🏀 Lynx vs. Wings Prediction: WNBA Picks for Thursday, May 14
Two of the best young point guards in the WNBA clash tonight when rookie Olivia Miles leads the Minnesota Lynx into College Park Center in Arlington, Texas, to take on Paige Bueckers and the Dallas Wings at 8 p.m. ET (Prime Video).
With Minnesota still being down WNBA MVP odds contender Napheesa Collier, Dallas is a 4.5-point betting favorite, but my Lynx vs. Wings prediction expects the road team to make this a game.
🏀 Lynx vs. Wings prediction: WNBA picks
See all of our experts' WNBA picks based on the latest WNBA odds.
| 💰 Pick | ⚖️ Bet size (units) | 🧠 Why I bet this |
|---|---|---|
| Lynx +4.5 (-115 via DraftKings) | 1u → 0.87u | Minnesota has a veteran lineup capable of exposing Dallas' defensive issues |
| Under 178.5 (-110 via BetMGM) | 1u → 0.91u | Neither of these teams is efficient enough on offense to explode |
| Olivia Miles Over 7.5 assists (+126 via DraftKings) | 1u → 1.3u | Miles is the WNBA Rookie of the Year favorite, thanks to her passing prowess |
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: 3.08 units
📃 Affiliate disclosure
Sportsbook Review may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Not intended for use in MA. Bonuses not applicable in Ontario. 21+ only. (Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER)
🏆 Who will win Lynx vs. Wings?
Both these teams are 1-1 with upset wins over championship contenders and losses to the Atlanta Dream, and even though the Lynx are down Collier, I expect Miles and a veteran Minnesota lineup to put plenty of pressure on Bueckers and Co. to squeak out a road win.
Score prediction: Lynx 84, Wings 83
💰 Lynx vs. Wings prediction & best bet
Lynx +4.5 (-115)
Dallas may have the No. 1 pick, Azzi Fudd, but it's Minnesota's first-year player who leads the WNBA Rookie of the Year odds.
Miles, the No. 2 pick, already looks like a future All-Star two games into her pro career, and should be able to exploit a Wings team that is bottom-four in defensive rating (108.4) and allows the fifth-highest true shooting percentage in the W (55.6%).
A two-game sample size is small, but Dallas' defense was an issue last season, when the team allowed the highest true shooting percentage (57.6%) and effective field goal percentage (53.1%) in the league.
🔥 Best Lynx vs. Wings player prop bet
Olivia Miles Over 7.5 assists (+126)
Miles should have been a first-team All-American last season over Fudd, and she's already proving early in her rookie season that she should have been the first guard selected in the WNBA draft over Fudd.
Now, she gets to take on Fudds' team and is poised to put on a show. Through two games, Miles is third in the WNBA in APG (7.5) and sixth in assist rate (38.2%). That doesn't come as a surprise if you watched her at TCU last season, where she was top 10 nationally in APG (6.6) and averaged nine across four NCAA Tournament games.
Against a Wings defense that allowed the most APG in the W last season (23), Miles should go Over 7.5 assists for the second time in three games.
🚀 Lynx vs. Wings same-game parlay
If the Lynx are going to keep this game close or win, they'll need to rely heavily on Miles' playmaking ability to set up players like Kayla McBride and Natasha Howard. Luckily, even without a top defender like Collier, Minnesota still has a menacing defender in Courtney Williams, who can slow Bueckers.
💵 Lynx vs. Wings SGP picks
- Lynx +4.5 (-115)
- Under 177.5 (-110)
- Olivia Miles Over 7.5 assists (+126)
Best odds: +650 via DraftKings (0.2u -> 1.3u)
💵 My betting record for WNBA picks
All WNBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since May 8.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-8 | +1.34 units ✅ | 10.6% ✅ |
| Player props | 4-2 | +1.22 units ✅ | 20.3% ✅ |
| Parlays | 1-3 | +0.43 units ✅ | 62% ✅ |
📊 Live Lynx vs. Wings odds
📺 How to watch Lynx vs. Wings
- Date: Thursday, May 14
- Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Location: College Park Center (Arlington, Texas)
- Streaming: Prime Video
Related Articles
