Sun vs. Aces Prediction, Odds & WNBA Best Bets: Aug. 10

Don’t look now, but the Las Vegas Aces (17-14) have won three straight entering their matchup against the Connecticut Sun (5-24) at 9 p.m. ET on Sunday at Michaelob Ultra Arena, which we're examining with our Sun vs. Aces odds and prediction.

I’m not ready to say the Aces are back in WNBA championship odds contention, but they should cruise as 11.5-point favorites against the Sun. We also like Jewell Loyd’s scoring prop.

🔮 Sun vs. Aces prediction: WNBA expert picks

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✅ Moneyline pick: Aces ML (-699 via DraftKings) ⭐
✅ Against the spread pick: Aces -11.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
✅ Over/Under pick: Over 167 (-110 via Caesars) ⭐⭐

🆚 Who will win Sun vs. Aces?

✅ Moneyline pick: Aces will win (-669 via DraftKings)

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The Aces manage to crush the Sun even when they aren't playing well. They haven’t lost a head-to-head matchup against them since June 8, 2023.

Las Vegas has covered a spread of -14 or better in all three matchups between these teams this year. The Aces are posting a 23-point average margin of victory against the Sun this campaign.

💰 Sun vs. Aces prediction & WNBA best bet

🎰 Aces -11.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -110 via BetMGM ($10 to win $9.09)

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The Aces are 5-1 over their last six games since removing Loyd from the starting lineup in late July. They've covered the spread in all five victories during a stretch that's featured them producing their best basketball of the season.

Las Vegas ranks fourth leaguewide with a net rating of plus-4.6 since the lineup switch, up from its season-long mark of minus-1.3. The Aces are third in offensive rating over that span after being league average (seventh) for most of the year.

The Aces boast more firepower coming off the bench with Loyd leading the reserves. She’s averaging 15.2 points per game on 47.6% shooting in her new role. Her season average is 11.4 points per contest on a 38.6% shooting clip.

I’m still not sure if the Aces boast championship upside with their current roster, but they're starting to look like a team that will be a tough postseason out. That’s more than we can say about the Sun, who have been the league's worst club all year.

👀 Best player prop for Sun vs. Aces

💎 Jewell Loyd Over 11.5 points ⭐⭐⭐⭐

📊 Best odds: -105 via bet365 ($10 to win $9.52)

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Loyd has been making the most of her move to the bench. That’s what makes this work beautifully, as players don’t always respond well to being removed from the starting lineup.

She's cleared this scoring prop four times in her six games as a reserve. I expect her to receive more playing time in a potential blowout, which will increase Loyd's chances of scoring a dozen points.

🏀 Sun vs. Aces odds today

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