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Republican Presidential Odds 2028: Vance is the Likely Early Favorite

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: November 20, 2024 5:14 PM EST • 2 min 5 sec read.

JD Vance gives his remarks to media after voting at his polling location as we look at our Republican presidential odds.
JD Vance gives his remarks to media after voting at his polling location. Photo by Frank Bowen IV/The Enquirer / USA Today Network via Imagn Images.

There's surely little thought right now about 2028 among Republicans and their supporters. The party just won the 2024 election, after all, with Donald Trump prevailing in the presidential election betting odds by besting Kamala Harris.

The Republicans were dominant after Trump entered Election Day as the favorite through our  best political betting sites (outside the U.S.). Their path to now holding significant power and presiding over all three branches of government included taking every major swing state. Trump triumphed 312-226 in the electoral college, and he beat Harris in the popular vote, too, winning 50% to 48.3%.

But the nature of politics dictates that basking in a victory doesn't last long. The business of governing lies ahead, and eventually for the Republican party that will mean trying to earn enough goodwill among voters to retain the presidency in 2028 while delicately choosing Trump's successor.

The clear early choice and highly likely eventual favorite at Ontario sports betting sites in the Republican presidential odds is Trump's vice president, JD Vance.

Republican presidential odds 2028

(Republican presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada)

There are no Republican presidential odds posted yet from the best Ontario sports betting sites. That market likely won't surface until sometime after the midterm elections in 2026.

However, some of the leading political betting sites in Canada are already posting early odds for who will win the presidency in 2028. There isn't a direct parallel between those offerings and the eventual market that will be specific to the Republican party, as the field includes possible Democratic presidential odds nominees as well.

But we can still use the outright market as a rough early gauge for which Republicans could emerge. Vance unsurprisingly leads both the overall pack and his party, and Ron DeSantis is also in the top three despite his failed campaign in 2024.

United States presidential election 2028 odds

(Presidential election odds from our best sportsbooks in Canada. U.S. residents interested in betting on the election can visit the social sportsbook BetRivers.net, which is available in most U.S. states)

Candidatebet365DraftKings
JD Vance+250+250
Gavin Newsom+600+600
Ron DeSantis+800+800
Michelle Obama+900+800
Josh Shapiro+1400+900
Gretchen Whitmer+1400+1400
Tucker Carlson+1400+1400
Pete Buttigieg+1600+1600
Vivek Ramaswamy+1600+1600
Tulsi Gabbard+2000+2000

Republican presidential odds 2028 FAQ

Who is favored to win the Republican nomination?

There are no odds posted yet from our best Ontario sports betting apps. However, JD Vance is trading at +250 in the presidential election betting odds for 2028, leading to an implied probability of 28.57%.

Who was the last Republican nominee?

Donald Trump easily cruised to becoming the Republican nominee in 2024 before winning the presidency for a second time.

When is the Republican National Convention?

There's currently no date set for the Republican National Convention. The 2024 convention was held on July 15-18.

When will the 2028 presidential election be decided?

The next day Americans will go to the polls to vote for a president is Nov. 7, 2028.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2028 United States presidential election extensively.

2028 presidential election betting odds pages

Presidential election oddsDemocratic presidential nominee odds

Here are our best political betting sites:

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* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, and he joined Sportsbook Review in 2021. His work has been referenced in The New York Times and Forbes. He's also made appearances on The Fan 590 and TSN 1050. Sean is a regular bettor who places bets daily while using a handful of books. Most frequently, he uses FanDuel and bet365 due to the quality experience on those apps. While he'll often take an analytical approach, Sean enjoys the fun, recreational side of betting too, and embraces alternative markets on events like the Westminster Dog Show or Eurovision, or the many novelty props tied annually to the Super Bowl, for example. Beyond sports, Sean is also interested in the betting markets tied to politics, and especially those connected to American elections. He sees betting as a way to explore and engage in a deeper way, and takes that same view to his work. He plays poker periodically too, and is an avid fantasy sports player. Sean also previously spent time with Bleacher Report and theScore, all after earning his media studies degree from the University of Guelph-Humber.