22 Futures Bets for the 2022 NFL Season: Awards, Stat Leaders, Prop Lines to Bet Now!

Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the AFC West Division for a seventh consecutive season? As the 2022 NFL season approaches, we highlight some of our favorite futures bets, including the Offensive Rookie of the Year, Coach of the Year, NFL MVP, and Offensive Player of the Year.

When it comes to sports betting, I am a strong proponent of betting on futures. I have been digging into the numbers and constantly producing content on Twitter about some of my favorite futures pick heading into the 2022 NFL season over the past several months.

Despite the fact that some of the numbers have moved, there are still several bets that offer value ahead of Week 1. The following are 22 of my favorite NFL futures bets entering the 2022 season.

Top 2022 NFL Futures Picks

Beckham's next team: Giants (+15000 via DraftKings Sportsbook)

There has been some interaction on social media in which free-agent wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. has expressed an interest in returning to the New York Giants. It is typical for our top-rated sportsbooks to react quickly to this type of social media chatter, but DraftKings continues to price the Giants at +15000 to be Beckham's next team. While I believe he is more likely to join a contender, at +15000, it is definitely worth a wager.

Offensive Player of the Year: Barkley (+8000 via PointsBet)

PointsBet offers shorter odds for Green Bay Packers running back Aaron Jones to be the Offensive Player of the Year at +6600 than Barkley. Jones might even have a hard time retaining the starting position in Green Bay with A.J. Dillon behind him on the depth chart. Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb is even priced 60 dollars shorter than Barkley, despite the fact that Chubb rarely catches the ball out of the backfield. I am attacking Barkley in multiple markets as the sportsbooks are completely undervaluing the potential of a healthy season from him.

Offensive Player of the Year: Lamb (+7500 via FanDuel Sportsbook)

When you see wide receivers such as Justin Jefferson and Cooper Kupp trading at +1400 to win the Offensive Player of the Year award, the price of CeeDee Lamb at +7500 immediately jumps out at you. Amari Cooper and Cedrick Wilson have both left the Dallas Cowboys, while Michael Gallup is injured. Cowboys QB Dak Prescott will be targeting Lamb heavily this season, as Lamb is the clear No. 1 option in the Cowboys' offense.

Coach of the Year: Andy Reid (+3000 via DraftKings)

Coach of the Year is a futures market that will see substantial movement throughout the season, so you should only bet on longer prices. Last season, we learned that winning this award is dependent on finishing on a winning streak. It is expected that the Kansas City Chiefs will be favored in their final four games of the regular season, two of which will be against the Houston Texans and the Seattle Seahawks. It would be a very strong narrative for Andy Reid to win the Coach of the Year award if he were able to trade wide receiver Tyreek Hill and still coach the Chiefs to an AFC West title.

To miss the playoffs: Titans (+105 via Caesars Sportsbook)

In August, I placed a bet on this at +110, and it is still available at +105, which is quite surprising. It is clear that Tennessee Titans quarterback Ryan Tannehill is not the answer at quarterback for the Titans and I believe they will use part of this season to determine whether rookie Malik Willis is the future of the franchise. There are so many teams competing for a playoff spot in the AFC that I prefer betting on the Titans to miss the playoffs rather than the Under on their win total.

To miss the playoffs: Buccaneers (+460 via Caesars)

There is just something about this team that does not sit well with me. From the brief retirement of Tom Brady to Bruce Arians' retirement following his return, everything feels off for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs are only as good as Brady, and Brady does not appear or sound like himself following his 11-day absence from training camp. The Buccaneers are trading at +350 to miss the playoffs at PointsBet, which makes the +460 at Caesars extremely attractive.

Most regular-season rushing yards: Chubb (+1000 via DraftKings)

Due to the suspension of QB Deshaun Watson, the Browns will be heavily reliant on Chubb for the first 11 weeks of the season. Chubb has an easy rushing schedule from Week 1 through Week 5. This would likely make it extremely difficult to get a price better than +1000 if you wait to buy his futures.

Most regular-season rushing yards: Barkley (+5000 via PointsBet)

Several weeks ago, I recommended Saquon Barkley as the leading rusher in the NFL at +4400 on FanDuel. Barkley's odds at FanDuel have moved to +2500, which I would not bet on, but we have a better price available at another sportsbook. Back then, PointsBet did not offer this market, which helped it avoid liability in relation to Barkley. PointsBet will quickly learn that Barkley shouldn't be priced at +5000, and I recommend taking advantage of this number before it changes.

Most regular-season scrimmage yards: Barkley (+1600 via FanDuel)

All signs point to Barkley having a massive campaign in his contract year. Considering the fact that the Giants will not know if Barkley will return in free agency, I anticipate a heavy workload for him this season. In my opinion, Barkley represents a much better value at +1600 than Jonathan Taylor at +400 or Christian McCaffery at +700. Taylor has a career high of 40 receptions in one season, while Barkley had 91 receptions as a rookie. As a result of his ability to run and catch the ball, Barkley has a very high ceiling, and I do not believe that his price point is an accurate reflection of that potential.

Mills passing yards: Over 3450.5 (-118 via FanDuel)

My favorite player total on the board is the Over on this Davis Mills' passing prop. Among the futures bets discussed in this article, this is the one on which I have wagered the most units. Pro Football Focus projects Mills to throw for 4,293.8 yards this season. That is 843.3 yards more than his total at FanDuel, which represents a significant difference from his projected total. There is no quarterback behind Mills on the Houston Texans' depth chart. This season will be used to determine whether Mills will be their franchise quarterback.

