback on the Under before that, though.

Check out our 2023 Super Bowl odds and our Super Bowl MVP odds.

NFL Divisional Round Odds and Lines: Sunday

Bengals vs. Bills Odds

Spread: Bills -5

This will easily be the most exciting spread to follow this week, and it might just prove to be the best game of the weekend, too. The Buffalo Bills opened as a -4 or -4.5 home favorite depending on the sportsbook, and there still isn’t a consensus line for this game. While there has been plenty of betting support for the Cincinnati Bengals, there hasn’t been enough to lower the spread down to the key number of 4. FanDuel is giving Cincy the most credit with a +4.5 line, whereas BetMGM has the Bills trading at -5.5. A lot can change before Sunday, but this game remaining between the key numbers of 4 and 7 appears likely to me.

Total: 48.5

Similar to the spread, there is disparity in this total across our top-rated sportsbooks. DraftKings is the highest with a 49 on the board, whereas BetMGM, Caesars and PointsBet are all listing the game at 48. There were bookmakers who had the total as high as 50.5 early Tuesday morning, but that number is no longer available. There’s potential for recreational bettors to weigh in with Over money this weekend, but we’ve already seen buyback on the Under when the total approached the key number of 51. That doesn’t mean the total won’t climb again leading into Sunday, but I don’t expect to see it cross the noted key number.

Check out our picks and predictions for Tom Brady's next team.

Cowboys vs. 49ers Odds

Spread: 49ers +3.5

Both the San Francisco 49ers and Dallas Cowboys won handedly during Wild Card Weekend, and San Fran opened as a near-consensus -4 home favorite. The early betting action has been relatively balanced with the spread sticking close to the key number of 4. But there’s also been an early pattern of buyback on Big D at +4. Similarly, the Niners have taken the majority of the bets when listed as -3.5 chalk. This seesaw battle could continue all week, and I think we’ve got an accurate spread with the line above the key number of 3 and at - or below - the key number of 4.

Total: 46

There hasn’t been enough betting action on this total to move off the opening number of 46 at most sportsbooks. It’s worth noting Caesars has an outlier 47 available, which is an indication of early support for the Over, and I think there’s potential for the number to climb across the board. Additionally, because Dallas just played on Monday, this market hasn’t been open long. I’d be surprised if this total doesn’t increase in short order.

Here are our Best NFL Betting Sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

Related Pages

Written By:
Neil Parker
A lifelong Cowboys, Cubs, Maple Leafs and Gators supporter, Neil has been covering sports in print and online since 2011. His past stops include USA TODAY, theScore, DraftKings Playbook and RotoWire among others. He's a graduate of St. Thomas University and Acadia University and spends ample time at KenWo Golf Club.