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Former First Lady of the United States Michelle Obama speaks during a ceremony honoring 50 years of equal pay at the U.S Open as we look at the Michelle Obama presidential election odds.
Former First Lady of the United States Michelle Obama speaks during a ceremony honoring 50 years of equal pay at the U.S Open. Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images/AFP

The Michelle Obama U.S. presidential election odds for 2024 list her as a long shot through our best sports betting sites (outside the U.S.) ahead of November's election.

Nothing says election year quite like creative thinking tied to who will campaign. And often when we insert a candidate into that narrative, it's a familiar and well-established name, and someone who's earned the trust of the public, or at least their party.

That's what led to Michelle Obama skyrocketing up the oddsboards at our best sportsbooks and staying there for a long time. She was the top choice by the odds to replace Joe Biden if the incumbent president were to step aside for any reason between now and election day on Nov. 5.

But it seems her time on that high rung ended after Super Tuesday.

To accompany our 2024 U.S. presidential election odds and Democratic presidential election odds, here is our look at the top Michelle Obama presidential election odds for 2024 from our best sportsbooks (odds available only from Ontario sports betting sites).

Michelle Obama presidential election odds 2024

(Michelle Obama odds as of March 6)

Donald Trump-120 -110 🔥-118-120 
Joe Biden+185 ❄️+230 🔥+200 +187 
Gavin Newsom+1400+1400  +1400+1400
Michelle Obama+1600 N/A+1000 ❄️+1800 🔥
Kamala Harris+2200 ❄️+2500 +2800 🔥+2500
Robert Kennedy Jr.+2500 +2000+2800 🔥+2000
Gretchen Whitmer+8000 +7500 +8000 +6600 ❄️
Elizabeth Warren+10000 +10000 +10000+10000

Michelle Obama presidential election odds 2024 analysis

For a while Obama was one of just three candidates getting odds below +1000 in the presidential election field, and often well short of that plateau. She was as low as +650 through BetMGM.  

The problem? Obama isn't running, seems to hold no interest in running, and would almost certainly be far from the top pick anyway in the unlikely event Biden moves aside.

Now after Biden unsurprisingly dominated during Super Tuesday while recording a 70-plus-point victory in 15 states, it's difficult to justify still putting someone who's not engaged politically right now so high up the oddsboard. That surely led to Obama's tumble at our best sports betting apps. She's now behind Gavin Newsom at DraftKings and bet365 and listed as long as +1800.

Michelle Obama Democratic presidential nominee odds 2024

Joe Biden-500  -500
Gavin Newsom+800 +900
Michelle Obama+1000 +1000
Kamala Harris+1200 +1200
Dean Phillips+5000+5000
Elizabeth Warren+5000+5000
Gretchen Whitmer+5000+5000
Hillary Clinton+6500 +8000

Michelle Obama Democratic presidential nominee odds analysis 2024

Biden is still a flawed candidate in some ways, and the questions tied to him are clear and not going anywhere. That's part of what led to some creativity regarding his potential replacement to begin with.

The primary concern is his age. Biden, who's already the oldest sitting president, is 81 years old and will celebrate his next birthday shortly after election day. A recent ABC poll showed that 81% of Americans believe Biden is too old to serve another term. Meanwhile, Trump is only four years younger than Biden, but the same poll revealed that 62% believe he's too elderly for re-election.

It's difficult to pinpoint one exact cause for that significant 19% gap. Biden has made several recent flubs, including mixing up the presidents of Mexico and Egypt in a speech. But Trump similarly crossed up his former main Republican opponent Nikki Haley with Nancy Pelosi. Perhaps the public's view is tied to charisma, with Trump often more energetic while getting crowds at his large rallies riled up.

Regardless of the reason, Biden's approval rating has fallen to just 37.9%, according to FiveThirtyEight. Combine his unpopularity with the age issue, and searching for a candidate who could spark interest and voter energy is more than understandable.

Obama Glasses

But with Super Tuesday behind us and the Democratic primary process far down the road with Biden cruising along, Obama has given no indication she wants to step forward. In fact, seasoned political strategists are doing the opposite.

That includes Republican strategist Karl Rove.

“No, no, look, look, she hates politics,” Rove said recently during a Fox Business segment. “You read her autobiography. She didn’t want her husband to run for the state senate. She didn’t want him to run for the presidency. She is not a political animal.”

Her name even being connected to the role at any point in a serious way was mostly a product of Republican-based rumors, with a straw poll at CPAC the most recent evidence. Texas senator Ted Cruz said in September that the "odds are very significant" Biden would be moved aside at the Democratic National Convention, with Obama replacing him.

That speculation and more - including Marjorie Taylor-Greene chiming in similarly - combined with the concerns hovering around Biden to push Obama ahead of seasoned Democrats like Newsom on the Democratic nominee oddsboard for quite some time.

Yet David Axelrod, a CNN analyst and former Barack Obama campaign strategist, said he would be "floored" if Michelle ran.

Michelle Obama presidential election odds 2024 FAQ

What are Michelle Obama's odds to win the 2024 presidential electon?

The best price currently offered on the former first lady is +1800 through bet365. She's commonly fallen to fourth on the oddsboards at our best live betting sites.

Who is the favorite for the 2024 U.S. election?

Former president Trump is the favorite (-110) to win the 2024 U.S. presidential election.

Who won the last U.S. presidential election?

Joe Biden assumed office as the 46th President of the United States following his victory over incumbent Donald J. Trump in the 2020 election.

When will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

The 2024 United States presidential election is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024.

Where will the U.S. presidential election be decided?

Candidates will campaign across various cities and states leading up to November 2024, culminating in voters casting their ballots at polling booths nationwide to determine the next President of the United States.

How to watch the U.S. presidential election

Every major news outlet will cover the 2024 United States presidential election extensively.

2024 presidential election betting odds pages

Here are our best political betting sites:

(21+. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
* Bonuses not applicable in Ontario.

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