Johnson receiving yards: Under 1,000.5 (-115 via DraftKings)

Diontae Johnson's total opened far too high considering how much has changed for Johnson within the Pittsburgh Steelers offense since last season. It is unclear whether QBs Mitchell Trubisky or Kenny Pickett will target Johnson in the same manner as Ben Roethlisberger. Rookie receiver George Pickens also emerged as a key component of the Steelers' offense during the preseason, which will reduce Johnson's targets. Pro Football Focus projects Johnson to finish with only 771.9 receiving yards this season, well below his total of 1,000.5 yards at DraftKings.

Harris rushing yards: Under 1150.5 (-115 via DraftKings)

Najee Harris played all 17 games last season and rushed 307 times. Only Taylor had more carries than Harris, and Harris was able to surpass this total by only 49.5 yards. Considering the Steelers did not address the offensive line as much as they should have this offseason, I am leaning to the Under on this total of 1150.5 for Harris.

Higgins receiving yards: Over 1000.5 (-115 via DraftKings)

With all eyes on sophomore receiver Ja'Marr Chase, I believe the odds for Tee Higgins are being undervalued. Even though Higgins played only 14 games last season, he was able to surpass this total with 1,091 receiving yards. This season, Pro Football Focus projects Higgins to have 1,273.9 receiving yards.

MVP: Cousins (+6000 via Caesars)

If Matt Ryan can have a season in which he wins the MVP award, then Kirk Cousins can as well. The Minnesota Vikings offense is well-positioned for a monster season. While Jefferson and the addition of new head coach Kevin O'Connell get most of the attention in Minnesota, the most underrated change has been the improved offensive line that Cousins now plays behind. Although Cousins has been very productive in his career, nobody views him as an elite quarterback. It is causing Cousins' MVP odds to be inflated to a +6000 price point.

Worst regular-season record: Seahawks (+900 via Caesars)

Since there are so many high-level quarterbacks projected to be available in the 2023 NFL Draft, teams in need of quarterbacks have a strong incentive to tank. My belief is that the Seattle Seahawks will tank for a quarterback, and that is why all of their offseason moves have been geared toward preparing them for the following season. Wide receivers, Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf were retained, tight end Noah Fant was acquired from the Denver Broncos, and Charles Cross and Kenneth Walker were drafted in the first and second rounds, respectively. While the Seahawks could have easily acquired a better quarterback than Geno Smith, they decided to keep their draft capital. The Seahawks are in full tank mode and I expect them to have one of the worst records in the NFL.

Offensive Rookie of the Year: Hall (+1200 via Caesars)

Breece Hall has had an excellent preseason if you're backing him for Offensive Rookie of the Year honors this season. Hall is one player I definitely want in my portfolio and he has managed to stay out of the spotlight just enough that his price hasn't been shortened drastically like Texans rookie Dameon Pierce. At Caesars and FanDuel, Hall is available at +1200 after opening at around +800. The move is one I would've dreamed of a month ago, and it is time we take advantage of it.

Most regular-season tackles and assists: Perryman (+3500 via DraftKings)

Linebacker Denzel Perryman recorded 154 tackles in only 15 games for the Las Vegas Raiders last season. In previous seasons, 154 tackles would have been sufficient to win this market, and the fact that he was on pace for 174.5 tackles is very noteworthy. If that does not convince you, Pro Football Focus projects Perryman to lead the NFL in tackles this season with 157.7. There is no reason for Perryman to trade at +3500 and there is an opportunity to take advantage of this price point.

Most regular-season tackles and assists: Evans (+25000 via DraftKings)

Having been drafted in the first round of the 2018 NFL Draft by the Tennessee Titans, Rashaan Evans will be reunited with his old defensive coordinator, Dean Pees, in Atlanta, under whom he had his best seasons in Tennessee. Evans will fill a hole on the Falcons' defense that has been left vacant by Foyesade Oluokun, who led the NFL in tackles last season. Evans has an excellent opportunity this season, and the +25000 price point does not depict his true potential.

To win AFC West: Chiefs (+175 via Caesars)

It feels like we have spent the entire offseason trying to figure out who will win the AFC West instead of the Kansas City Chiefs and trying to justify betting on the Los Angeles Chargers, Raiders, and Denver Broncos. I am also guilty of this, however, I have completely changed my perspective over the last few weeks. In fact, I believe that this year's version of the Chiefs might be even better than last year's because of all the upgrades made through the draft. I would definitely like to get involved with +175 if this is the case.

Panthers Over 6.5 wins (+105 via FanDuel)

After QB Baker Mayfield was acquired from the Browns, the Carolina Panthers' win total increased from 6 to 6.5. Regardless of what you think about Mayfield, I believe that he is worth more than half a game to the Panthers' win total. It is my intention to take advantage of the negative public perception of Mayfield by betting on the Over for the Panthers' win total. 

Most regular-season sacks: Reddick (+10000 via DraftKings)

We have a rogue number available here for Haason Reddick to lead the NFL in sacks, as he is currently trading at +2500 via FanDuel and +3000 via Caesars, but there is a +10000 available at DraftKings. The +10000 is likely to disappear quickly, so I would not hesitate to place this wager. During the past two seasons, Reddick ranked among the top five in the NFL in sacks, and he will have a special opportunity this season to play beside rookie Jordan Davis with the Philadelphia Eagles.

Most regular-season sacks: Burns (+4000 via DraftKings)

Looking at Brian Burns' projections for this coming season regardless of the website, you will notice that his +4000 price point does not accurately reflect these numbers. Burns is entering his fourth season in the NFL and his advanced metrics indicate that he has breakout potential. While Burns is already one of the best speed rushers in the NFL, he added 15 pounds of muscle this offseason to help elevate his ability to be more than a speed rusher.

Where to Bet on NFL Futures Picks

FanDuel Sportsbook
Caesars Sportsbook
DraftKings Sportsbook
PointsBet
BetMGM

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