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Bears vs. Saints Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 9: Can New Orleans Take Care of Business?

Philip Wood

Last Updated: November 5, 2023 11:10 AM EST • 3 min 35 sec read.

The New Orleans Saints play host to the Chicago Bears at the Caesars Superdome on Sunday, and we offer our top Bears vs. Saints predictions, utilizing the best NFL odds.

After guiding the Chicago Bears to a 30-12 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders in his first NFL start, Tyson Bagent experienced a setback on Sunday night, going 25-of-37 for 232 yards and throwing two interceptions as his team lost 30-13.

The New Orleans Saints halted a two-game losing streak by defeating the Indianapolis Colts 38-27, bringing their season record back to .500. In the victory, the Saints showcased an impressive offensive performance, accumulating over 500 yards of total offense.

To accompany our NFL Player Props for Week 9 and our NFL Upset Picks, here is our best Bears vs. Saints prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Bears vs. Saints prediction

Saints -7.5 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This presents a challenging situation for Bagent and the offensive team as they face the Saints, who have a strong defense, allowing only 189.5 passing yards per game, ranking seventh in the NFL. Additionally, the Bears, even with Justin Fields as their quarterback for six games, have one of the league's weakest passing offenses, ranking seventh from the bottom.

While the Bears are averaging 132.8 rushing yards per game, their backfield is a mess right now. They don’t have Fields or Khalil Herbert, and their backfield by committee struggled against the Los Angeles Chargers last week. The Saints haven’t allowed a 100-yard rusher this season, so at the end of the day, we struggle to see how the Bears are going to score points.

The New Orleans Saints possess an offense that ranks in the top 10 in the NFL for passing yards per game, aligning with the vulnerability of the Chicago Bears' defense. The Bears currently have the third-worst passing defense in the league, conceding an average of 262.3 passing yards per game, indicating a favorable matchup for the Saints' passing attack against the Bears' struggling defense.

We expect big games from Derek Carr, Michael Thomas, Chris Olave, and Alvin Kamara in the passing game. The Saints have scored 24 or more points in three of their last four, going over 30 twice. The Bears have allowed 20 points in all but one game this year. We don’t see a way that the Bears keep up with the Saints to stay within a score.

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Bears vs. Saints best odds

Caesars (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
-8.5-8.5-8.5-7.5-8.5
-108-110-110-110-110

While four of the five best sports betting apps have this spread listed at -8.5, Caesars has it listed at -7.5.

Caesars is an easy play right now, but we recommend you get in as soon as possible. Since the other sportsbooks already have this number at 8.5, it won’t be long before Caesars follows suit. We’d take the Saints up to 9.5, so there is still plenty of wiggle room, but with how this line is already moving, this could be a double-digit spread by Sunday.

Bears vs. Saints odds

Bears vs. Saints analysis

The Saints opened as 5.5-point favorites, but the spread has flown past the key number and now sits at 8.5 at four of the five best sports betting sites. At this time, 67% of wagers back the Saints. With Bagent playing poorly and each of the Saints' last two wins coming by at least 11 points, we think this spread will continue to grow rather than dropping back toward the key number of seven.

The total for this game opened at 41, and it hasn’t moved despite 61% of bets backing the Over. The Bears have been a great Over team this season, with six of their eight games going Over the posted total. The Saints have seen just two games go Over, but those two results came in the last two weeks. Because of that, we expect this number to climb as high as 42.

Bears vs. Saints game info

  • When: Sunday, Nov. 5 at 1 p.m. ET
  • Where: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • How to watch: CBS
  • Weather: Indoors

Bears vs. Saints prediction made 11/02/2023 at 2:51 p.m. ET

NFL betting odds pages

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NFL Defensive Player of the Year OddsNFL Most Regular Season Rushing Yards OddsNFL Win Totals Odds
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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil has covered sports betting since 2016, and he has been with SportsBook Review since 2022. He previously hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast for CanesInsight.com. He is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is that if a line doesn't make sense just assume oddsmakers know something you don't. He also loves in-season futures. There is so much value to be had as the public overreacts weekly. Bettors tend to forget just how long NFL and college football seasons are. After all, the Green Bay Packers were 2-5 in 2023 and they made it to the Divisional Round. When deciding where to bet, it comes down to value over everything. +100 is always better than -110. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. He is also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and is willing to forgive Dan Campbell for forgetting that a kicker can be useful.