🏀 Mystics vs. Wings Prediction: WNBA Picks for Monday, May 18

My Mystics vs. Wings prediction breaks down the best bets I'm backing for the WNBA tonight.
Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers brings the ball up court as we make our best Mystics vs. Wings prediction.
Pictured: Dallas Wings guard Paige Bueckers brings the ball up court as we make our best Mystics vs. Wings prediction. Photo by Jerome Miron-Imagn Images
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After first-year head coach Jose Fernandez called out his team, all eyes will be on the Dallas Wings (1-2) when they host the Washington Mystics (2-1).  My Mystics vs. Wings prediction believes Dallas will come out motivated to begin tonight's matchup.  

Dallas is a 4.5-point betting favorite in this battle between two promising young teams that expect to be in the WNBA championship odds picture one day but still have a ways to go. Tipoff from College Park Center in Arlington, Texas, is at 8 p.m. ET (Peacock).


🏀 Mystics vs. Wings prediction: WNBA picks

See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.

💰 Pick ⚖️ Bet size (units) 🧠 Why I bet this
Wings 1Q spread -0.5 (-120 via Caesars) 1u → 0.83u Dallas should get off to a strong start as a response to its head coach's comments last time out.
Wings Over 22.5 1Q points (-110 via FanDuel) 1u → 0.91u The Wings have averaged 25.3 points in the first quarter of games this year.
Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 assists (+105 via bet365) 1u → 1.05u Paige Bueckers dished eight dimes last time out against the Lynx.

Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 2.79 units

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🏆 Who will win Mystics vs. Wings?

I'm counting on a bounce-back performance from the Wings, who squandered a double-digit lead last time out. This time around, they should lead from start to finish in a five-point victory.

Score prediction: Wings 89, Mystics 84


💰 Mystics vs. Wings prediction & best bet

Wings first-quarter spread -0.5 (-120)

Look, I don't know if I agree with Fernandez calling out his team so early in the season. But you can bet on the Wings being motivated to start this one, especially with the whole weekend to sit on their fourth-quarter collapse against the Minnesota Lynx.

More than that, Dallas ranks second in the league with a first-quarter net rating of +24.2 this year. The Wings have led by a basket after the first quarter in all three games to start the season.

With this spread painted -1.5 in the market, I'll grab the -0.5 at Caesars.


🔥 Best Mystics vs. Wings player prop bet

Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 assists (+105)

Dallas guard Paige Bueckers put on a passing clinic against the Lynx last time out. She finished with eight assists on 13 potential dimes (per Props Madness). She's now averaging five assists on 11.3 potential dimes this season.

Bueckers has faced a lot of blitzes this year, and she's making the right decisions with the rock. She's still not playing on ball as much as I'd like, but that change should come when Azzi Fudd cracks the starting lineup.

With this Over costing minus-odds at every other shop, I'm scooping up the bargain at bet365.


🚀 Mystics vs. Wings same-game parlay

It's a tale as old as time. A coach calls out his young team in public, and they respond on the court during the next game. That's what I'm banking on with the Wings anyway. They should come out with plenty of motivation in tonight's home matchup with the Mystics.

💵 Mystics vs. Wings SGP picks

  • Wings 1Q spread (-125)
  • Wings 1Q Over 22.5 (-135)
  • Paige Bueckers Over 5.5 assists (+105)

Best odds: +325 via bet365 (0.1u -> 0.33u)


💵 My betting record for WNBA picks

All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 9.

Bet type Record Net profit ROI
Overall 10-8 +3.25 units ✅ 24.5% ✅
Player props 4-2 +1.43 units ✅ 22.8% ✅
Parlays 1-4 -0.12 units ❌ -24% ❌

📊 Live Mystics vs. Wings odds


📺 How to watch Mystics vs. Wings 

  • Date: Monday, May 18
  • Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Location: College Park Center (Arlington, Texas)
  • TV: NBC Sports Network
  • Streaming: Peacock